Teagmhais / Toirmeasc ar allmhairiú
Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022)
- Dátaí
- 05/12/2022 → níl dáta deiridh ar taifead
- Beachtas an dáta
- lá
- Stádas
- Ar siúl
- Raon feidhme
- An tAontas Eorpach
An méid a dúirt na foinsí (i mBéarla)
Sixth package of EU sanctions, adopted 3 June 2022 (Council Regulation (EU) 2022/879 amending Regulation (EU) No 833/2014). European Commission, 3 June 2022: "a complete import ban on all Russian seaborne crude oil and petroleum products"; "For seaborne crude oil, spot market transactions and execution of existing contracts will be permitted for six months after entry into force, while for petroleum products, these will be permitted for eight months." Eurostat, 19 June 2023: "The ban on imports of seaborne crude oil entered into force on 5 December 2022, while the ban on petroleum products took effect on 5 February 2023." Temporary derogations apply to pipeline crude for certain member states and to Bulgaria and Croatia, so reported imports from Russia do not fall to zero. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.
IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)Oifigiúil
Bunús na sonraí
OifigiúilOifigiúil- Foilsitheoir
- IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)
- Aitheantas an tacair sonraí
- Fuel Origin: amlíne teagmhas (curtha le chéile againn) (data/reference/events.csv)events.csvreference_events_v1
- Tréimhse
- níor taifeadadh
- Aisghafa
- 03/10/2026, 19:34 UTC
- Cineál
- Oifigiúil
- Claochlú
- níor cuireadh aon cheann i bhfeidhm: stóráilte díreach mar a foilsíodh é
- Ceadúnas
- In aghaidh an ró: rianaítear gach ró go doiciméad na gníomhaireachta nó an reachtais a ainmnítear in source_urls.
- Déanann taifead teagmhais cur síos ar cad a tharla, ní ar cad ba thoradh air (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §5).
- Pointí fuinneoige a bhfuil luach breathnaithe acu: 6,947 as 10,179; is poill taifeadta an chuid eile, ní nialais.
- Cainéil gan foinse inúsáidte: NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE, NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE, NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK, NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES, NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES.
Doiciméid foinse (3)
- https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/ddn-20230619-3
- https://enlargement.ec.europa.eu/news/russias-war-ukraine-eu-adopts-sixth-package-sanctions-against-russia-2022-06-03_en
- https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2022/06/03/russia-s-aggression-against-ukraine-eu-adopts-sixth-package-of-sanctions/
Nuair a roghnaítear breosla, coinnítear sraitheanna an bhreosla sin agus na cainéil atá i gcoitinne ag gach breosla: tagarmharc na hamhola, an ráta malairte, allmhairí amhola agus nochtadh do Hormuz. Ní fhágtar ar lár ach sraitheanna an bhreosla eile.
Fuinneog an teagmhais
Luach gach sraithe idir -30 agus 90 lá timpeall ar dháta an teagmhais, an fad atá sé sin ó leibhéal na sraithe céanna ar dháta an teagmhais, agus méid na gluaiseachta sin i gcomparáid le gnáthathraitheacht na sraithe féin.
An Fhrainc, Díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar). Sraitheanna is féidir a tharraingt: 14; sraitheanna nach féidir a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, a thaispeántar thíos mar phainéil fholmha lipéadaithe: 6.
Léamha foilsithe: 156; fritháirimh nach bhfuil aon rud foilsithe dóibh laistigh de thréimhse amháin: 26; fritháirimh ar shraitheanna nach féidir linn a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith: 78. Tá gach ceann acu ar an leathanach seo.
Europe Brent spot FOB
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-04 | 99.53 | +16.170 | +19.40% | +4.30 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 88.44 | +5.080 | +6.09% | +1.35 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 83.50 | +0.140 | +0.17% | +0.04 |
| −3 | 2022-12-02 | 86.54 | +3.180 | +3.81% | +0.85 |
| −1 | 2022-12-02 | 86.54 | +3.180 | +3.81% | +0.85 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 83.36 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-06 | 79.92 | -3.440 | -4.13% | -0.91 |
| +3 | 2022-12-08 | 76.02 | -7.340 | -8.81% | -1.95 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 78.00 | -5.360 | -6.43% | -1.42 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 81.66 | -1.700 | -2.04% | -0.45 |
| +30 | 2023-01-04 | 75.31 | -8.050 | -9.66% | -2.14 |
| +60 | 2023-02-03 | 78.85 | -4.510 | -5.41% | -1.20 |
| +90 | 2023-03-03 | 85.74 | +2.380 | +2.86% | +0.63 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 4.51%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 760) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
reported crude oil imports, all origins
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-01 | 3,110,000 | -560,000 | -15.26% | -0.79 |
| −14 | 2022-11-01 | 3,110,000 | -560,000 | -15.26% | -0.79 |
| −7 | 2022-11-01 | 3,110,000 | -560,000 | -15.26% | -0.79 |
| −3 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 3,670,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2023-01-01 | 4,086,000 | +416,000 | +11.34% | +0.58 |
| +60 | 2023-02-01 | 3,920,000 | +250,000 | +6.81% | +0.35 |
| +90 | 2023-03-01 | 1,650,000 | -2,020,000 | -55.04% | -2.83 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 19.42%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-04 | 0.9872 | -0.072 | -6.75% | -13.43 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 1.025 | -0.034 | -3.22% | -6.40 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 1.046 | -0.012 | -1.17% | -2.33 |
| −3 | 2022-12-02 | 1.054 | -0.005 | -0.46% | -0.92 |
| −1 | 2022-12-02 | 1.054 | -0.005 | -0.46% | -0.92 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 1.059 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-06 | 1.052 | -0.007 | -0.67% | -1.33 |
| +3 | 2022-12-08 | 1.052 | -0.007 | -0.64% | -1.28 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 1.056 | -0.002 | -0.24% | -0.47 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 1.060 | +0.001 | +0.10% | +0.21 |
| +30 | 2023-01-04 | 1.060 | +0.001 | +0.11% | +0.23 |
| +60 | 2023-02-03 | 1.094 | +0.035 | +3.31% | +6.57 |
| +90 | 2023-03-03 | 1.062 | +0.003 | +0.26% | +0.53 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.50%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 770) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre. Is é an banda scáthaithe an raon inghlactha. Ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe: ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-01 | 6.585–17.84 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −14 | 2022-11-01 | 6.585–17.84 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −7 | 2022-11-01 | 6.585–17.84 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −3 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −1 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| T0 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +1 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +3 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +7 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +14 | 2022-12-01 | 1.998–5.142 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +30 | 2023-01-01 | 6.528–9.476 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +60 | 2023-02-01 | 3.700–10.71 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +90 | 2023-03-01 | 0–13.87 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.
nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre. Is é an banda scáthaithe an raon inghlactha. Ní tharraingítear aon lárphointe: ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-01 | 0.0961–26.68 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −14 | 2022-11-01 | 0.0961–26.68 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −7 | 2022-11-01 | 0.0961–26.68 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −3 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| −1 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| T0 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +1 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +3 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +7 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +14 | 2022-12-01 | 6.077–22.17 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +30 | 2023-01-01 | 6.461–34.57 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +60 | 2023-02-01 | 10.88–31.70 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
| +90 | 2023-03-01 | 10.38–24.56 | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe | neamhfhoilsithe |
Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.
nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-01 | 91.00 | -6.000 | -6.19% | -1.18 |
| −14 | 2022-11-01 | 91.00 | -6.000 | -6.19% | -1.18 |
| −7 | 2022-11-01 | 91.00 | -6.000 | -6.19% | -1.18 |
| −3 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 97.00 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2023-01-01 | 101.0 | +4.000 | +4.12% | +0.79 |
| +60 | 2023-02-01 | 101.0 | +4.000 | +4.12% | +0.79 |
| +90 | 2023-03-01 | 95.00 | -2.000 | -2.06% | -0.39 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 5.22%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-10-31 | 0.6104 | +0.142 | +30.24% | +3.72 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 0.5263 | +0.058 | +12.30% | +1.51 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 0.5123 | +0.044 | +9.31% | +1.15 |
| −3 | 2022-11-28 | 0.5123 | +0.044 | +9.31% | +1.15 |
| −1 | 2022-11-28 | 0.5123 | +0.044 | +9.31% | +1.15 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.4687 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.4687 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.4687 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 0.4798 | +0.011 | +2.38% | +0.29 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 0.4779 | +0.009 | +1.98% | +0.24 |
| +30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.4598 | -0.009 | -1.89% | -0.23 |
| +60 | 2023-01-30 | 0.4720 | +0.003 | +0.71% | +0.09 |
| +90 | 2023-02-27 | 0.4954 | +0.027 | +5.69% | +0.70 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.13%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-01 | 19,709,000 | -411,000 | -2.04% | -0.91 |
| −14 | 2022-11-01 | 19,709,000 | -411,000 | -2.04% | -0.91 |
| −7 | 2022-11-01 | 19,709,000 | -411,000 | -2.04% | -0.91 |
| −3 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +14 | 2022-12-01an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 20,120,000 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +30 | 2023-01-01 | 20,891,000 | +771,000 | +3.83% | +1.72 |
| +60 | 2023-02-01 | 20,763,000 | +643,000 | +3.20% | +1.43 |
| +90 | 2023-03-01 | 18,274,000 | -1,846,000 | -9.17% | -4.11 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 2.23%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-10-31 | 1.868 | +0.048 | +2.61% | +0.96 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 1.906 | +0.086 | +4.71% | +1.73 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 1.861 | +0.041 | +2.25% | +0.83 |
| −3 | 2022-11-28 | 1.861 | +0.041 | +2.25% | +0.83 |
| −1 | 2022-11-28 | 1.861 | +0.041 | +2.25% | +0.83 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 1.820 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 1.820 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 1.820 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 1.732 | -0.088 | -4.84% | -1.78 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 1.743 | -0.077 | -4.26% | -1.56 |
| +30 | 2023-01-02 | 1.767 | -0.054 | -2.95% | -1.08 |
| +60 | 2023-01-30 | 1.943 | +0.123 | +6.76% | +2.48 |
| +90 | 2023-02-27 | 1.810 | -0.010 | -0.55% | -0.20 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 2.72%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-10-31 | 0.9474 | +0.040 | +4.36% | +0.94 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 0.9791 | +0.071 | +7.86% | +1.69 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 0.9419 | +0.034 | +3.76% | +0.81 |
| −3 | 2022-11-28 | 0.9419 | +0.034 | +3.76% | +0.81 |
| −1 | 2022-11-28 | 0.9419 | +0.034 | +3.76% | +0.81 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.9078 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.9078 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.9078 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 0.8343 | -0.073 | -8.09% | -1.74 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 0.8432 | -0.065 | -7.11% | -1.53 |
| +30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.8630 | -0.045 | -4.93% | -1.06 |
| +60 | 2023-01-30 | 1.010 | +0.103 | +11.30% | +2.43 |
| +90 | 2023-02-27 | 0.8995 | -0.008 | -0.91% | -0.20 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 4.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-10-31 | 0.9204 | +0.008 | +0.87% | +0.95 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 0.9268 | +0.014 | +1.56% | +1.71 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 0.9193 | +0.007 | +0.75% | +0.82 |
| −3 | 2022-11-28 | 0.9193 | +0.007 | +0.75% | +0.82 |
| −1 | 2022-11-28 | 0.9193 | +0.007 | +0.75% | +0.82 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.9125 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.9125 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 0.9125 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 0.8978 | -0.015 | -1.61% | -1.76 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 0.8996 | -0.013 | -1.41% | -1.55 |
| +30 | 2023-01-02 | 0.9035 | -0.009 | -0.98% | -1.07 |
| +60 | 2023-01-30 | 0.9329 | +0.020 | +2.23% | +2.45 |
| +90 | 2023-02-27 | 0.9107 | -0.002 | -0.20% | -0.21 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.91%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-04 | 102.1 | +58.716 | +135.30% | +13.75 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 61.92 | +18.524 | +42.69% | +4.34 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 50.19 | +6.790 | +15.65% | +1.59 |
| −3 | 2022-12-02 | 47.86 | +4.464 | +10.29% | +1.05 |
| −1 | 2022-12-02 | 47.86 | +4.464 | +10.29% | +1.05 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 43.40 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-06 | 42.43 | -0.970 | -2.24% | -0.23 |
| +3 | 2022-12-08 | 43.18 | -0.220 | -0.51% | -0.05 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 45.31 | +1.916 | +4.42% | +0.45 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 47.36 | +3.968 | +9.14% | +0.93 |
| +30 | 2023-01-04 | 52.92 | +9.520 | +21.94% | +2.23 |
| +60 | 2023-02-03 | 39.25 | -4.142 | -9.54% | -0.97 |
| +90 | 2023-03-03 | 36.90 | -6.496 | -14.97% | -1.52 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 9.84%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 737) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-04 | 36.21 | +16.548 | +84.15% | +0.46 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 25.46 | +5.798 | +29.48% | +0.16 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 21.75 | +2.086 | +10.61% | +0.06 |
| −3 | 2022-12-02 | 19.76 | +0.096 | +0.49% | +0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-12-02 | 19.76 | +0.096 | +0.49% | +0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 19.67 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-06 | 20.42 | +0.752 | +3.82% | +0.02 |
| +3 | 2022-12-08 | 14.66 | -5.008 | -25.47% | -0.14 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 13.81 | -5.854 | -29.77% | -0.16 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 13.89 | -5.776 | -29.37% | -0.16 |
| +30 | 2023-01-04 | 25.20 | +5.530 | +28.12% | +0.15 |
| +60 | 2023-02-03 | 24.34 | +4.678 | +23.79% | +0.13 |
| +90 | 2023-03-03 | 25.60 | +5.936 | +30.18% | +0.17 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 182.43%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 737) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.
| Fritháireamh | Luach a úsáideadh | Luach | Δ abs. | Δ % | Aonaid luaineachta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-11-04 | 51.50 | +24.486 | +90.64% | +0.51 |
| −14 | 2022-11-21 | 42.81 | +15.794 | +58.46% | +0.33 |
| −7 | 2022-11-28 | 30.74 | +3.724 | +13.78% | +0.08 |
| −3 | 2022-12-02 | 31.06 | +4.044 | +14.97% | +0.08 |
| −1 | 2022-12-02 | 31.06 | +4.044 | +14.97% | +0.08 |
| T0 | 2022-12-05an luach céanna agus ag T0 | 27.02 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-12-06 | 27.60 | +0.584 | +2.16% | +0.01 |
| +3 | 2022-12-08 | 35.20 | +8.180 | +30.28% | +0.17 |
| +7 | 2022-12-12 | 36.79 | +9.770 | +36.16% | +0.21 |
| +14 | 2022-12-19 | 36.02 | +9.008 | +33.34% | +0.19 |
| +30 | 2023-01-04 | 53.97 | +26.950 | +99.76% | +0.57 |
| +60 | 2023-02-03 | 29.38 | +2.368 | +8.77% | +0.05 |
| +90 | 2023-03-03 | 39.71 | +12.698 | +47.00% | +0.27 |
Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 176.40%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 737) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.
Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais
Tá foinse ann agus ní cheadaíonn a ceadúnas dúinn í a athfhoilsiú. Níl na cainéil seo ar iarraidh ón domhan, ach ón leathanach seo amháin.
ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa
Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).
Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.
tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE
Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.
corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread
Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.
praghas mórdhíola (rack)
Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).
Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.
Níl sé ar fáil: fáth gan aicmiú
Thug an API cód fátha nach n-aithníonn an leathanach seo. Taispeántar a abairt féin gan athrú thíos.
crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since
Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo: níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán.
Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.
not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed
Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo: níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán.
Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.
T0: 05/12/2022. Fuinneog bhunlíne: -90 go -31 lá. Fritháirimh a ríomhadh: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Modh 1.0, ríomh event_study-1.0, ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC.
Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?
Roinntear an cheist i ngnéithe a thomhaistear ar leithligh agus nach suimítear riamh in aon uimhir amháin. Insíonn gach ró an féidir linn an ghné sin a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, agus tugann sé figiúr foilsithe amháin nuair is féidir.
Cainéil tarchuir praghsanna a bhfuil sonraí acu sa ríomh seo (as an ocht gcinn a thuairiscíonn an suíomh seo): 4 Ríofa. Líon na rónna thíos atá ann, ní tomhas.
Foilsíonn Modheolaíocht §11.1 na tairseacha a úsáideann na habairtí thíos: na hocht gcainéal go léir don chomparáid iomlán, trí cinn ar a laghad chun gur féidir an t-éileamh a thástáil anseo ar chor ar bith, agus tairseach (aonaid luaineachta) de 2.0 chun cur síos ar ghluaiseacht mar ghluaiseacht lasmuigh de ghnáthathraitheacht sraithe. Roghanna foclaíochta foilsithe iad sin, ní tástálacha staitistiúla.
| Gné | Stádas | Figiúr foilsithe, nó an fáth nach bhfuil ceann ann |
|---|---|---|
| Nochtadh díreach amhola (D1)An sciar den amhola allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a bealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz. | Raon amháin | 6.528–9.476 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2023-01) · gan lárphointe |
| Nochtadh díreach táirgí (D2)An sciar de na táirgí peitriliam allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a mbealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz. | Raon amháin | 6.461–34.57 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2023-01) · gan lárphointe |
| Laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola (D7)Líon na laethanta cumhdaigh atá sna cúlstoic ola foilsithe. Maolán i gcoinne suaitheadh soláthair, ní sciar d’allmhairí, agus ní cainéal praghais. | Breathnaithe | 101.0 lá cumhdaigh fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2023-01-01)+4.12% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +0.79 aonaid luaineachta |
| Tagarmharc amholaAn praghas amhola luaite a mbunaítear praghas lastas Eorpach air. | Breathnaithe | 75.31 $ an bairille fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2023-01-04)-9.66% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = -2.14 aonaid luaineachta |
| Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliamAn praghas táirge luaite a mbunaíonn scaglanna agus mórdhíoltóirí a bpraghsanna air. | Níl sé ar fáil | Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad. |
| Corrlach scaglainneAn méid a tuilleadh as bairille a scagadh chun an táirge seo a dhéanamh. | Níl sé ar fáil | Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin. |
| Rátaí lastaisCé mhéad a chosain sé an lasta a sheoladh. | Níl sé ar fáil | Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED). |
| StoicStoic a choinnítear, a mhaolaíonn nó a mhéadaíonn athrú soláthair. | Breathnaithe | 20,891,000 t fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2023-01-01)+3.83% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +1.72 aonaid luaineachta |
| Praghsanna mórdhíolaAn praghas idir geata na scaglainne agus an stáisiún peitril. | Níl sé ar fáil | Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). |
| Praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánachaAn praghas ag an gcaidéal agus an dleacht mháil, an CBL agus cánacha eile ar bhreosla bainte de. | Breathnaithe | 0.8630 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2023-01-02)-4.93% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = -1.06 aonaid luaineachta |
| Praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáinAn méid a d’íoc tiománaí i ndáiríre. | Breathnaithe | 1.767 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2023-01-02)-2.95% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = -1.08 aonaid luaineachta |
Is ceisteanna éagsúla iad nochtadh fisiceach (Caolas Hormuz) agus nochtadh praghais. Is féidir le praghas ag an gcaidéal bogadh fiú i dtír nach bhfuil mórán nochta fhisicigh dhírigh aici: praghsáiltear amhola go domhanda, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo
Is féidir leathanach an mhiondealaithe a shocrú ar na seachtainí thart ar dháta an teagmhais, ionas gur féidir an ghluaiseacht ag an gcaidéal a roinnt ina cáin, ina costas ionchuir agus sa chuid nach gclúdaíonn an costas ionchuir.
Miondealú an phraghais, 28/11/2022 – 04/01/2023 →
Is í an fhuinneog dáta foilsithe an teagmhais lúide 7 lá go dtí móide 30 lá. Fuinneog le breathnú tríthi atá ann, ní éileamh gurbh é an teagmhas bunús an ruda atá inti.
An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Fhrainc, díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)
Cad a rinne an praghas gan chánacha ó cheithre seachtaine roimh sheachtain an teagmhais go dtí trí seachtaine déag ina diaidh, taobh leis an méid a dhéanfadh sé dá leanfadh sé costas ionchuir na hamhola amháin ar an luas a thomhaiseann an meastachán stóráilte ar an tarchur praghsanna. Níl an difríocht scáthaithe mínithe ag an amhola; ní shanntar don teagmhas ná d’aon rud eile í.
Is ANAITHNID an méid a dhéanfadh an amhola amháin (an Fhrainc, díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)).
Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo: níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit (amhail tarchur iomlán).
Ní tharraingítear aon líne: ní líne chothrom ag nialas é cosán ionchais anaithnid. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit ach an oiread, amhail tarchur iomlán.
- Pointe tagartha: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022). Is ANAITHNID cad a dhéanfadh costais na hamhola amháin don phraghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Fhrainc; fad ón bpointe sin: 4 seachtaine): Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt
Tagann gach abairt ó theimpléad seasta, arna roghnú de réir tairseach foilsithe. Oscail “Cén fáth an abairt seo” chun na huimhreacha a roghnaigh í a fheiceáil. Níor scríobh múnla teanga aon chuid den téacs seo, agus ní shanntar cúis in aon áit ann.
Teagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Fhrainc) -4.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.1, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.71956
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.9593311977738502
- t0_value
- 0.75333
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -4.482763198067258
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0638898390650668
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.03377000000000008
- change_pct_from_t0
- -4.482763198067258
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.213559556134736
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0638898390650668
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.71956
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.9593311977738502
- t0_value
- 0.75333
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -4.482763198067258
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0638898390650668
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.03377000000000008
- change_pct_from_t0
- -4.482763198067258
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.213559556134736
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0638898390650668
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg6895759ca0b9fcd3a4846906ac8c9ee51d4a31c7c71cef0792a2d36f699baed4· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Fhrainc) -6.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.4, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.7077300000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.7616842442791699
- t0_value
- 0.75333
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -6.053124128867823
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.4365820746629228
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.045599999999999974
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.053124128867823
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.213559556134736
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.4365820746629228
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.7077300000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.7616842442791699
- t0_value
- 0.75333
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -6.053124128867823
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.4365820746629228
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.045599999999999974
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.053124128867823
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.213559556134736
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.4365820746629228
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg5900397b9bcf7a52b9b81b9e58cdec194f69b253b4554d768c3f0392b984c4d8· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Fhrainc) +18.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 4.3, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.89
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 3.8069175674808338
- t0_value
- 0.75333
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 18.142115673078195
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 4.305650704916267
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.13666999999999996
- change_pct_from_t0
- 18.142115673078195
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.213559556134736
- change_in_volatility_units
- 4.305650704916267
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.89
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 3.8069175674808338
- t0_value
- 0.75333
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 18.142115673078195
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 4.305650704916267
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.13666999999999996
- change_pct_from_t0
- 18.142115673078195
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.213559556134736
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 4.305650704916267
Teimpléad
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg09c7d0a8ee6557944f8bb8ebb92eb33903002623d5cd518947f54b6ed8310593· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Fhrainc) -2.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.1, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.69303
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.9593028425943774
- t0_value
- 1.73356
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.3379634970811485
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0819386863636233
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.040529999999999955
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.3379634970811485
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.160902023883629
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0819386863636233
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.69303
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.9593028425943774
- t0_value
- 1.73356
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -2.3379634970811485
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0819386863636233
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.040529999999999955
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.3379634970811485
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.160902023883629
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0819386863636233
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg5c79540d750efe793a7b66232562df8906f50bfda41a2365ed11119cfc463272· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Fhrainc) -3.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.5, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.6788399999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.7617373799008215
- t0_value
- 1.73356
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -3.15651030249891
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.460737353017953
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.0547200000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.15651030249891
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.160902023883629
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.460737353017953
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.6788399999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.7617373799008215
- t0_value
- 1.73356
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- -3.15651030249891
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.460737353017953
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.0547200000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -3.15651030249891
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.160902023883629
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.460737353017953
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg2cfc610791aea86844c3821369cd7317dfa1186b4a03b16d4d06c09f56495b4b· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Fhrainc) +9.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 4.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.89756
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 3.806946541305622
- t0_value
- 1.73356
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 9.460301345208698
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 4.377940897202919
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.16399999999999992
- change_pct_from_t0
- 9.460301345208698
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.160902023883629
- change_in_volatility_units
- 4.377940897202919
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.89756
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 3.806946541305622
- t0_value
- 1.73356
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 9.460301345208698
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 4.377940897202919
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.16399999999999992
- change_pct_from_t0
- 9.460301345208698
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.160902023883629
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 4.377940897202919
Teimpléad
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Méarlorgb7d2598934a14352e80bbc54cf2468a64b98706e9f9d11a302d029580d811cc7· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Fhrainc) -8.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.7, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.83427
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.5489104974072173
- t0_value
- 0.9077500000000001
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -8.09473974111816
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.737844375081166
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.0734800000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -8.09473974111816
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.6579198098449375
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.737844375081166
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.83427
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.5489104974072173
- t0_value
- 0.9077500000000001
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -8.09473974111816
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.737844375081166
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.0734800000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- -8.09473974111816
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.6579198098449375
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.737844375081166
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg30dda88d13ab0267c2e60051c92ecb73f5bf778420ca8a9ecada3716e9bc6f99· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Fhrainc) -4.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.1, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.86301
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.21036734559555986
- t0_value
- 0.9077500000000001
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -4.928669787937207
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0581268010496907
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.04474
- change_pct_from_t0
- -4.928669787937207
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.6579198098449375
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0581268010496907
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.86301
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.21036734559555986
- t0_value
- 0.9077500000000001
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -4.928669787937207
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0581268010496907
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.04474
- change_pct_from_t0
- -4.928669787937207
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.6579198098449375
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0581268010496907
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg982cfafa5b062b38498f1e26b220fb19534ffcb3d031246ef3778537d615ceca· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Fhrainc) -0.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.2, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.8994500000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.2188780424356428
- t0_value
- 0.9077500000000001
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -0.9143486642798098
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.1962997865156997
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.008299999999999974
- change_pct_from_t0
- -0.9143486642798098
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.6579198098449375
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.1962997865156997
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 0.8994500000000001
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.2188780424356428
- t0_value
- 0.9077500000000001
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -0.9143486642798098
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.1962997865156997
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.008299999999999974
- change_pct_from_t0
- -0.9143486642798098
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.6579198098449375
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.1962997865156997
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg18b52e4496c12b8cf5f2da3fcb68d3597716d77381d7622db3645909540f0414· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Fhrainc) -4.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.8, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.73205
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.5488596956034989
- t0_value
- 1.8202200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -4.843919965718433
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.779415737724632
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.08817000000000008
- change_pct_from_t0
- -4.843919965718433
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.722196877899053
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.779415737724632
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.73205
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.5488596956034989
- t0_value
- 1.8202200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -4.843919965718433
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.779415737724632
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.08817000000000008
- change_pct_from_t0
- -4.843919965718433
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.722196877899053
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.779415737724632
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorgc27637b818ee6f173fd1c35a39193a9660f7229bd7cee61ec29679e3d414ee71· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Fhrainc) -2.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.1, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.76653
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.21039008139543058
- t0_value
- 1.8202200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -2.949643449692907
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0835525797713035
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.05369000000000024
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.949643449692907
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.722196877899053
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0835525797713035
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.76653
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- -0.21039008139543058
- t0_value
- 1.8202200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -2.949643449692907
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.0835525797713035
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.05369000000000024
- change_pct_from_t0
- -2.949643449692907
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.722196877899053
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.0835525797713035
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg628781ade56d7debc8e232ca471b2a3bc9d69c975bf3c3bf539b9a6c8743491c· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Fhrainc) -0.6%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.2, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.81014
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.21770330246808386
- t0_value
- 1.8202200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -0.5537792135016695
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.20343099281234472
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.010080000000000089
- change_pct_from_t0
- -0.5537792135016695
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.722196877899053
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.20343099281234472
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 1.81014
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- z_score
- 0.21770330246808386
- t0_value
- 1.8202200000000002
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- -0.5537792135016695
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_FR_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2023-02-27
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -0.20343099281234472
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -0.010080000000000089
- change_pct_from_t0
- -0.5537792135016695
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 6
- normal_volatility_pct
- 2.722196877899053
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -0.20343099281234472
Teimpléad
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg88c273dab865d2b82f881576988e801fc4fa7916f329562ee01eee3242b496d0· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCPointe tagartha: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Fhrainc) -2.0 c/l (raon -3.7–-0.4); d’athraigh sé -4.6 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -2.5 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola.
tír: an FhraincRíofaMeánachCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- France
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-12-30
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-12-05
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.025200818373595665
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-12-05
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.045599999999999974
- expected_eur_per_litre
- -0.02039918162640431
- proxy_volatility_units
- 0.2070376188168671
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 7.428000000000001
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.03681525935851424
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- -0.0039831038942947355
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.43434263983826
Tairseacha
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- France
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- offset_weeks
- 4
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2022-12-30
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-12-05
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-01-02
- gap_eur_per_litre
- -0.025200818373595665
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-12-05
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- -0.045599999999999974
- expected_eur_per_litre
- -0.02039918162640431
- proxy_volatility_units
- 0.2070376188168671
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 7.428000000000001
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.03681525935851424
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- -0.0039831038942947355
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.43434263983826
Teimpléad
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Méarlorg8c5b7567c193babedf58ca8b0c1d3f0e072e15c72d5e41b0db6dd7ce01fde832· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCPointe tagartha: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Fhrainc) +0.4 c/l (raon -4.1–+5.0); d’athraigh sé +12.7 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +12.3 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola.
tír: an FhraincRíofaMeánachCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- France
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-03-06
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-12-05
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- gap_eur_per_litre
- 0.122517733533069
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-12-05
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.12699000000000005
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.004472266466931059
- proxy_volatility_units
- 0.15391245706875872
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 5.5219999999999985
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.041294643471881554
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.050239176405742644
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.43434263983826
Tairseacha
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- weeks
- 13
- status
- COMPUTED
- country
- France
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FR_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- offset_weeks
- 13
- proxy_product
- GASOLINE
- proxy_to_date
- 2023-03-06
- pass_through_k
- 2
- proxy_from_date
- 2022-12-05
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2023-03-06
- gap_eur_per_litre
- 0.122517733533069
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
- anchor_period_start
- 2022-12-05
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- 0.12699000000000005
- expected_eur_per_litre
- 0.004472266466931059
- proxy_volatility_units
- 0.15391245706875872
- pass_through_sample_end
- 2026-09-14
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- 5.5219999999999985
- pass_through_sample_start
- 2023-09-25
- pass_through_window_label
- ROLLING_156W
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- -0.041294643471881554
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- 0.050239176405742644
- proxy_normal_volatility_pct
- 182.43434263983826
Teimpléad
event.crude_only.computedv1.2 · Méarlorgc9f558057233a346d6e7a5f514f3b1c53879759f3eb980bbe4891acaa5c31195· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCPointe tagartha: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022). Is ANAITHNID cad a dhéanfadh costais na hamhola amháin don phraghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Fhrainc; fad ón bpointe sin: 4 seachtaine): Níl meastachán RÍOFA ag an bhfuinneog trí bliana is déanaí don tarchur praghsanna ná ag an sampla iomlán don tír agus don bhreosla seo (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): níl aon fhreagra tomhaiste ar an amhola le teilgean. Ní úsáidtear aon rud eile ina áit, amhail tarchur iomlán (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
tír: an FhraincAnaithnidAnaithnidCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- France
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FR_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- proxy_product
- null
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Tairseacha
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- France
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_FR_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- proxy_product
- null
- statement_topic
- event
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Teimpléad
event.crude_only.unknownv1.2 · Méarlorgaa602b8361390cede3d50f32187734da4b2a483e440b6d0dab538d2cf1ce09ad· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCSpleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (amhola, an Fhrainc, Nollaig 2022): teoranta (2%–5%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.
tír: an FhraincRíofaMeánachCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-12
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- France
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- value_max_pct
- 5.1417603509734
- value_min_pct
- 1.99846449136276
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- limited
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-12
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- France
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- value_max_pct
- 5.1417603509734
- value_min_pct
- 1.99846449136276
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.dependence.rangev1.2 · Méarlorg0ff3e9334fcd41fe01b269bb9a98a69c92f06074360824a84b118aedd360b7a8· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCSpleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (táirgí peitriliam, an Fhrainc, Nollaig 2022): measartha (6%–22%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.
tír: an FhraincRíofaMeánachCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-12
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- France
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- value_max_pct
- 22.1720818291215
- value_min_pct
- 6.07701564380265
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-12
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- France
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- value_max_pct
- 22.1720818291215
- value_min_pct
- 6.07701564380265
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.dependence.rangev1.2 · Méarlorgc334629700abb9c35f04483bfae3368146d9f029095c40caa2dfe523b4290136· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCNí léiríonn an fhianaise atá ar fáil laghdú fisiceach soláthair: allmhairí amhola tuairiscithe (an Fhrainc, Nollaig 2022) i gcomparáid le meán na míonna roimhe sin (12): +9.8%.
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-12
- country
- France
- change_pct
- 9.757157056360898
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- value_tonnes
- 3670000
- baseline_months
- 12
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 3343745.5
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
- min_baseline_months
- 6
- baseline_months_used
- 12
- supply_reduction_pct
- -10
- supply_baseline_months
- 12
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-12
- country
- France
- change_pct
- 9.757157056360898
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- value_tonnes
- 3670000
- baseline_months
- 12
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 3343745.5
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Teimpléad
event.supply.no_reductionv1.2 · Méarlorgc19213a75e60d64974796785f55f4b5aff9d981cbc8fc71e17e0c46a5a58f6a9· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCStoic ola (an Fhrainc, Nollaig 2022): 2.1% os cionn a meáin thar na míonna roimhe sin (12), laistigh den bhanda ±5% a mheasann an suíomh seo a bheith ag teacht leis an meán, le 97.0 lá cumhdaigh (mar a foilsíodh).
tír: an FhraincRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-12
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- direction
- above
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_FR
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- days_of_cover
- 97
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- 2.0853417220559134
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 20120000
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 19704333.333333332
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- 2.109519056721872
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
- band_applied_to
- the rounded figure printed in the sentence
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- trailing_window_months
- 12
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
- 2.109519056721872
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
- 2.1
- inventory_material_deviation_pct
- 5
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-12
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- France
- direction
- above
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_FR
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- days_of_cover
- 97
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- 2.0853417220559134
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-12-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 20120000
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 4
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 19704333.333333332
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- 2.109519056721872
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Teimpléad
event.inventory_level.in_linev1.2 · Méarlorgf071ae983153d301e498ca2f3c76ff6a013dae8f04594e44f91a436e677179a0· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCAchoimre ar a bhféadfar a sheiceáil anseo
An Fhrainc, teagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022). Ní féidir ach cuid den slabhra a sheiceáil. Sraitheanna a chuireann an modh i gcomparáid atá ar fáil: 4 as 8 (tagarmharc amhola, stoic, praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánacha agus praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáin); nach bhfuil ar fáil: tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam, corrlach scaglainne, rátaí lastais agus praghsanna mórdhíola. Ní féidir aon éileamh atá bunaithe ar na naisc atá ar iarraidh a thástáil anseo. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar amhola a bhaineann le Hormuz sa tréimhse a chlúdaítear: teoranta (2–5%). Déanann an leathanach seo cur síos ar cad a rinne gach sraith thart ar dháta an teagmhais. Ní fionnachtain faoi chúis é: níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog chéanna bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
tír: an FhraincAnaithnidAnaithnidCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- country
- France
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- dependence_band
- limited
- dependence_range
- 2–5%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.no_reduction
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
- channels_total
- 8
- channels_available
- 4
- verdict_partial_min_channels
- 3
- verdict_assessable_min_channels
- 8
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- country
- France
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- FR
- country_name
- France
- country_slug
- france
- dependence_band
- limited
- statement_topic
- event
- dependence_range
- 2–5%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.no_reduction
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.verdict.partialv1.2 · Méarlorg705b5b06ae5d970aec98ed5afc5eb3da9a01c449d59a8061039ec3923bfdd71f· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) -6.4%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.4, laistigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 78
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -3.919330167431879
- t0_value
- 83.36
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -6.429942418426104
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.424724765497578
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -5.359999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.429942418426104
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.513111987760301
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.424724765497578
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 78
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -3.919330167431879
- t0_value
- 83.36
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -6.429942418426104
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-12-12
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -1.424724765497578
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -5.359999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- -6.429942418426104
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.513111987760301
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -1.424724765497578
Teimpléad
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorgb54773c6d8ea729448e355679535649a28ea7e4cedc8813dfcf6f2802aab32bd· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) -9.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 2.1, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 75.31
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -4.677910199838048
- t0_value
- 83.36
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -9.65690978886756
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-01-04
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -2.1397452168387128
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -8.049999999999997
- change_pct_from_t0
- -9.65690978886756
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.513111987760301
- change_in_volatility_units
- -2.1397452168387128
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 75.31
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -4.677910199838048
- t0_value
- 83.36
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- -9.65690978886756
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-01-04
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- -2.1397452168387128
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- -8.049999999999997
- change_pct_from_t0
- -9.65690978886756
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.513111987760301
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- -2.1397452168387128
Teimpléad
event.benchmark_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Méarlorga66bdad4120941189e2864b65cefe96af6989d6c7dc9d9e481dad3f463e1452c· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTeagmhas: Toirmeasc an AE ar allmhairiú amhola ón Rúis a iompraítear ar muir (i bhfeidhm ó 5 Nollaig 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +2.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.6, laistigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúilCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 85.74
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.7366500741888493
- t0_value
- 83.36
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 2.855086372360839
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-03-03
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.6326203249784009
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 2.3799999999999955
- change_pct_from_t0
- 2.855086372360839
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.513111987760301
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.6326203249784009
Tairseacha
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- value
- 85.74
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- -1.7366500741888493
- t0_value
- 83.36
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 2.855086372360839
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2023-03-03
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 0.6326203249784009
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 2.3799999999999955
- change_pct_from_t0
- 2.855086372360839
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.513111987760301
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 0.6326203249784009
Teimpléad
event.benchmark_move.within_normalv1.2 · Méarlorg95c15aae3aef102cb53ce9861989a6b3fd3d482e297b83dd1613ec9cd40b15cc· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCRátaí lastais – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnidCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Tairseacha
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Méarlorg81f14ddf9bdd5a846c68ffa6a0c2ac90cc0051c094198d9fc185147f886c0b88· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCTagarmharc táirgí peitriliam – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo. Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnidCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Tairseacha
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Méarlorg91941020696deeb37b6bfcb5c4e321ba5865cedc68042d4a64d30524b6fb2549· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCPraghsanna mórdhíola – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnidCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Tairseacha
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Méarlorge638c4d7da43b662509013a365f2d13fca0fa20208646d67ade6d6d3b40790a0· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTCCorrlach scaglainne – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnidCén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Tairseacha
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Ionchuir
- t0
- 2022-12-05T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- EU import ban on seaborne Russian crude oil (in force 5 December 2022)
- event_slug
- eu-russia-crude-embargo-2022
- event_type
- EMBARGO
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Teimpléad
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Méarlorge1f282615a660e84b280ecac2938abde9502c7d8209f04d500d682817c457aef· ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
An méid nach dtaispeánann sé seo
- Ní thaispeánann sé gurbh é an teagmhas bunús aon ruda. Níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
- Ní tástáil suntasachta é athrú in aonaid luaineachta, agus ní tástáil suntasachta é scór z ach an oiread. Tomhaiseann siad rudaí éagsúla agus ní féidir ceann a chur in áit an chinn eile.
- Taispeántar cainéil nach bhfuil foinse acu a bhfuil ceadúnas againn chun í a úsáid, nó foinse lódáilte, mar phainéil fholmha, ní mar línte cothroma. Ní hionann “Ní féidir linn é seo a fheiceáil” agus “Níor bhog sé seo”.
- Ní idirshuitear aon rud. Nuair a thagann roinnt fritháireamh ar an bhfigiúr foilsithe céanna, is é sin a phriontáil an foilsitheoir, agus is nialas an t-athrú i gcoinne dháta an teagmhais: is í an uimhir chéanna í.
An Fhrainc: soláthar, scaglanna agus praghsanna ag an gcaidéal →
Conas na lipéid a léamh
- OifigiúilTuairiscithe go díreach ag údarás oifigiúil.
- FíoraitheTuairiscithe ag tríú páirtí agus fíoraithe againn i gcoinne taifid phríomhúil.
- RíofaRíofa againn ó ionchuir thuairiscithe. Tá an modh foilsithe ar leathanach na modheolaíochta.
- Infeirithe · muinín ardNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó dhá thaifead fhisiceacha neamhspleácha ar a laghad.
- Infeirithe · muinín mheánachNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó fhianaise láidir indíreach, gan deimhniú follasach.
- Infeirithe · muinín ísealNíor tuairiscíodh. Sochreidte ó shonraí bonneagair nó gluaiseachta amháin. Ná léigh mar fhíric é.
- AnaithnidNí chruthaíonn aon fhianaise phoiblí inchosanta é seo. Ní thugaimid buille faoi thuairim, agus ní tomhas nialais é seo.