Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022)

Dátaí: 24/02/2022 → níl dáta deiridh ar taifead
Beachtas an dáta: lá
Stádas: Ar siúl
Raon feidhme: An Úcráin

An méid a dúirt na foinsí (i mBéarla)

European Council, special meeting of 24 February 2022, document EUCO 18/22: "European Council conclusions on Russia's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine"; "The European Council condemns in the strongest possible terms the Russian Federation's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine." The conclusions are dated and headed 24 February 2022, which is the date recorded here. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)Oifigiúil

Aisghafa 23/09/2026, 07:22 UTCAthbhreithniú 1

Doiciméid foinse (2)

TírAn Ghearmáin An Fhrainc An Ísiltír An Pholainn An Fhionlainn An Eastóin An Ostair An Bheilg An Bhulgáir An Chróit An Chipir An tSeicia An Danmhairg An Ghréig An Ungáir Éire An Iodáil An Laitvia An Liotuáin Lucsamburg Málta An Phortaingéil An Rómáin An tSlóvaic An tSlóivéin An Spáinn An tSualainn

BreoslaDíosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)Peitreal (Euro-super 95)An dá bhreosla

Nuair a roghnaítear breosla, coinnítear sraitheanna an bhreosla sin agus na cainéil atá i gcoitinne ag gach breosla: tagarmharc na hamhola, an ráta malairte, allmhairí amhola agus nochtadh do Hormuz. Ní fhágtar ar lár ach sraitheanna an bhreosla eile.

Fuinneog an teagmhais

Luach gach sraithe idir -30 agus 90 lá timpeall ar dháta an teagmhais, an fad atá sé sin ó leibhéal na sraithe céanna ar dháta an teagmhais, agus méid na gluaiseachta sin i gcomparáid le gnáthathraitheacht na sraithe féin.

An Bheilg, Díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar). Sraitheanna is féidir a tharraingt: 16; sraitheanna nach féidir a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, a thaispeántar thíos mar phainéil fholmha lipéadaithe: 4.

Léamha foilsithe: 183; fritháirimh nach bhfuil aon rud foilsithe dóibh laistigh de thréimhse amháin: 25; fritháirimh ar shraitheanna nach féidir linn a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith: 52. Tá gach ceann acu ar an leathanach seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaOifigiúil

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (Europe Brent spot FOB): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	89.49	-11.800	-11.65%	-2.69
−14	2022-02-10	96.37	-4.920	-4.86%	-1.12
−7	2022-02-17	95.28	-6.010	-5.93%	-1.37
−3	2022-02-21	98.95	-2.340	-2.31%	-0.53
−1	2022-02-23	99.29	-2.000	-1.97%	-0.46
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.3	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+3	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+7	2022-03-03	115.4	+14.070	+13.89%	+3.20
+14	2022-03-10	114.5	+13.250	+13.08%	+3.02
+30	2022-03-25	122.7	+21.380	+21.11%	+4.87
+60	2022-04-25	99.27	-2.020	-1.99%	-0.46
+90	2022-05-25	116.4	+15.120	+14.93%	+3.44

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 4.34%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 767) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaOifigiúil

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (reported crude oil imports, all origins): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	2,293,600	+59,300	+2.65%	+0.13
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	2,234,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	1,881,900	-352,400	-15.77%	-0.75
+14	2022-03-01	1,881,900	-352,400	-15.77%	-0.75
+30	2022-03-01	1,881,900	-352,400	-15.77%	-0.75
+60	2022-04-01	1,419,200	-815,100	-36.48%	-1.73
+90	2022-05-01	2,209,400	-24,900	-1.11%	-0.05

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 21.05%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.7504	-0.088	-10.47%	-0.12
−14	2022-02-07	0.7961	-0.042	-5.02%	-0.06
−7	2022-02-14	0.8175	-0.021	-2.46%	-0.03
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8773	+0.039	+4.68%	+0.05
+14	2022-03-07	0.9771	+0.139	+16.58%	+0.18
+30	2022-03-21	1.070	+0.232	+27.64%	+0.31
+60	2022-04-25	1.033	+0.195	+23.25%	+0.26
+90	2022-05-23	1.141	+0.303	+36.14%	+0.40

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 89.60%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

Aonad: USD in aghaidh an EURFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaOifigiúil

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	1.127	+0.011	+0.94%	+2.37
−14	2022-02-10	1.144	+0.028	+2.47%	+6.23
−7	2022-02-17	1.137	+0.021	+1.85%	+4.67
−3	2022-02-21	1.134	+0.017	+1.57%	+3.95
−1	2022-02-23	1.134	+0.018	+1.62%	+4.09
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.116	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+3	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+7	2022-03-03	1.108	-0.009	-0.78%	-1.96
+14	2022-03-10	1.108	-0.008	-0.71%	-1.78
+30	2022-03-25	1.100	-0.016	-1.44%	-3.64
+60	2022-04-25	1.075	-0.042	-3.74%	-9.42
+90	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.051	-4.54%	-11.45

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.40%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 770) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	3.694–15.31	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−14	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−7	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−3	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−1	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
T0	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+1	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+3	2022-02-01	10.08–15.59	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+7	2022-03-01	2.684–17.45	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+14	2022-03-01	2.684–17.45	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+30	2022-03-01	2.684–17.45	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+60	2022-04-01	0–16.73	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+90	2022-05-01	2.100–5.865	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	0	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−14	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−7	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−3	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−1	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
T0	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+1	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+3	2022-02-01	0–2.164	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+7	2022-03-01	1.366–1.422	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+14	2022-03-01	1.366–1.422	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+30	2022-03-01	1.366–1.422	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+60	2022-04-01	1.963–3.390	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+90	2022-05-01	0–0.9873	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

Aonad: lá cumhdaighFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	106.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	110.0	+4.000	+3.77%	+0.74
+14	2022-03-01	110.0	+4.000	+3.77%	+0.74
+30	2022-03-01	110.0	+4.000	+3.77%	+0.74
+60	2022-04-01	108.0	+2.000	+1.89%	+0.37
+90	2022-05-01	107.0	+1.000	+0.94%	+0.19

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 5.07%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 7.69%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	7,205,600	-67,700	-0.93%	-0.33
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	7,273,300	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	7,375,400	+102,100	+1.40%	+0.49
+14	2022-03-01	7,375,400	+102,100	+1.40%	+0.49
+30	2022-03-01	7,375,400	+102,100	+1.40%	+0.49
+60	2022-04-01	7,471,700	+198,400	+2.73%	+0.96
+90	2022-05-01	7,641,500	+368,200	+5.06%	+1.78

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 2.84%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach

Tábla na fuinneoige (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.0468	+0.047	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−14	2022-02-07	0.0339	+0.034	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−7	2022-02-14	0.0272	+0.027	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+7	2022-02-28	-0.0039	-0.004	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+14	2022-03-07	0.0131	+0.013	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+30	2022-03-21	0.0269	+0.027	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+60	2022-04-25	0.1170	+0.117	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+90	2022-05-23	0.0101	+0.010	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	1.691	-0.050	-2.85%	-1.29
−14	2022-02-07	1.730	-0.010	-0.57%	-0.26
−7	2022-02-14	1.748	+0.008	+0.46%	+0.21
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.740	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.740	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.740	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.740	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.740	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.783	+0.043	+2.45%	+1.11
+14	2022-03-07	1.924	+0.184	+10.57%	+4.80
+30	2022-03-21	1.878	+0.138	+7.92%	+3.60
+60	2022-04-25	1.943	+0.202	+11.63%	+5.28
+90	2022-05-23	1.944	+0.204	+11.71%	+5.31

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 2.20%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.7972	-0.041	-4.89%	-1.06
−14	2022-02-07	0.8300	-0.008	-0.97%	-0.21
−7	2022-02-14	0.8447	+0.007	+0.79%	+0.17
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.8381	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8734	+0.035	+4.21%	+0.91
+14	2022-03-07	0.9902	+0.152	+18.14%	+3.93
+30	2022-03-21	1.097	+0.259	+30.85%	+6.68
+60	2022-04-25	1.150	+0.312	+37.21%	+8.06
+90	2022-05-23	1.151	+0.313	+37.35%	+8.09

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 4.62%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.8936	-0.009	-0.95%	-1.49
−14	2022-02-07	0.9005	-0.002	-0.19%	-0.30
−7	2022-02-14	0.9036	+0.001	+0.15%	+0.24
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9022	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9022	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9022	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9022	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9022	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.9096	+0.007	+0.82%	+1.29
+14	2022-03-07	0.9341	+0.032	+3.54%	+5.54
+30	2022-03-21	0.7815	-0.121	-13.38%	-20.93
+60	2022-04-25	0.7927	-0.110	-12.14%	-18.99
+90	2022-05-23	0.7929	-0.109	-12.11%	-18.95

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.64%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	22.61	+1.846	+8.89%	+1.05
−14	2022-02-10	25.09	+4.332	+20.87%	+2.47
−7	2022-02-17	23.41	+2.650	+12.76%	+1.51
−3	2022-02-18	21.50	+0.742	+3.57%	+0.42
−1	2022-02-23	20.03	-0.730	-3.52%	-0.42
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	20.76	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+3	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+7	2022-03-03	37.39	+16.632	+80.11%	+9.48
+14	2022-03-10	30.44	+9.682	+46.63%	+5.52
+30	2022-03-25	55.41	+34.648	+166.88%	+19.75
+60	2022-04-25	80.15	+59.392	+286.06%	+33.85
+90	2022-05-25	54.28	+33.516	+161.43%	+19.10

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.45%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 751) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	15.43	-1.934	-11.14%	-0.06
−14	2022-02-10	17.95	+0.594	+3.42%	+0.02
−7	2022-02-17	18.67	+1.306	+7.52%	+0.04
−3	2022-02-18	19.03	+1.666	+9.60%	+0.05
−1	2022-02-23	17.39	+0.026	+0.15%	+0.00
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	17.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+3	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+7	2022-03-03	18.33	+0.966	+5.56%	+0.03
+14	2022-03-10	13.10	-4.262	-24.55%	-0.14
+30	2022-03-25	16.69	-0.674	-3.88%	-0.02
+60	2022-04-25	36.43	+19.072	+109.86%	+0.61
+90	2022-05-25	47.31	+29.946	+172.50%	+0.95

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 180.80%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 751) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	13.79	+0.796	+6.13%	+0.04
−14	2022-02-10	16.48	+3.492	+26.88%	+0.15
−7	2022-02-17	13.25	+0.256	+1.97%	+0.01
−3	2022-02-18	12.98	-0.014	-0.11%	-0.00
−1	2022-02-23	12.89	-0.100	-0.77%	-0.00
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	12.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+3	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+7	2022-03-03	23.95	+10.962	+84.38%	+0.48
+14	2022-03-10	16.37	+3.382	+26.03%	+0.15
+30	2022-03-25	37.98	+24.988	+192.33%	+1.10
+60	2022-04-25	78.26	+65.272	+502.40%	+2.88
+90	2022-05-25	40.71	+27.720	+213.36%	+1.22

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 174.63%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 751) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

Tá foinse ann agus ní cheadaíonn a ceadúnas dúinn í a athfhoilsiú. Níl na cainéil seo ar iarraidh ón domhan, ach ón leathanach seo amháin.

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

T0: 24/02/2022. Fuinneog bhunlíne: -90 go -31 lá. Fritháirimh a ríomhadh: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Modh 1.0, ríomh event_study-1.0, ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC.

Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Roinntear an cheist i ngnéithe a thomhaistear ar leithligh agus nach suimítear riamh in aon uimhir amháin. Insíonn gach ró an féidir linn an ghné sin a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, agus tugann sé figiúr foilsithe amháin nuair is féidir.

Cainéil tarchuir praghsanna a bhfuil sonraí acu sa ríomh seo (as an ocht gcinn a thuairiscíonn an suíomh seo): 4 Ríofa. Líon na rónna thíos atá ann, ní tomhas.

Foilsíonn Modheolaíocht §11.1 na tairseacha a úsáideann na habairtí thíos: na hocht gcainéal go léir don chomparáid iomlán, trí cinn ar a laghad chun gur féidir an t-éileamh a thástáil anseo ar chor ar bith, agus tairseach (aonaid luaineachta) de 2.0 chun cur síos ar ghluaiseacht mar ghluaiseacht lasmuigh de ghnáthathraitheacht sraithe. Roghanna foclaíochta foilsithe iad sin, ní tástálacha staitistiúla.

Gnéithe den nochtadh (teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022)), gach ceann lena stádas agus le figiúr foilsithe amháin.
Gné	Stádas	Figiúr foilsithe, nó an fáth nach bhfuil ceann ann
Nochtadh díreach amhola (D1)An sciar den amhola allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a bealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.	Raon amháin	2.684–17.45 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2022-03) · gan lárphointe
Nochtadh díreach táirgí (D2)An sciar de na táirgí peitriliam allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a mbealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.	Raon amháin	1.366–1.422 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2022-03) · gan lárphointe
Laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola (D7)Líon na laethanta cumhdaigh atá sna cúlstoic ola foilsithe. Maolán i gcoinne suaitheadh soláthair, ní sciar d’allmhairí, agus ní cainéal praghais.	Breathnaithe	110.0 lá cumhdaigh fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-01)+3.77% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +0.74 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc amholaAn praghas amhola luaite a mbunaítear praghas lastas Eorpach air.	Breathnaithe	122.7 $ an bairille fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-25)+21.11% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +4.87 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliamAn praghas táirge luaite a mbunaíonn scaglanna agus mórdhíoltóirí a bpraghsanna air.	Níl sé ar fáil	Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
Corrlach scaglainneAn méid a tuilleadh as bairille a scagadh chun an táirge seo a dhéanamh.	Níl sé ar fáil	Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
Rátaí lastaisCé mhéad a chosain sé an lasta a sheoladh.	Níl sé ar fáil	Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).
StoicStoic a choinnítear, a mhaolaíonn nó a mhéadaíonn athrú soláthair.	Breathnaithe	7,375,400 t fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-01)+1.40% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +0.49 aonaid luaineachta
Praghsanna mórdhíolaAn praghas idir geata na scaglainne agus an stáisiún peitril.	Níl sé ar fáil	Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).
Praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánachaAn praghas ag an gcaidéal agus an dleacht mháil, an CBL agus cánacha eile ar bhreosla bainte de.	Breathnaithe	1.097 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-21)+30.85% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +6.68 aonaid luaineachta
Praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáinAn méid a d’íoc tiománaí i ndáiríre.	Breathnaithe	1.878 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-21)+7.92% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +3.60 aonaid luaineachta

Is ceisteanna éagsúla iad nochtadh fisiceach (Caolas Hormuz) agus nochtadh praghais. Is féidir le praghas ag an gcaidéal bogadh fiú i dtír nach bhfuil mórán nochta fhisicigh dhírigh aici: praghsáiltear amhola go domhanda, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

Is féidir leathanach an mhiondealaithe a shocrú ar na seachtainí thart ar dháta an teagmhais, ionas gur féidir an ghluaiseacht ag an gcaidéal a roinnt ina cáin, ina costas ionchuir agus sa chuid nach gclúdaíonn an costas ionchuir.

Miondealú an phraghais, 17/02/2022 – 26/03/2022 →

Is í an fhuinneog dáta foilsithe an teagmhais lúide 7 lá go dtí móide 30 lá. Fuinneog le breathnú tríthi atá ann, ní éileamh gurbh é an teagmhas bunús an ruda atá inti.

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Bheilg, díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)

Cad a rinne an praghas gan chánacha ó cheithre seachtaine roimh sheachtain an teagmhais go dtí trí seachtaine déag ina diaidh, taobh leis an méid a dhéanfadh sé dá leanfadh sé costas ionchuir na hamhola amháin ar an luas a thomhaiseann an meastachán stóráilte ar an tarchur praghsanna. Níl an difríocht scáthaithe mínithe ag an amhola; ní shanntar don teagmhas ná d’aon rud eile í.

Níorbh fhéidir an chomparáid leis an amhola amháin a léamh.

API 404 for /api/events/ru-invasion-ukraine-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'ru-invasion-ukraine-2022' and country 'belgium'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

Tagann gach abairt ó theimpléad seasta, arna roghnú de réir tairseach foilsithe. Oscail “Cén fáth an abairt seo” chun na huimhreacha a roghnaigh í a fheiceáil. Níor scríobh múnla teanga aon chuid den téacs seo, agus ní shanntar cúis in aon áit ann.

Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Bheilg) +3.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.4, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8336
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.5448308878462362
t0_value
0.80563
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.4718170872484952
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.42563622425938763
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02797000000000005
change_pct_from_t0
3.4718170872484952
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
8.156770710222093
change_in_volatility_units
0.42563622425938763
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8336
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.5448308878462362
t0_value
0.80563
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.4718170872484952
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.42563622425938763
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02797000000000005
change_pct_from_t0
3.4718170872484952
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
8.156770710222093
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.42563622425938763
Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg ed5c6748a94b6d18e210ca5d2acca6898007056f985ac2316e118f9ae07b5e52 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Bheilg) +23.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 2.9, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.9933099999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
9.511709919245188
t0_value
0.80563
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
23.296054019835406
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.8560388476582665
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.18767999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
23.296054019835406
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
8.156770710222093
change_in_volatility_units
2.8560388476582665
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.9933099999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
9.511709919245188
t0_value
0.80563
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
23.296054019835406
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.8560388476582665
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.18767999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
23.296054019835406
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
8.156770710222093
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.8560388476582665
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 47d42ef9ffb5c12410d4a5a23276f6cff2301360b46e54b62f1e32f6d55a2d68 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Bheilg) +45.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 5.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.17073
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
16.140247128880173
t0_value
0.80563
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
45.31857055968623
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.555945136828824
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3651000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
45.31857055968623
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
8.156770710222093
change_in_volatility_units
5.555945136828824
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.17073
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
16.140247128880173
t0_value
0.80563
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
45.31857055968623
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.555945136828824
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3651000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
45.31857055968623
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
8.156770710222093
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
5.555945136828824
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 0e01bbafe5710a12fc73d64a7e6ec06bc19bb5408b8cbec80911ce11aadc4b92 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Bheilg) +2.0%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.6, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.73485
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.5448592648475343
t0_value
1.701
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.9900058788947639
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5978710423818244
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.033849999999999936
change_pct_from_t0
1.9900058788947639
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
3.32848681041131
change_in_volatility_units
0.5978710423818244
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.73485
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.5448592648475343
t0_value
1.701
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.9900058788947639
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5978710423818244
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.033849999999999936
change_pct_from_t0
1.9900058788947639
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
3.32848681041131
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.5978710423818244
Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 95e9188586923e609d76f1cdb81cdc911b4e47ee6b31141e9eb8e0c633b4e017 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Bheilg) +3.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.9, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.7530999999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
4.108362398025973
t0_value
1.701
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.062904174015274
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.9202091966940324
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05209999999999981
change_pct_from_t0
3.062904174015274
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
3.32848681041131
change_in_volatility_units
0.9202091966940324
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.7530999999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
4.108362398025973
t0_value
1.701
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.062904174015274
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.9202091966940324
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05209999999999981
change_pct_from_t0
3.062904174015274
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
3.32848681041131
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.9202091966940324
Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg e44c8b3ab5e2f1f12e1d990542abf8a240e898ddc06edcc0dc5e860f09653ef9 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Bheilg) +15.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 4.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.96777
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
10.736703088404942
t0_value
1.701
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
15.683127572016458
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.71178900963662
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.26676999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
15.683127572016458
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.32848681041131
change_in_volatility_units
4.71178900963662
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.96777
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
10.736703088404942
t0_value
1.701
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
15.683127572016458
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.71178900963662
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.26676999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
15.683127572016458
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.32848681041131
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
4.71178900963662
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg f8cc84cf5cc6e1fa79e59d5b781de89f2db97d59555eb977d9644eec435db5e0 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Bheilg) +4.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 0.9, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.87339
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.912745438306075
t0_value
0.83813
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.20698459666161
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.9108632353790201
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03525999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
4.20698459666161
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
4.618678670141998
change_in_volatility_units
0.9108632353790201
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.87339
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.912745438306075
t0_value
0.83813
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.20698459666161
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.9108632353790201
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03525999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
4.20698459666161
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
4.618678670141998
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.9108632353790201
Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 2ea6c40dad8ebda6df697508d2f3b4f9e715846b14f33d6d63737c02cd08cd5b · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Bheilg) +30.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 6.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.0967
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
11.899629966951327
t0_value
0.83813
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
30.85082266474174
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
6.679577616901687
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.25856999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
30.85082266474174
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
4.618678670141998
change_in_volatility_units
6.679577616901687
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.0967
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
11.899629966951327
t0_value
0.83813
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
30.85082266474174
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
6.679577616901687
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.25856999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
30.85082266474174
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
4.618678670141998
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
6.679577616901687
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b72048691c11d4696d72b4bb03a57a2d52c2575c931ae4771234ae642f841b29 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Bheilg) +37.3%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 8.1, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1511600000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
13.847441222291534
t0_value
0.83813
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
37.34862133559235
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.086429908414496
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.31303000000000014
change_pct_from_t0
37.34862133559235
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
4.618678670141998
change_in_volatility_units
8.086429908414496
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.1511600000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
13.847441222291534
t0_value
0.83813
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
37.34862133559235
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.086429908414496
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.31303000000000014
change_pct_from_t0
37.34862133559235
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
4.618678670141998
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
8.086429908414496
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b15c66dad826da2de6d7767d8fb41cb868c6bf251bc9a328ec7d833442b8a673 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Bheilg) +2.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 1.1, laistigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.7830000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.912619271241165
t0_value
1.74033
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
2.4518338476036274
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1128226952222258
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04267000000000021
change_pct_from_t0
2.4518338476036274
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.203256509891728
change_in_volatility_units
1.1128226952222258
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.7830000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
3.912619271241165
t0_value
1.74033
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
2.4518338476036274
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1128226952222258
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04267000000000021
change_pct_from_t0
2.4518338476036274
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.203256509891728
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.1128226952222258
Teimpléad event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 1b55e6837c6a4b025b4d1d64b8fb011414001c05a44ab83441adce915fd6966f · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Bheilg) +7.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.8782
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
6.726453867064835
t0_value
1.74033
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
7.922060758591772
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.5956143658375375
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.13787000000000016
change_pct_from_t0
7.922060758591772
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.203256509891728
change_in_volatility_units
3.5956143658375375
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.8782
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
6.726453867064835
t0_value
1.74033
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
7.922060758591772
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.5956143658375375
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.13787000000000016
change_pct_from_t0
7.922060758591772
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.203256509891728
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.5956143658375375
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg adcf6e41d300ee4d3a3c58cf5c345698e76392f64451ae939151a0062dd48d63 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Bheilg) +11.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 5.3, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.9440899999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
8.67397026957346
t0_value
1.74033
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
11.708124321249416
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.314008726938823
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20375999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
11.708124321249416
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.203256509891728
change_in_volatility_units
5.314008726938823
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.9440899999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
z_score
8.67397026957346
t0_value
1.74033
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
11.708124321249416
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_BE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.314008726938823
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20375999999999994
change_pct_from_t0
11.708124321249416
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.203256509891728
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
5.314008726938823
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 53a78b8914c7aa4bb74468cbca1d02ca1000fff36512c24eccaf4755ecc059f1 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Bheilg) +13.2 c/l (raon +5.9–+20.6); d’athraigh sé +18.8 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +5.5 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola.
tír: an BheilgRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.055247657255108024
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.18767999999999996
expected_eur_per_litre
0.13243234274489193
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.059293506234810674
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.20557117925497367
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.055247657255108024
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.18767999999999996
expected_eur_per_litre
0.13243234274489193
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.059293506234810674
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.20557117925497367
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Méarlorg 31445e096347a4f73295030582ccfd1ae773551fd5e2bc09b0d6f3071e6617cd · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Bheilg) +23.2 c/l (raon +8.4–+38.1); d’athraigh sé +36.5 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +13.3 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola.
tír: an BheilgRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.13266140993308875
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.3651000000000001
expected_eur_per_litre
0.23243859006691134
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.084328442674518
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3805487374593088
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.13266140993308875
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.3651000000000001
expected_eur_per_litre
0.23243859006691134
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.084328442674518
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3805487374593088
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Méarlorg 32d40bcff8861e5e623a43efb51546e610ae1edcd4001d0f3c57a4c5bd32ed12 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Bheilg) +23.2 c/l (raon +11.5–+34.9); d’athraigh sé +25.9 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +2.7 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 22.2 $/bbl.
tír: an BheilgRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_DIESEL
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.026873377744886656
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.25856999999999997
expected_eur_per_litre
0.2316966222551133
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.11461645632567152
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.34877678818455693
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_DIESEL
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.026873377744886656
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.25856999999999997
expected_eur_per_litre
0.2316966222551133
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.11461645632567152
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.34877678818455693
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg b32c81d0fa0d8c242b74a11767a3cc422f44fedbc541264884b2dbabfd5ac637 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Bheilg) +30.3 c/l (raon +7.5–+53.0); d’athraigh sé +31.3 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +1.0 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 29.9 $/bbl.
tír: an BheilgRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_DIESEL
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.010133534063993754
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.31303000000000014
expected_eur_per_litre
0.3028964659360064
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.07549971130905754
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.5302932205629569
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Belgium
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_BE_DIESEL
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.010133534063993754
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.31303000000000014
expected_eur_per_litre
0.3028964659360064
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.07549971130905754
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.5302932205629569
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg eab865a0d807f0e5f45e1224c7e5e9d9ab6d7795fcbedaa8cde6e08a3c011dbb · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (amhola, an Bheilg, Feabhra 2022): measartha (10%–16%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.
tír: an BheilgRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Belgium
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
value_max_pct
15.5922109754437
value_min_pct
10.0770959103082
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
moderate
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Belgium
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
value_max_pct
15.5922109754437
value_min_pct
10.0770959103082
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.dependence.range v1.2 · Méarlorg dd911b7e4cf985fd2868acb97c88e6391bd3c0fb4ccc291ed242dfdeb2f23611 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (táirgí peitriliam, an Bheilg, Feabhra 2022): teoranta (0%–2%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.
tír: an BheilgRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Belgium
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
value_max_pct
2.16414183452639
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Belgium
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
value_max_pct
2.16414183452639
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.dependence.range v1.2 · Méarlorg 4dafcb79ce383ea6db2d917085e3340b5b02256d5346477c17b019599f84a556 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Ní léiríonn an fhianaise atá ar fáil laghdú fisiceach soláthair: allmhairí amhola tuairiscithe (an Bheilg, Feabhra 2022) i gcomparáid le meán na míonna roimhe sin (12): -5.6%.
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Belgium
change_pct
-5.611569549666269
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
value_tonnes
2234300
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
2367133.3333333335
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Belgium
change_pct
-5.611569549666269
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
value_tonnes
2234300
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
2367133.3333333335
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Teimpléad event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Méarlorg b9877c4ef8b39458864504dd3a7806474ed099f91436e8f7acb73a20a41f233b · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Stoic ola (an Bheilg, Feabhra 2022): 11.6% faoi bhun a meáin thar na míonna roimhe sin (12), le 106.0 lá cumhdaigh (mar a foilsíodh).
tír: an BheilgRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_BE
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
days_of_cover
106
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
0.9395470189852337
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
7273300
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
8232225
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-11.648430406117424
trailing_12m_observations
12
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
-11.648430406117424
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
-11.6
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Belgium
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_BE
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
days_of_cover
106
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
0.9395470189852337
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
7273300
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
8232225
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-11.648430406117424
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Teimpléad event.inventory_level.below v1.2 · Méarlorg 5300cbfa016c98898dd27d3fd520ce49d030a54f20fa15203ac5188e9b2f0194 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Achoimre ar a bhféadfar a sheiceáil anseo
An Bheilg, teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Ní féidir ach cuid den slabhra a sheiceáil. Sraitheanna a chuireann an modh i gcomparáid atá ar fáil: 4 as 8 (tagarmharc amhola, stoic, praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánacha agus praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáin); nach bhfuil ar fáil: tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam, corrlach scaglainne, rátaí lastais agus praghsanna mórdhíola. Ní féidir aon éileamh atá bunaithe ar na naisc atá ar iarraidh a thástáil anseo. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar amhola a bhaineann le Hormuz sa tréimhse a chlúdaítear: measartha (10–16%). Déanann an leathanach seo cur síos ar cad a rinne gach sraith thart ar dháta an teagmhais. Ní fionnachtain faoi chúis é: níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog chéanna bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
tír: an BheilgAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Belgium
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
dependence_band
moderate
dependence_range
10–16%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Belgium
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
BE
country_name
Belgium
country_slug
belgium
dependence_band
moderate
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
10–16%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Méarlorg 53607ed2aabd96c4569f5fe561bbd5e1ec921d9e4077925b838a16c100586aff · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +13.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 499e14f143cd15685ef1480ed3fa89cd45abe5f0647c7ec6a69249dfc87c1dd1 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +21.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 4.9, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 216049ee46b7aafc7c24ef4f74d592168c4ca36a76f9b7e30eb4f402126d0f04 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +14.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 3c4d928f0edacc86e86f81949df4a6221c6a157e987b0435ccf81af9f53e267c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Rátaí lastais – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 06b89c2e9e647323c15398c394cf050a39c9a42ef3b469967cce5fff091ed96a · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo. Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg eacf068451f42ad71340259d5f692acb03bf66b7a7d6f730ade5a819ff7d1005 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Praghsanna mórdhíola – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 0a8ec24923eb853f8772aa729f8ec775267350a63bc1d8e64f27facfb62978a7 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Corrlach scaglainne – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 92e561b810be016411f6a7bbc96381cc8ebec1f6df6e0ae2fd7fc342f4dc1c9f · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

An méid nach dtaispeánann sé seo

Ní thaispeánann sé gurbh é an teagmhas bunús aon ruda. Níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
Ní tástáil suntasachta é athrú in aonaid luaineachta, agus ní tástáil suntasachta é scór z ach an oiread. Tomhaiseann siad rudaí éagsúla agus ní féidir ceann a chur in áit an chinn eile.
Taispeántar cainéil nach bhfuil foinse acu a bhfuil ceadúnas againn chun í a úsáid, nó foinse lódáilte, mar phainéil fholmha, ní mar línte cothroma. Ní hionann “Ní féidir linn é seo a fheiceáil” agus “Níor bhog sé seo”.
Ní idirshuitear aon rud. Nuair a thagann roinnt fritháireamh ar an bhfigiúr foilsithe céanna, is é sin a phriontáil an foilsitheoir, agus is nialas an t-athrú i gcoinne dháta an teagmhais: is í an uimhir chéanna í.

An Bheilg: soláthar, scaglanna agus praghsanna ag an gcaidéal →

Conas na lipéid a léamh

OifigiúilTuairiscithe go díreach ag údarás oifigiúil.
FíoraitheTuairiscithe ag tríú páirtí agus fíoraithe againn i gcoinne taifid phríomhúil.
RíofaRíofa againn ó ionchuir thuairiscithe. Tá an modh foilsithe ar leathanach na modheolaíochta.
Infeirithe · muinín ardNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó dhá thaifead fhisiceacha neamhspleácha ar a laghad.
Infeirithe · muinín mheánachNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó fhianaise láidir indíreach, gan deimhniú follasach.
Infeirithe · muinín ísealNíor tuairiscíodh. Sochreidte ó shonraí bonneagair nó gluaiseachta amháin. Ná léigh mar fhíric é.
AnaithnidNí chruthaíonn aon fhianaise phoiblí inchosanta é seo. Ní thugaimid buille faoi thuairim, agus ní tomhas nialais é seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Bheilg, díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

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