Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022)

Dátaí: 24/02/2022 → níl dáta deiridh ar taifead
Beachtas an dáta: lá
Stádas: Ar siúl
Raon feidhme: An Úcráin

An méid a dúirt na foinsí (i mBéarla)

European Council, special meeting of 24 February 2022, document EUCO 18/22: "European Council conclusions on Russia's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine"; "The European Council condemns in the strongest possible terms the Russian Federation's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine." The conclusions are dated and headed 24 February 2022, which is the date recorded here. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

IEA, EIA, an Coimisiún Eorpach, an Chomhairle Eorpach agus reachtais náisiúnta (foinse luaite i ngach ró)Oifigiúil

Aisghafa 23/09/2026, 07:22 UTCAthbhreithniú 1

Doiciméid foinse (2)

TírAn Ghearmáin An Fhrainc An Ísiltír An Pholainn An Fhionlainn An Eastóin An Ostair An Bheilg An Bhulgáir An Chróit An Chipir An tSeicia An Danmhairg An Ghréig An Ungáir Éire An Iodáil An Laitvia An Liotuáin Lucsamburg Málta An Phortaingéil An Rómáin An tSlóvaic An tSlóivéin An Spáinn An tSualainn

BreoslaDíosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)Peitreal (Euro-super 95)An dá bhreosla

Nuair a roghnaítear breosla, coinnítear sraitheanna an bhreosla sin agus na cainéil atá i gcoitinne ag gach breosla: tagarmharc na hamhola, an ráta malairte, allmhairí amhola agus nochtadh do Hormuz. Ní fhágtar ar lár ach sraitheanna an bhreosla eile.

Fuinneog an teagmhais

Luach gach sraithe idir -30 agus 90 lá timpeall ar dháta an teagmhais, an fad atá sé sin ó leibhéal na sraithe céanna ar dháta an teagmhais, agus méid na gluaiseachta sin i gcomparáid le gnáthathraitheacht na sraithe féin.

An Ghearmáin, Díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar). Sraitheanna is féidir a tharraingt: 16; sraitheanna nach féidir a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, a thaispeántar thíos mar phainéil fholmha lipéadaithe: 4.

Léamha foilsithe: 189; fritháirimh nach bhfuil aon rud foilsithe dóibh laistigh de thréimhse amháin: 19; fritháirimh ar shraitheanna nach féidir linn a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith: 52. Tá gach ceann acu ar an leathanach seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaOifigiúil

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (Europe Brent spot FOB): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	89.49	-11.800	-11.65%	-2.69
−14	2022-02-10	96.37	-4.920	-4.86%	-1.12
−7	2022-02-17	95.28	-6.010	-5.93%	-1.37
−3	2022-02-21	98.95	-2.340	-2.31%	-0.53
−1	2022-02-23	99.29	-2.000	-1.97%	-0.46
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.3	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+3	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+7	2022-03-03	115.4	+14.070	+13.89%	+3.20
+14	2022-03-10	114.5	+13.250	+13.08%	+3.02
+30	2022-03-25	122.7	+21.380	+21.11%	+4.87
+60	2022-04-25	99.27	-2.020	-1.99%	-0.46
+90	2022-05-25	116.4	+15.120	+14.93%	+3.44

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 4.34%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 767) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaOifigiúil

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh. Foilsíodh luach amháin ar a laghad a úsáideadh lasmuigh den fhuinneog (−30 – +90); síneadh an ais chun a thaispeáint cá bhfuil sé i ndáiríre.

Tábla na fuinneoige (reported crude oil imports, all origins): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	7,044,373	+243,995	+3.59%	+0.41
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	6,800,378	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	7,090,862	+290,484	+4.27%	+0.49
+14	2022-03-01	7,090,862	+290,484	+4.27%	+0.49
+30	2022-03-01	7,090,862	+290,484	+4.27%	+0.49
+60	2022-04-01	7,459,571	+659,193	+9.69%	+1.10
+90	2022-05-01	7,608,814	+808,436	+11.89%	+1.35

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.80%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.8506	-0.076	-8.25%	-0.03
−14	2022-02-07	0.8879	-0.039	-4.23%	-0.02
−7	2022-02-14	0.9090	-0.018	-1.95%	-0.01
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.9836	+0.057	+6.10%	+0.02
+14	2022-03-07	1.114	+0.187	+20.17%	+0.07
+30	2022-03-21	1.158	+0.231	+24.87%	+0.09
+60	2022-04-25	1.199	+0.272	+29.29%	+0.10
+90	2022-05-23	1.318	+0.391	+42.16%	+0.15

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 280.66%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

Aonad: USD in aghaidh an EURFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaOifigiúil

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	1.127	+0.011	+0.94%	+2.37
−14	2022-02-10	1.144	+0.028	+2.47%	+6.23
−7	2022-02-17	1.137	+0.021	+1.85%	+4.67
−3	2022-02-21	1.134	+0.017	+1.57%	+3.95
−1	2022-02-23	1.134	+0.018	+1.62%	+4.09
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.116	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+3	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+7	2022-03-03	1.108	-0.009	-0.78%	-1.96
+14	2022-03-10	1.108	-0.008	-0.71%	-1.78
+30	2022-03-25	1.100	-0.016	-1.44%	-3.64
+60	2022-04-25	1.075	-0.042	-3.74%	-9.42
+90	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.051	-4.54%	-11.45

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.40%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 770) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	0.0142–0.0845	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−14	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−7	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−3	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−1	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
T0	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+1	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+3	2022-02-01	1.676–2.710	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+7	2022-03-01	3.205–5.351	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+14	2022-03-01	3.205–5.351	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+30	2022-03-01	3.205–5.351	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+60	2022-04-01	3.476–5.240	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+90	2022-05-01	4.387–5.627	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

Aonad: % de na tonnaí allmhairitheFoilsithe: míosúilAnaithnidAnaithnid

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	0–0.0177	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+7	2022-03-01	0–0.0018	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+14	2022-03-01	0–0.0018	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+30	2022-03-01	0–0.0018	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+60	2022-04-01	0–0.0232	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+90	2022-05-01	0–0.0506	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

Aonad: lá cumhdaighFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	101.0	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	99.00	-2.000	-1.98%	-0.58
+14	2022-03-01	99.00	-2.000	-1.98%	-0.58
+30	2022-03-01	99.00	-2.000	-1.98%	-0.58
+60	2022-04-01	99.00	-2.000	-1.98%	-0.58
+90	2022-05-01	99.00	-2.000	-1.98%	-0.58

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 3.42%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 7.69%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

Aonad: tFoilsithe: míosúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-01	32,523,015	+330,392	+1.03%	+0.64
−14	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01an luach céanna agus ag T0	32,192,623	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	32,295,246	+102,623	+0.32%	+0.20
+14	2022-03-01	32,295,246	+102,623	+0.32%	+0.20
+30	2022-03-01	32,295,246	+102,623	+0.32%	+0.20
+60	2022-04-01	32,541,995	+349,372	+1.09%	+0.68
+90	2022-05-01	32,775,362	+582,739	+1.81%	+1.14

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.59%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó mhí go mí; líon na n-athruithe: 35) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaMeánach

Tábla na fuinneoige (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.0370	+0.037	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−14	2022-02-07	0.0392	+0.039	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−7	2022-02-14	0.0206	+0.021	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0	0.000	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+7	2022-02-28	0.0065	+0.006	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+14	2022-03-07	0.1231	+0.123	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+30	2022-03-21	0.1980	+0.198	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+60	2022-04-25	0.0444	+0.044	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe
+90	2022-05-23	-0.0993	-0.099	neamhfhoilsithe	neamhfhoilsithe

Ní fhoilsítear aon ghnáthluaineacht don tsraith seo: ní chuirtear aon athrú in iúl in aonaid luaineachta. Ionchur atá ar iarraidh é sin, ní nialas.

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	1.616	-0.047	-2.83%	-1.90
−14	2022-02-07	1.663	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-14	1.666	+0.003	+0.18%	+0.12
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.663	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.663	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.663	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.663	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	1.663	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.738	+0.075	+4.51%	+3.02
+14	2022-03-07	2.032	+0.369	+22.19%	+14.88
+30	2022-03-21	2.173	+0.510	+30.67%	+20.57
+60	2022-04-25	2.039	+0.376	+22.61%	+15.16
+90	2022-05-23	2.010	+0.347	+20.87%	+13.99

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 1.49%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.8876	-0.040	-4.26%	-1.66
−14	2022-02-07	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-14	0.9296	+0.003	+0.27%	+0.11
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.9271	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.9901	+0.063	+6.80%	+2.66
+14	2022-03-07	1.237	+0.310	+33.45%	+13.07
+30	2022-03-21	1.356	+0.429	+46.23%	+18.06
+60	2022-04-25	1.243	+0.316	+34.08%	+13.32
+90	2022-05-23	1.219	+0.292	+31.45%	+12.29

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 2.56%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Aonad: € an lítearFoilsithe: seachtainiúilRíofaOifigiúil

Tábla na fuinneoige (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-24	0.7284	-0.008	-1.02%	-1.37
−14	2022-02-07	0.7359	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-14	0.7364	+0.000	+0.07%	+0.09
−3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.7359	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.7359	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.7359	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.7359	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21an luach céanna agus ag T0	0.7359	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.7479	+0.012	+1.63%	+2.19
+14	2022-03-07	0.7948	+0.059	+8.01%	+10.80
+30	2022-03-21	0.8174	+0.081	+11.07%	+14.92
+60	2022-04-25	0.7960	+0.060	+8.16%	+11.00
+90	2022-05-23	0.7913	+0.055	+7.53%	+10.15

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 0.74%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó sheachtain go seachtain; líon na n-athruithe: 148) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	22.61	+1.846	+8.89%	+1.05
−14	2022-02-10	25.09	+4.332	+20.87%	+2.47
−7	2022-02-17	23.41	+2.650	+12.76%	+1.51
−3	2022-02-18	21.50	+0.742	+3.57%	+0.42
−1	2022-02-23	20.03	-0.730	-3.52%	-0.42
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	20.76	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+3	2022-02-25	22.06	+1.302	+6.27%	+0.74
+7	2022-03-03	37.39	+16.632	+80.11%	+9.48
+14	2022-03-10	30.44	+9.682	+46.63%	+5.52
+30	2022-03-25	55.41	+34.648	+166.88%	+19.75
+60	2022-04-25	80.15	+59.392	+286.06%	+33.85
+90	2022-05-25	54.28	+33.516	+161.43%	+19.10

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 8.45%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 751) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	15.43	-1.934	-11.14%	-0.06
−14	2022-02-10	17.95	+0.594	+3.42%	+0.02
−7	2022-02-17	18.67	+1.306	+7.52%	+0.04
−3	2022-02-18	19.03	+1.666	+9.60%	+0.05
−1	2022-02-23	17.39	+0.026	+0.15%	+0.00
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	17.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+3	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+7	2022-03-03	18.33	+0.966	+5.56%	+0.03
+14	2022-03-10	13.10	-4.262	-24.55%	-0.14
+30	2022-03-25	16.69	-0.674	-3.88%	-0.02
+60	2022-04-25	36.43	+19.072	+109.86%	+0.61
+90	2022-05-25	47.31	+29.946	+172.50%	+0.95

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 180.80%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 751) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Aonad: $ an bairilleFoilsithe: laethúilRíofaÍseal

x: laethanta ó dháta an teagmhais. Tá gach marc ag an dáta a raibh an figiúr foilsithe; sin mar a fhreagraíonn riail an luacha is déanaí ar eolas fritháireamh.

Tábla na fuinneoige (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): luach, athrú i gcomparáid le dáta an teagmhais agus athrú in aonaid luaineachta ag gach fritháireamh.
Fritháireamh	Luach a úsáideadh	Luach	Δ abs.	Δ %	Aonaid luaineachta
−30	2022-01-25	13.79	+0.796	+6.13%	+0.04
−14	2022-02-10	16.48	+3.492	+26.88%	+0.15
−7	2022-02-17	13.25	+0.256	+1.97%	+0.01
−3	2022-02-18	12.98	-0.014	-0.11%	-0.00
−1	2022-02-23	12.89	-0.100	-0.77%	-0.00
T0	2022-02-24an luach céanna agus ag T0	12.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+3	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+7	2022-03-03	23.95	+10.962	+84.38%	+0.48
+14	2022-03-10	16.37	+3.382	+26.03%	+0.15
+30	2022-03-25	37.98	+24.988	+192.33%	+1.10
+60	2022-04-25	78.26	+65.272	+502.40%	+2.88
+90	2022-05-25	40.71	+27.720	+213.36%	+1.22

Is ionann aonad luaineachta amháin don tsraith seo agus 174.63%: diall caighdeánach a hathruithe céatadáin féin (ó lá go lá; líon na n-athruithe: 751) sna trí bliana roimh an teagmhas. Ní tástáil suntasachta é.

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

Tá foinse ann agus ní cheadaíonn a ceadúnas dúinn í a athfhoilsiú. Níl na cainéil seo ar iarraidh ón domhan, ach ón leathanach seo amháin.

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).

Fritháirimh san fhuinneog lena mbaineann sé seo: 13.

T0: 24/02/2022. Fuinneog bhunlíne: -90 go -31 lá. Fritháirimh a ríomhadh: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Modh 1.0, ríomh event_study-1.0, ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC.

Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Roinntear an cheist i ngnéithe a thomhaistear ar leithligh agus nach suimítear riamh in aon uimhir amháin. Insíonn gach ró an féidir linn an ghné sin a fheiceáil ar chor ar bith, agus tugann sé figiúr foilsithe amháin nuair is féidir.

Cainéil tarchuir praghsanna a bhfuil sonraí acu sa ríomh seo (as an ocht gcinn a thuairiscíonn an suíomh seo): 4 Ríofa. Líon na rónna thíos atá ann, ní tomhas.

Foilsíonn Modheolaíocht §11.1 na tairseacha a úsáideann na habairtí thíos: na hocht gcainéal go léir don chomparáid iomlán, trí cinn ar a laghad chun gur féidir an t-éileamh a thástáil anseo ar chor ar bith, agus tairseach (aonaid luaineachta) de 2.0 chun cur síos ar ghluaiseacht mar ghluaiseacht lasmuigh de ghnáthathraitheacht sraithe. Roghanna foclaíochta foilsithe iad sin, ní tástálacha staitistiúla.

Gnéithe den nochtadh (teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022)), gach ceann lena stádas agus le figiúr foilsithe amháin.
Gné	Stádas	Figiúr foilsithe, nó an fáth nach bhfuil ceann ann
Nochtadh díreach amhola (D1)An sciar den amhola allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a bealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.	Raon amháin	3.205–5.351 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2022-03) · gan lárphointe
Nochtadh díreach táirgí (D2)An sciar de na táirgí peitriliam allmhairithe a gcaithfidh a mbealach dul trí Chaolas Hormuz.	Raon amháin	0–0.0018 % de na tonnaí allmhairithe fritháireamh: +30 d (2022-03) · gan lárphointe
Laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola (D7)Líon na laethanta cumhdaigh atá sna cúlstoic ola foilsithe. Maolán i gcoinne suaitheadh soláthair, ní sciar d’allmhairí, agus ní cainéal praghais.	Breathnaithe	99.00 lá cumhdaigh fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-01)-1.98% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = -0.58 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc amholaAn praghas amhola luaite a mbunaítear praghas lastas Eorpach air.	Breathnaithe	122.7 $ an bairille fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-25)+21.11% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +4.87 aonaid luaineachta
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliamAn praghas táirge luaite a mbunaíonn scaglanna agus mórdhíoltóirí a bpraghsanna air.	Níl sé ar fáil	Is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED). Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
Corrlach scaglainneAn méid a tuilleadh as bairille a scagadh chun an táirge seo a dhéanamh.	Níl sé ar fáil	Níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
Rátaí lastaisCé mhéad a chosain sé an lasta a sheoladh.	Níl sé ar fáil	Tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer (ró 17: BLOCKED).
StoicStoic a choinnítear, a mhaolaíonn nó a mhéadaíonn athrú soláthair.	Breathnaithe	32,295,246 t fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-01)+0.32% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +0.20 aonaid luaineachta
Praghsanna mórdhíolaAn praghas idir geata na scaglainne agus an stáisiún peitril.	Níl sé ar fáil	Is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo (ró 16: BLOCKED).
Praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánachaAn praghas ag an gcaidéal agus an dleacht mháil, an CBL agus cánacha eile ar bhreosla bainte de.	Breathnaithe	1.356 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-21)+46.23% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +18.06 aonaid luaineachta
Praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáinAn méid a d’íoc tiománaí i ndáiríre.	Breathnaithe	2.173 € an lítear fritháireamh: +30 d (foilsithe: 2022-03-21)+30.67% i gcomparáid leis an leibhéal ag T0 = +20.57 aonaid luaineachta

Is ceisteanna éagsúla iad nochtadh fisiceach (Caolas Hormuz) agus nochtadh praghais. Is féidir le praghas ag an gcaidéal bogadh fiú i dtír nach bhfuil mórán nochta fhisicigh dhírigh aici: praghsáiltear amhola go domhanda, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

Is féidir leathanach an mhiondealaithe a shocrú ar na seachtainí thart ar dháta an teagmhais, ionas gur féidir an ghluaiseacht ag an gcaidéal a roinnt ina cáin, ina costas ionchuir agus sa chuid nach gclúdaíonn an costas ionchuir.

Miondealú an phraghais, 17/02/2022 – 26/03/2022 →

Is í an fhuinneog dáta foilsithe an teagmhais lúide 7 lá go dtí móide 30 lá. Fuinneog le breathnú tríthi atá ann, ní éileamh gurbh é an teagmhas bunús an ruda atá inti.

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Ghearmáin, díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)

Cad a rinne an praghas gan chánacha ó cheithre seachtaine roimh sheachtain an teagmhais go dtí trí seachtaine déag ina diaidh, taobh leis an méid a dhéanfadh sé dá leanfadh sé costas ionchuir na hamhola amháin ar an luas a thomhaiseann an meastachán stóráilte ar an tarchur praghsanna. Níl an difríocht scáthaithe mínithe ag an amhola; ní shanntar don teagmhas ná d’aon rud eile í.

An t-athrú iarbhír gan chánacha(praghsanna oifigiúla)
An méid a dhéanfadh an amhola amháin(ríofa, le raon)
Scáthaithe: gan mhíniú ag an amhola(gan sannadh d’aon chúis)
Neamhfhoilsithe(gan phraghas gan chánacha ná costas amhola an tseachtain sin)

Tomhaistear na hathruithe ón tseachtain feasacháin seo: 2022-02-21. Freagra na hamhola tógtha ón meastachán tarchuir praghsanna atá stóráilte; bunús an mheastacháin: an sampla iomlán (2005-01-03 – 2026-09-14). Is raon coimeádach é an banda éadrom, ní eatramh 90%. An limistéar scáthaithe: gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Tá corrlaigh scaglainne, lastas, corrlaigh mhiondíola agus earráid na samhla ar fad ann, agus ní ainmnítear aon cheann acu mar an chúis.

Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Ghearmáin) +23.1 c/l (raon +14.0–+32.1); d’athraigh sé +42.9 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +19.8 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 22.2 $/bbl.
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Ghearmáin) +39.1 c/l (raon +21.3–+56.9); d’athraigh sé +29.2 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -9.9 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 29.9 $/bbl.

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

Tagann gach abairt ó theimpléad seasta, arna roghnú de réir tairseach foilsithe. Oscail “Cén fáth an abairt seo” chun na huimhreacha a roghnaigh í a fheiceáil. Níor scríobh múnla teanga aon chuid den téacs seo, agus ní shanntar cúis in aon áit ann.

Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +6.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 2.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.9194500000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
5.130604988068993
t0_value
0.8614700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
6.730356251523562
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.1629478259003
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05798000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
6.730356251523562
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
3.1116590843896734
change_in_volatility_units
2.1629478259003
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.9194500000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
5.130604988068993
t0_value
0.8614700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
6.730356251523562
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.1629478259003
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05798000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
6.730356251523562
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
3.1116590843896734
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.1629478259003
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b9ecb6fd09ce088d24bc7736bb78bd3ffcd3b548e8903d841ca8b3c454dbfcb6 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +33.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 10.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.14718
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.297399560044921
t0_value
0.8614700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
33.165403322228286
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
10.658430895791211
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.28571
change_pct_from_t0
33.165403322228286
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
3.1116590843896734
change_in_volatility_units
10.658430895791211
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.14718
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.297399560044921
t0_value
0.8614700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
33.165403322228286
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
10.658430895791211
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.28571
change_pct_from_t0
33.165403322228286
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
3.1116590843896734
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
10.658430895791211
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b4538fbebf4c24e3c9b31b31d5358292a724761324998df97056bc092841320f · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +34.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 11.0, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.15558
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.598638195291034
t0_value
0.8614700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
34.14048080606405
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
10.971793464566002
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.29411
change_pct_from_t0
34.14048080606405
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.1116590843896734
change_in_volatility_units
10.971793464566002
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.15558
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.598638195291034
t0_value
0.8614700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
34.14048080606405
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
10.971793464566002
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.29411
change_pct_from_t0
34.14048080606405
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.1116590843896734
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
10.971793464566002
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 11917986d4aab35f6977afd7f0790e072abac65e3ced73399ba4f2dae61f7df5 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +3.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 2.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.873
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
5.130732516229787
t0_value
1.804
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.8248337028824806
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.661560188903166
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06899999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
3.8248337028824806
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.4370645153280195
change_in_volatility_units
2.661560188903166
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.873
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
5.130732516229787
t0_value
1.804
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.8248337028824806
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.661560188903166
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06899999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
3.8248337028824806
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.4370645153280195
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.661560188903166
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg e1eb78717328a369e2ba84f2a781670757dab0fbcb48ad13c0ff397d837f02c1 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +18.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 13.1, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.144
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.297713496542697
t0_value
1.804
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
18.847006651884705
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.114934264160542
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3400000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
18.847006651884705
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.4370645153280195
change_in_volatility_units
13.114934264160542
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.144
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.297713496542697
t0_value
1.804
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
18.847006651884705
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.114934264160542
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3400000000000001
change_pct_from_t0
18.847006651884705
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.4370645153280195
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
13.114934264160542
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg aee31e33de39bb0127a7dbaa026f432cc0ace6fe2ece133b81ea8676ff1d41ac · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +19.4%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 13.5, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.154
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.599078108362356
t0_value
1.804
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
19.401330376940123
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.500667624871136
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.34999999999999987
change_pct_from_t0
19.401330376940123
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.4370645153280195
change_in_volatility_units
13.500667624871136
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.154
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
13.599078108362356
t0_value
1.804
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
19.401330376940123
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.500667624871136
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.34999999999999987
change_pct_from_t0
19.401330376940123
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.4370645153280195
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
13.500667624871136
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 0e3d8fdfbed6e1b95c88aba5dd59f02a2b627a020410ce81c0191619aa9f0466 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Ghearmáin) +6.8%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 2.7, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.9901000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
4.519987967327374
t0_value
0.92708
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
6.797687362471423
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.656342353159594
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06302000000000008
change_pct_from_t0
6.797687362471423
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.559040386637624
change_in_volatility_units
2.656342353159594
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.9901000000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
4.519987967327374
t0_value
0.92708
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
6.797687362471423
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.656342353159594
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06302000000000008
change_pct_from_t0
6.797687362471423
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.559040386637624
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.656342353159594
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg a412f7292f2816d62c8d2293631a22bc3cd44c3d2ee9302c923206f99feb444d · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Ghearmáin) +46.2%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 18.1, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.35565
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
15.787977202206635
t0_value
0.92708
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
46.22794149372222
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
18.0645611281118
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.42857
change_pct_from_t0
46.22794149372222
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.559040386637624
change_in_volatility_units
18.0645611281118
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.35565
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
15.787977202206635
t0_value
0.92708
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
46.22794149372222
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
18.0645611281118
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.42857
change_pct_from_t0
46.22794149372222
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.559040386637624
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
18.0645611281118
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg b5d8db5861ecc2f77b07af4ff23c83d258baae1a74eaffa2a907726191d7f337 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (gan chánacha, díosal, an Ghearmáin) +31.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 12.3, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.21868
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
11.565910493134243
t0_value
0.92708
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
31.45359623764939
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.291168362128476
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.29159999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
31.45359623764939
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.559040386637624
change_in_volatility_units
12.291168362128476
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.21868
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
11.565910493134243
t0_value
0.92708
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
31.45359623764939
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.291168362128476
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.29159999999999997
change_pct_from_t0
31.45359623764939
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.559040386637624
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
12.291168362128476
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 111449835f674f38da1c625ae5ae220e4f405a078b6f6eed9a3b95ed104c784c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Ghearmáin) +4.5%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.0, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.738
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
4.520231340617352
t0_value
1.663
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.509921828021644
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.024433098729484
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07499999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
4.509921828021644
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.4911627008434045
change_in_volatility_units
3.024433098729484
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.738
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
4.520231340617352
t0_value
1.663
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.509921828021644
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.024433098729484
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07499999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
4.509921828021644
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.4911627008434045
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.024433098729484
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 2614ee9d12afe2200d0b1d7d1f4282ab7e09438e2202d9ba6e1840b3aa3ccc52 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Ghearmáin) +30.7%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 20.6, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.173
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
15.788429811497293
t0_value
1.663
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
30.667468430547203
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
20.566145071360506
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.51
change_pct_from_t0
30.667468430547203
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.4911627008434045
change_in_volatility_units
20.566145071360506
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.173
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
15.788429811497293
t0_value
1.663
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
30.667468430547203
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
20.566145071360506
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.51
change_pct_from_t0
30.667468430547203
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.4911627008434045
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
20.566145071360506
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg c1988e4cdd50a4a3d6f45a3c3831b05129c6743c03219ddf47f6b925834dd648 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an praghas (le cáin, díosal, an Ghearmáin) +20.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó sheachtain go seachtain sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 14.0, lasmuigh den raon sin.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.0100000000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
11.566093372983666
t0_value
1.663
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
20.865904990980166
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.993043803455096
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3470000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
20.865904990980166
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.4911627008434045
change_in_volatility_units
13.993043803455096
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
2.0100000000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
z_score
11.566093372983666
t0_value
1.663
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
20.865904990980166
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_DE_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
13.993043803455096
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.3470000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
20.865904990980166
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.4911627008434045
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
13.993043803455096
Teimpléad event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 2db5f0f62ddabf1bed29c6bc20f0de0fcd39fa90cdbbc33aea570760f4e92119 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +12.9 c/l (raon +7.1–+18.8); d’athraigh sé +28.6 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +15.6 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.15635176636372292
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.28571
expected_eur_per_litre
0.1293582336362771
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.07082751027396161
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.1878889569985909
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.15635176636372292
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.28571
expected_eur_per_litre
0.1293582336362771
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.07082751027396161
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.1878889569985909
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Méarlorg dbe08ccc398038151c57fc958731c4dee31bb829d2fb76ef5b0a0c23656d86a3 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (peitreal, an Ghearmáin) +19.5 c/l (raon +8.1–+30.9); d’athraigh sé +29.4 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +9.9 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.09894222168109157
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.29411
expected_eur_per_litre
0.1951677783189084
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.08092065078894983
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3094149058488637
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.09894222168109157
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.29411
expected_eur_per_litre
0.1951677783189084
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.08092065078894983
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3094149058488637
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Méarlorg 77adca45e8ac749f70caab56fa8bf56b57d9c3c4dfaec413ac4a79105b75caba · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (4 seachtaine), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Ghearmáin) +23.1 c/l (raon +14.0–+32.1); d’athraigh sé +42.9 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá +19.8 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 22.2 $/bbl.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.1979783430734759
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.42857
expected_eur_per_litre
0.2305916569265241
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.1404126126833197
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3207707011697303
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.1979783430734759
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.42857
expected_eur_per_litre
0.2305916569265241
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.1404126126833197
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.3207707011697303
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg b9335b1b353565056e31473eb6f8ed8093597ab9ddb3e5e05b5c40da71e9e4b9 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Pointe tagartha: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Laistigh den fhad ón bpointe sin (seachtainí: 13), d’athródh costais na hamhola amháin an praghas gan chánacha (díosal, an Ghearmáin) +39.1 c/l (raon +21.3–+56.9); d’athraigh sé +29.2 c/l i ndáiríre, agus tá -9.9 c/l fágtha gan mhíniú ag an amhola. Thar an tréimhse chéanna, leathnaigh crack spread SAM (díosal), athróg ionadach do mhargadh táirgí an Atlantaigh agus ní corrlach Eorpach, 29.9 $/bbl.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.0992908508842314
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.29159999999999997
expected_eur_per_litre
0.39089085088423137
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.2128226164349123
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.5689590853335486
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Tairseacha
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Germany
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_DE_DIESEL
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.0992908508842314
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.29159999999999997
expected_eur_per_litre
0.39089085088423137
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2005-01-03
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.2128226164349123
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.5689590853335486
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Teimpléad event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Méarlorg 42c7e8cd998d58d3fa850611a9467573313098bf7fa593bd1801185ae054c438 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (amhola, an Ghearmáin, Feabhra 2022): teoranta (2%–3%). Ní fhoilsítear aon mheastachán pointe: onnmhairíonn na tíortha comhpháirtíochta i gceist ó laistigh agus ó lasmuigh de Mhurascaill na Peirse araon, agus níl an roinnt in aghaidh na tréimhse poiblí.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaMeánach
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Germany
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
2.7103790406945
value_min_pct
1.6757593474951
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Germany
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
2.7103790406945
value_min_pct
1.6757593474951
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.dependence.range v1.2 · Méarlorg edca3d97622e9630efb9deec54b186dfb9ced7443e489d8360eef9ba3716e10e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar Hormuz (táirgí peitriliam, an Ghearmáin, Feabhra 2022): teoranta (0%).
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaÍseal
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.dependence.point v1.2 · Méarlorg 4efd7a4aa2ff159978aca4084c2fdd4f9837a1b16a19a4a7e4df6a0252835f0e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Ní léiríonn an fhianaise atá ar fáil laghdú fisiceach soláthair: allmhairí amhola tuairiscithe (an Ghearmáin, Feabhra 2022) i gcomparáid le meán na míonna roimhe sin (12): -0.3%.
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Germany
change_pct
-0.33556103948188803
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_tonnes
6800378
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
6823274.25
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Germany
change_pct
-0.33556103948188803
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
value_tonnes
6800378
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
6823274.25
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Teimpléad event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Méarlorg 46caffed424b4be5a492181824d10899ae36b8d919343d326852bb1778ece181 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Stoic ola (an Ghearmáin, Feabhra 2022): 2.3% faoi bhun a meáin thar na míonna roimhe sin (12), laistigh den bhanda ±5% a mheasann an suíomh seo a bheith ag teacht leis an meán, le 101.0 lá cumhdaigh (mar a foilsíodh).
tír: an GhearmáinRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_DE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
days_of_cover
101
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-1.015871376008651
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
32192623
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
32945621.083333332
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-2.285578655289832
trailing_12m_observations
12
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
-2.285578655289832
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
-2.3
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Germany
direction
below
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_DE
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
days_of_cover
101
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-1.015871376008651
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
32192623
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
32945621.083333332
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
-2.285578655289832
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Teimpléad event.inventory_level.in_line v1.2 · Méarlorg ec58d0cfdab4bbf4dd88edde3c93f69529d79618dfb6e4281c73ddd4974c053e · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Achoimre ar a bhféadfar a sheiceáil anseo
An Ghearmáin, teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022). Ní féidir ach cuid den slabhra a sheiceáil. Sraitheanna a chuireann an modh i gcomparáid atá ar fáil: 4 as 8 (tagarmharc amhola, stoic, praghas ag an gcaidéal gan chánacha agus praghas ag an gcaidéal le cáin); nach bhfuil ar fáil: tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam, corrlach scaglainne, rátaí lastais agus praghsanna mórdhíola. Ní féidir aon éileamh atá bunaithe ar na naisc atá ar iarraidh a thástáil anseo. Spleáchas fisiceach díreach ar amhola a bhaineann le Hormuz sa tréimhse a chlúdaítear: teoranta (2–3%). Déanann an leathanach seo cur síos ar cad a rinne gach sraith thart ar dháta an teagmhais. Ní fionnachtain faoi chúis é: níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog chéanna bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
tír: an GhearmáinAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Germany
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
dependence_band
limited
dependence_range
2–3%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Germany
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
DE
country_name
Germany
country_slug
germany
dependence_band
limited
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
2–3%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Méarlorg 9fae962a5b4aebd6e31e18cd2d49603f734404b33436f463140dfc9f6f4682a5 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 7 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +13.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.2, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 499e14f143cd15685ef1480ed3fa89cd45abe5f0647c7ec6a69249dfc87c1dd1 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 30 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +21.1%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 4.9, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 216049ee46b7aafc7c24ef4f74d592168c4ca36a76f9b7e30eb4f402126d0f04 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Teagmhas: Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022); 90 lá ina dhiaidh: bhog an tagarmharc (amhola Brent) +14.9%; i gcomparáid lena ghnáthathrú ó lá go lá sna trí bliana roimhe sin, aonaid luaineachta: 3.4, lasmuigh den raon sin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineRíofaOifigiúil
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Tairseacha
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Teimpléad event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Méarlorg 3c4d928f0edacc86e86f81949df4a6221c6a157e987b0435ccf81af9f53e267c · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Rátaí lastais – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: tá ceadúnais rátaí lastais tancaer den chineál a thoirmisceann go sainráite taispeáint phoiblí, iad a chur ar aghaidh agus sonraí díorthaithe (fíoraithe focal ar fhocal), agus ní fhoilsíonn aon institiúid oscailte ráta tancaer.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 06b89c2e9e647323c15398c394cf050a39c9a42ef3b469967cce5fff091ed96a · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad tagarmharcanna táirgí peitriliam an AE (Platts / Argus) agus níl cead athdháilte leo. Ní athróga ionadacha bailí don AE iad crack spreads SAM agus ní chuirtear ina n-áit iad.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg eacf068451f42ad71340259d5f692acb03bf66b7a7d6f730ade5a819ff7d1005 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Praghsanna mórdhíola – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: is le dílseánaigh iad sraitheanna praghsanna mórdhíola (rack) agus níl cead athdháilte leo.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 0a8ec24923eb853f8772aa729f8ec775267350a63bc1d8e64f27facfb62978a7 · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC
Corrlach scaglainne – freagra: ní féidir a mheas. Fáth: níl aon sraith foilsithe de chorrlaigh scaglainne againn, agus theastódh tagarmharcanna táirgí ceadúnaithe an AE, nach bhféadfar a athfhoilsiú, chun corrlach a ríomh muid féin.
faoin teagmhas ina iomláineAnaithnidAnaithnid
Cén fáth an abairt seo (i mBéarla)
Athróga
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Tairseacha
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Ionchuir
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Teimpléad event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Méarlorg 92e561b810be016411f6a7bbc96381cc8ebec1f6df6e0ae2fd7fc342f4dc1c9f · ríomh event_statements-1.0 · ríofa 03/10/2026, 17:47 UTC

An méid nach dtaispeánann sé seo

Ní thaispeánann sé gurbh é an teagmhas bunús aon ruda. Níl aon dearadh cúiseach foilsithe don suíomh seo, agus d’fhéadfadh sraith a bhog san fhuinneog seo bogadh ar chúiseanna eile.
Ní tástáil suntasachta é athrú in aonaid luaineachta, agus ní tástáil suntasachta é scór z ach an oiread. Tomhaiseann siad rudaí éagsúla agus ní féidir ceann a chur in áit an chinn eile.
Taispeántar cainéil nach bhfuil foinse acu a bhfuil ceadúnas againn chun í a úsáid, nó foinse lódáilte, mar phainéil fholmha, ní mar línte cothroma. Ní hionann “Ní féidir linn é seo a fheiceáil” agus “Níor bhog sé seo”.
Ní idirshuitear aon rud. Nuair a thagann roinnt fritháireamh ar an bhfigiúr foilsithe céanna, is é sin a phriontáil an foilsitheoir, agus is nialas an t-athrú i gcoinne dháta an teagmhais: is í an uimhir chéanna í.

An Ghearmáin: soláthar, scaglanna agus praghsanna ag an gcaidéal →

Conas na lipéid a léamh

OifigiúilTuairiscithe go díreach ag údarás oifigiúil.
FíoraitheTuairiscithe ag tríú páirtí agus fíoraithe againn i gcoinne taifid phríomhúil.
RíofaRíofa againn ó ionchuir thuairiscithe. Tá an modh foilsithe ar leathanach na modheolaíochta.
Infeirithe · muinín ardNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó dhá thaifead fhisiceacha neamhspleácha ar a laghad.
Infeirithe · muinín mheánachNíor tuairiscíodh. Infeirithe ó fhianaise láidir indíreach, gan deimhniú follasach.
Infeirithe · muinín ísealNíor tuairiscíodh. Sochreidte ó shonraí bonneagair nó gluaiseachta amháin. Ná léigh mar fhíric é.
AnaithnidNí chruthaíonn aon fhianaise phoiblí inchosanta é seo. Ní thugaimid buille faoi thuairim, agus ní tomhas nialais é seo.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

ráta tagartha malairte euro an BCE

nochtadh díreach amhola do Hormuz D1

nochtadh díreach táirgí peitriliam do Hormuz D2

nochtadh stoc D7: laethanta cumhdaigh na gcúlstoc ola mar a foilsíodh iad, tugtha ar aghaidh gan athrú

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stoic ola náisiúnta iomlána (Eurostat, sealbhóirí tráchtála), leis na laethanta cumhdaigh foilsithe in éineacht leo

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

praghas le cánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

praghas gan chánacha an Fheasacháin Ola Sheachtainiúil

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Níl sé ar fáil: bac ceadúnais

ráta tancaer (dirty) ó Mhurascaill na Peirse go dtí iarthuaisceart na hEorpa

tagarmharc táirgí peitriliam AE

corrlach scaglainne iarthuaisceart na hEorpa / crack spread

praghas mórdhíola (rack)

Ionradh na Rúise ar an Úcráin (24 Feabhra 2022): an é an chúis i ndáiríre?

Cad a rinne an praghas ag an gcaidéal thart ar an dáta seo

An t-athrú iarbhír agus an t-athrú ón amhola amháin: an Ghearmáin, díosal (ola dhíosail ar bhóthar)

An méid a dtacaíonn na huimhreacha leis, abairt ar abairt

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