Fuel Origin

Spain · What moved my fuel price?

Petrol and diesel prices in Spain

What a litre costs at the pump, what it costs before tax, and what moved between two weeks. Prices are published weekly; a week the publisher skipped is left as a gap.

What moved the price across this window

The change in the pump price, split into the parts that make it up. Each bar is the movement of one component between the first and last week we hold in the window.

Between 2025-09-22 and 2026-09-21 (52 weeks apart). These are the weeks we actually hold, which may differ from the dates requested.

Pump price change = VAT + excise + other specific taxes + pre-tax price
VAT+0.0878Excise duty-0.2000Other specific taxes0.0000Pre-tax price+0.6183Pump price change+0.5061
ComponentChange (EUR/L)Share of pump moveTypeWhat the value is
VAT+0.0878417.4%CalculatedVAT extracted from the observed pump price at the published rate, differenced between the two endpoint weeks.
Excise duty-0.20000-39.5%CalculatedExcise per litre from the tax table, differenced between the two endpoint weeks.
Other specific taxes0.000000.0%CalculatedOther specific per-litre levies from the tax table, differenced between the two endpoint weeks.
Pre-tax price+0.61830122.2%CalculatedPublished pre-tax price, differenced between the two endpoint weeks. Broken down further below.
Pump price change+0.50613100.0%CalculatedReported by the API as the total move. It is not the sum of the bars above; where the two differ, the difference is drawn as its own bar.
Pre-tax price change = input-cost proxy + unmodelled
Input-cost proxy+0.2625UNMODELLED+0.3558Pre-tax price change+0.6183
ComponentChange (EUR/L)Share of pump moveTypeWhat the value is
Input-cost proxy+0.2624951.9%CalculatedBrent converted to euro per litre at the reference rate of each quote day, differenced between the two endpoint weeks. Refinery yield is not modelled.
UNMODELLED+0.3558170.3%CalculatedThe part of the pre-tax move the proxy does not account for. It is differenced like any other component and is never distributed across them. Nothing here says what is inside it.
Pre-tax price change+0.61830122.2%CalculatedReported by the API as the total move. It is not the sum of the bars above; where the two differ, the difference is drawn as its own bar.

One component moved by more than the whole pump price did, so another moved against it. Shares are arithmetic on two stored differences and can exceed 100% or go negative; they are not a statement about cause.

Pump identity check
0.00000 EUR/L

Pump change minus the four components above. Returned by the API so it can be checked rather than trusted.

Pre-tax identity check
0.00000 EUR/L

Pre-tax change minus the proxy and the residual.

Source
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Calculated
Period 2025-09-22..2026-09-21 (week)Updated 2026-09-26 06:54 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Plain differences between the two endpoint weeks. The residual is reported as it moved and is not distributed across the other components; nothing here says what caused any of it.

Shares are arithmetic on two stored differences. They can exceed 100% or go negative when components move against each other, and they are not an attribution of cause.

Diesel (automotive gas oil) - with tax and without tax

Both lines are published figures. The gap between them is the tax; it is broken down below.

2026-03-162026-09-210.00.51.01.52.0EUR / litre
  • Pump price, with tax(official)
  • Pump price, without tax(official)
  • Brent (EUR per litre)(calculated)
Source
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Official
Period 2025-09-22..2026-09-21 (week)Updated 2026-09-26 06:54 UTCConfidenceOfficialMethodologyDownload CSV

The pre-tax price is the part that moves with crude, refining and transport costs. Excise duty is a fixed amount per litre, so it makes up a larger share when fuel is cheap.

Brent is plotted in euro per litre on the same axis as the pump prices, never on a second scale: two y-axes would invent a relationship by choosing where they line up.

What the latest week's price is made of

The most recent week in this window, split into tax and pre-tax, and then into the part the input cost explains and the part it does not.

Pump price, week 2026-09-211.918 EUR / litre
Pre-tax priceOfficial
1.4062 EUR/L73.3% of the pump price

Published by the source as the price without taxes.

Excise dutyOfficial
0.1790 EUR/L9.3% of the pump price

Excise per litre, from the tax table row in force for this week.

Other specific taxesOfficial
0.0000 EUR/L0.0% of the pump price

Other specific per-litre levies, from the tax table row in force for this week.

VATOfficial
0.3329 EUR/L17.4% of the pump price

Extracted from the observed pump price at the published rate.

Inside the pre-tax price1.4062 EUR/L = input-cost proxy + unmodelled

Input-cost proxyCalculated
0.6331 EUR/L33.0% of the pump price

Brent (EIA) USD/bbl, ECB EUR/USD reference rate of the same day, divided by 158.987294928 L/bbl (definitional, no density). Mean of 2 quote day(s) in 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22. Refinery yield factor 1.0 and NOT modelled.

UNMODELLEDCalculated
0.7731 EUR/L40.3% of the pump price

The part of the pre-tax price the proxy does not account for. Nothing here says what is inside it.

Source
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Calculated
Period 2025-09-22..2026-09-21 (week)Updated 2026-09-26 06:54 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

How the input-cost proxy was built: Brent (EIA) USD/bbl, ECB EUR/USD reference rate of the same day, divided by 158.987294928 L/bbl (definitional, no density). Mean of 2 quote day(s) in 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22. Refinery yield factor 1.0 and NOT modelled.

How long Brent takes to reach the pump

The delay at which changes in Brent line up best with changes in this country's pre-tax price, measured over the whole sample we hold.

Historically, changes in Brent have been reflected in Spain's pre-tax diesel (automotive gas oil) price with a median lag of 1 week (90% CI 1 week, r = 0.62, n = 1,083 weeks).

How this was measuredCalculated
Sample 2005-01-03 to 2026-09-14

This says the two series moved together with this much delay over this sample. It does not say that one caused the other. Correlation at each lag from 0 weeks: 0.146, 0.620, 0.504, 0.180, 0.128, 0.052, 0.014, 0.038, 0.060. The bootstrap seed is fixed (20260922), so this interval reproduces exactly.

Source
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Calculated
Updated 2026-09-23 12:25 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyno download for this view

How the pump price follows crude: rises vs falls

How much of a 1 c/L move in the crude input cost had reached the pre-tax pump price after a given number of weeks, estimated separately for moves up and moves down, over two samples.

Pass-through is measured separately for weeks when the crude input cost rose and weeks when it fell, over two samples. Both are shown: the recent window and the whole history we hold are different samples and can give different answers. The figures describe how the diesel (automotive gas oil) price and the input cost moved together. They say nothing about why.

Latest three-year window

2023-09-25 to 2026-09-14

Unknown

Pass-through from the crude input cost to Spain's pre-tax diesel price cannot be estimated (window 2023-09-25 to 2026-09-14): the pre-tax price and the crude input cost are not cointegrated over this window, so no long-run relationship between them is reported and no short-run model is fitted on top of one; no fallback model is substituted.

Cointegration test statistic -2.717 against a critical value of -3.376 (the statistic has to be below the critical value to clear it), on 156 weekly observations.

Full sample

2005-01-03 to 2026-09-14

Unknown

Pass-through from the crude input cost to Spain's pre-tax diesel price cannot be estimated (window 2005-01-03 to 2026-09-14): the pre-tax price and the crude input cost are not cointegrated over this window, so no long-run relationship between them is reported and no short-run model is fitted on top of one; no fallback model is substituted.

Cointegration test statistic -3.195 against a critical value of -3.342 (the statistic has to be below the critical value to clear it), on 1,083 weekly observations.

What the statement engine wrote

  • Pass-through from the crude input cost to Spain's pre-tax diesel price cannot be estimated (window 2023-09-25 to 2026-09-14): the pre-tax price and the crude input cost are not cointegrated over this window, so no long-run relationship between them is reported and no short-run model is fitted on top of one; no fallback model is substituted.

    Latest three-year windowUnknown

  • Pass-through from the crude input cost to Spain's pre-tax diesel price cannot be estimated (window 2005-01-03 to 2026-09-14): the pre-tax price and the crude input cost are not cointegrated over this window, so no long-run relationship between them is reported and no short-run model is fitted on top of one; no fallback model is substituted.

    Full sampleUnknown

Each sentence is rendered from a fixed template against the stored estimate. None of it is written by a language model, and none of it states a cause.

Source
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Unknown
Updated 2026-09-25 14:13 UTCConfidenceUnknownMethodologyno download for this view

The estimate says how the two series moved together over each window. It is not a causal estimate, and a difference between the two directions is reported only where the stored test found one. Where a window has no estimate, the reason the check stopped is printed and nothing is substituted for the missing coefficients.

Actual vs crude-only

What the pre-tax price actually did across this window, next to what it would have done had it followed only the crude input cost at the speed and strength the stored pass-through estimate measures. The shaded difference is not explained by crude.

What crude alone would have done is UNKNOWN for Spain, diesel (automotive gas oil).

Neither the most recent three-year pass-through window nor the full sample has a COMPUTED estimate for this country and fuel, so there is no measured crude response to project. No substitute (such as full pass-through) is used.

No line is drawn: an unknown expected path is not a flat line at zero, and no substitute such as full pass-through is used.

  • What crude costs alone would have done to Spain's pre-tax diesel price over the 51 weeks after the bulletin week of 2025-09-29 is UNKNOWN: Neither the most recent three-year pass-through window nor the full sample has a COMPUTED estimate for this country and fuel, so there is no measured crude response to project. No substitute (such as full pass-through) is used.
Source
several sources (see each row)Unknown
Period 2025-09-29..2026-09-21 (week)Updated 2026-09-26 06:54 UTCConfidenceUnknownMethodologyno download for this view

The expected path uses only the measured short-run response to crude. It is a description of how the two series usually move together, fitted on a sample that may include this window - not a forecast and not a causal estimate. Where no pass-through estimate exists the path is UNKNOWN and nothing is substituted.

US diesel crack spread (proxy)

A US product spot price minus Brent. Shown because European product benchmarks are not licensed for redistribution; it is a proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market and not a European price or margin.

US proxy — not a European price

2026-03-262026-09-22050100150USD / barrel
US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel (US proxy — not a European price). It reflects US product specifications and US market conditions, and it is not a measure of European refining margins.
Source
several sources (see each row)Calculated
Period 2025-09-29..2026-09-22 (day)Updated 2026-09-25 07:00 UTCConfidenceLowMethodologyno download for this view

Tax rates in force

The excise, carbon and VAT rates the publisher recorded for this fuel, with the dates they apply from.

FromToExcise (EUR/L)Carbon (EUR/L)Other (EUR/L)VATType
2026-09-07open0.1790not publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
2026-08-032026-09-060.2790not publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
2026-07-06open0.2290not publishednot published21.0%Official
2026-03-232026-07-050.3300not publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
2026-03-222026-07-05not publishednot publishednot published10.0%Official
2019-01-01open0.3790not published0.0000not publishedOfficial
2018-12-172018-12-31not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-12-102018-12-16not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-12-032018-12-09not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-11-262018-12-02not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-11-192018-11-25not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-11-122018-11-18not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-11-052018-11-11not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-10-222018-11-04not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-10-152018-10-21not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-10-082018-10-14not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-10-012018-10-07not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-09-242018-09-30not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-09-172018-09-23not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-09-102018-09-16not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-09-032018-09-09not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-08-272018-09-02not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-08-202018-08-26not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-08-132018-08-19not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-08-062018-08-12not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-07-232018-08-05not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-07-162018-07-22not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-07-022018-07-15not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-06-252018-07-01not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-06-182018-06-24not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-06-112018-06-17not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-05-282018-06-10not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-05-212018-05-27not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-05-142018-05-20not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-05-072018-05-13not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-04-302018-05-06not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-04-232018-04-29not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-04-092018-04-22not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-03-262018-04-08not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-03-192018-03-25not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-03-122018-03-18not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-03-052018-03-11not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-02-192018-03-04not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-02-122018-02-18not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-02-052018-02-11not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-01-222018-02-04not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-01-152018-01-21not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2018-01-082018-01-14not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2018-01-012018-01-07not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-12-182017-12-31not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-12-112017-12-17not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-11-272017-12-10not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-11-062017-11-26not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-10-302017-11-05not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-10-232017-10-29not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-10-162017-10-22not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-10-092017-10-15not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-10-022017-10-08not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-09-252017-10-01not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-09-182017-09-24not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-09-112017-09-17not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-09-042017-09-10not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-08-282017-09-03not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-08-142017-08-27not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-08-072017-08-13not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-07-312017-08-06not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-07-242017-07-30not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-07-102017-07-23not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-07-032017-07-09not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-06-262017-07-02not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-05-292017-06-25not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-05-222017-05-28not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-05-152017-05-21not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-05-082017-05-14not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-05-012017-05-07not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2017-04-242017-04-30not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-04-102017-04-23not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-04-032017-04-09not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-03-272017-04-02not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-03-132017-03-26not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2017-03-062017-03-12not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2017-02-272017-03-05not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-02-132017-02-26not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-02-062017-02-12not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-01-302017-02-05not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2017-01-232017-01-29not publishednot published0.0363not publishedOfficial
2017-01-162017-01-22not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-01-092017-01-15not publishednot published0.0364not publishedOfficial
2017-01-022017-01-08not publishednot published0.0368not publishedOfficial
2016-12-192017-01-01not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-12-122016-12-18not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-12-052016-12-11not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-11-282016-12-04not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-11-212016-11-27not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-11-142016-11-20not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-11-072016-11-13not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-10-312016-11-06not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-10-242016-10-30not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-10-172016-10-23not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-10-102016-10-16not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-10-032016-10-09not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-09-262016-10-02not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-09-192016-09-25not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-09-052016-09-18not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-08-292016-09-04not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-08-152016-08-28not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-08-012016-08-14not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-07-252016-07-31not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-07-112016-07-24not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-07-042016-07-10not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-06-272016-07-03not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-06-202016-06-26not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-06-132016-06-19not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-06-062016-06-12not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-05-302016-06-05not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-05-232016-05-29not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-05-022016-05-22not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-04-252016-05-01not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-04-182016-04-24not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-03-142016-04-17not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-03-072016-03-13not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-02-292016-03-06not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-02-152016-02-28not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-02-082016-02-14not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-02-012016-02-07not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-01-252016-01-31not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-01-182016-01-24not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2016-01-112016-01-17not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2016-01-012016-01-10not publishednot published0.0368not publishedOfficial
2015-12-142015-12-31not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-11-302015-12-13not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-11-232015-11-29not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-11-162015-11-22not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-10-262015-11-15not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-10-192015-10-25not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-10-122015-10-18not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-09-282015-10-11not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-09-212015-09-27not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-09-142015-09-20not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-09-072015-09-13not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-08-312015-09-06not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-08-242015-08-30not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-08-172015-08-23not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-08-102015-08-16not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-08-032015-08-09not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-07-272015-08-02not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-07-202015-07-26not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-07-132015-07-19not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-07-062015-07-12not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-06-292015-07-05not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-06-222015-06-28not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-06-152015-06-21not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-06-082015-06-14not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-06-012015-06-07not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-05-252015-05-31not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-05-182015-05-24not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-05-112015-05-17not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-05-042015-05-10not publishednot published0.0367not publishedOfficial
2015-04-272015-05-03not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-04-202015-04-26not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-04-132015-04-19not publishednot published0.0366not publishedOfficial
2015-03-302015-04-12not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-03-232015-03-29not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-03-162015-03-22not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-03-092015-03-15not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-03-022015-03-08not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-02-232015-03-01not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-02-162015-02-22not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-02-092015-02-15not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-02-022015-02-08not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-01-262015-02-01not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-01-192015-01-25not publishednot published0.0370not publishedOfficial
2015-01-122015-01-18not publishednot published0.0369not publishedOfficial
2015-01-052015-01-11not publishednot published0.0378not publishedOfficial
2014-12-152015-01-04not publishednot published0.0401not publishedOfficial
2014-12-082014-12-14not publishednot published0.0401not publishedOfficial
2014-12-012014-12-07not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-11-102014-11-30not publishednot published0.0401not publishedOfficial
2014-08-182014-11-09not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-08-042014-08-17not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-05-262014-08-03not publishednot published0.0401not publishedOfficial
2014-04-282014-05-25not publishednot published0.0401not publishedOfficial
2014-04-142014-04-27not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-03-312014-04-13not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-02-242014-03-30not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-02-032014-02-23not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-01-272014-02-02not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-01-132014-01-26not publishednot published0.0400not publishedOfficial
2014-01-062014-01-12not publishednot published0.0398not publishedOfficial
2013-10-142014-01-05not publishednot published0.0386not publishedOfficial
2013-09-092013-10-13not publishednot published0.0393not publishedOfficial
2013-08-262013-09-08not publishednot published0.0392not publishedOfficial
2013-08-192013-08-25not publishednot published0.0391not publishedOfficial
2013-08-052013-08-18not publishednot published0.0390not publishedOfficial
2013-07-292013-08-04not publishednot published0.0391not publishedOfficial
2013-07-222013-07-28not publishednot published0.0391not publishedOfficial
2013-07-152013-07-21not publishednot published0.0391not publishedOfficial
2013-07-012013-07-14not publishednot published0.0391not publishedOfficial
2013-06-242013-06-30not publishednot published0.0389not publishedOfficial
2013-06-032013-06-23not publishednot published0.0388not publishedOfficial
2013-05-272013-06-02not publishednot published0.0390not publishedOfficial
2013-05-202013-05-26not publishednot published0.0389not publishedOfficial
2013-03-112013-05-19not publishednot published0.0385not publishedOfficial
2013-02-182013-03-10not publishednot published0.0385not publishedOfficial
2013-01-282013-02-17not publishednot published0.0385not publishedOfficial
2013-01-212013-01-27not publishednot published0.0385not publishedOfficial
2013-01-142013-01-20not publishednot published0.0385not publishedOfficial
2013-01-072013-01-13not publishednot published0.0385not publishedOfficial
2012-12-102013-01-06not publishednot published0.0380not publishedOfficial
2012-12-032012-12-09not publishednot published0.0380not publishedOfficial
2012-11-262012-12-02not publishednot published0.0380not publishedOfficial
2012-11-122012-11-25not publishednot published0.0380not publishedOfficial
2012-11-052012-11-11not publishednot published0.0380not publishedOfficial
2012-09-102012-11-04not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-09-012026-03-21not publishednot publishednot published21.0%Official
2012-08-272012-09-09not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-08-202012-08-26not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-08-132012-08-19not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-08-062012-08-12not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-07-302012-08-05not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-07-162012-07-29not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-07-092012-07-15not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-07-022012-07-08not publishednot published0.0365not publishedOfficial
2012-06-252012-07-01not publishednot published0.0355not publishedOfficial
2012-06-182012-06-24not publishednot published0.0305not publishedOfficial
2012-06-042012-06-17not publishednot published0.0305not publishedOfficial
2012-05-282012-06-03not publishednot published0.0298not publishedOfficial
2012-05-212012-05-27not publishednot published0.0297not publishedOfficial
2012-05-142012-05-20not publishednot published0.0297not publishedOfficial
2012-05-072012-05-13not publishednot published0.0297not publishedOfficial
2012-04-232012-05-06not publishednot published0.0268not publishedOfficial
2012-04-162012-04-22not publishednot published0.0269not publishedOfficial
2012-04-022012-04-15not publishednot published0.0269not publishedOfficial
2012-03-262012-04-01not publishednot published0.0233not publishedOfficial
2012-03-192012-03-25not publishednot published0.0233not publishedOfficial
2012-03-122012-03-18not publishednot published0.0233not publishedOfficial
2012-03-052012-03-11not publishednot published0.0232not publishedOfficial
2012-02-132012-03-04not publishednot published0.0191not publishedOfficial
2012-02-062012-02-12not publishednot published0.0191not publishedOfficial
2012-01-232012-02-05not publishednot published0.0190not publishedOfficial
2012-01-162012-01-22not publishednot published0.0190not publishedOfficial
2012-01-092012-01-15not publishednot published0.0191not publishedOfficial
2011-11-142012-01-08not publishednot published0.0149not publishedOfficial
2011-05-302011-11-13not publishednot published0.0148not publishedOfficial
2011-03-072011-05-29not publishednot published0.0149not publishedOfficial
2011-02-072011-03-06not publishednot published0.0148not publishedOfficial
2011-01-312011-02-06not publishednot published0.0148not publishedOfficial
2011-01-242011-01-30not publishednot published0.0148not publishedOfficial
2011-01-172011-01-23not publishednot published0.0148not publishedOfficial
2011-01-102011-01-16not publishednot published0.0149not publishedOfficial
2011-01-032011-01-09not publishednot published0.0149not publishedOfficial
2010-09-132011-01-02not publishednot published0.0137not publishedOfficial
2010-08-232010-09-12not publishednot published0.0136not publishedOfficial
2010-08-162010-08-22not publishednot published0.0137not publishedOfficial
2010-08-022010-08-15not publishednot published0.0137not publishedOfficial
2010-07-122010-08-01not publishednot published0.0136not publishedOfficial
2010-07-012012-08-31not publishednot publishednot published18.0%Official
2010-06-282010-07-11not publishednot published0.0092not publishedOfficial
2010-03-292010-06-27not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2009-06-132018-12-310.3310not publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
2009-04-202010-03-28not publishednot published0.0117not publishedOfficial
2009-02-172009-04-19not publishednot published0.0093not publishedOfficial
2009-02-032009-02-16not publishednot published0.0093not publishedOfficial
2009-01-212009-02-02not publishednot published0.0093not publishedOfficial
2009-01-072009-01-20not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-12-022009-01-06not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-11-182008-12-01not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-11-112008-11-17not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-11-042008-11-10not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-10-272008-11-03not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-10-202008-10-26not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-10-132008-10-19not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2008-10-062008-10-12not publishednot published0.0093not publishedOfficial
2008-09-262008-10-05not publishednot published0.0094not publishedOfficial
2007-01-012009-06-120.3020not publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
2002-01-012006-12-31not publishednot publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
1999-01-012001-12-31not publishednot publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
1998-01-011998-12-31not publishednot publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
1996-01-011997-12-31not publishednot publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
1995-01-012010-06-30not publishednot publishednot published16.0%Official
1993-08-071994-12-31not publishednot publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
1992-01-011993-08-06not publishednot publishednot publishednot publishedOfficial
Source
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Official
Updated 2026-09-23 07:24 UTCConfidenceOfficialMethodologyDownload CSV

What this page does not show

  • No cause is attributed to any movement. The page shows what moved and in what order, not why.
  • The residual is the part the input-cost proxy does not account for. Refinery yield, wholesale margin, freight and inventory are inside it and are not modelled separately, which is why it is labelled UNMODELLED rather than named.
  • Pass-through above describes how the pre-tax price and the input cost moved together over each window. It is not a causal estimate, and a window with no estimate is a window where the test did not clear - not a finding that the relationship is absent.