Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In October 2024, Bulgaria's road diesel supply was 274 kt: 86% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Romania (7%); tracing one step back, no single crude origin reaches 5% of it, and 92% cannot be traced.
Country
Kazakhstan10 kt (est. 4%)Iraq2.9 kt (est. 1%)Libya2.1 kt (est. <1%)Norway1.8 kt (est. <1%)Azerbaijan1.8 kt (est. <1%)Congo0.8 kt (est. <1%)Saudi Arabia0.7 kt (est. <1%)Other crude origins1.4 kt (est. <1%)Bulgaria: crude origin not reported226 kt (83%)Bulgaria: crude not from imports10 kt (4%)Türkiye: no crude data8.0 kt (3%)Romania: crude not from imports4.3 kt (2%)Smaller flows: no crude data2.4 kt (<1%)Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.0 kt (<1%)Bulgaria (own refineries)237 kt (86%)Romania19 kt (7%)Greece8.1 kt (3%)Türkiye8.0 kt (3%)Serbia2.4 kt (<1%)Belgiumless than 0.1 kt (<1%)Bulgaria: road diesel supply274 kt (100%)
Tap a country to follow its flows. Tap it again, or use the close button, to clear.
Crude origin (estimate)
- Kazakhstan10 kt (est. 4%)
- Iraq2.9 kt (est. 1%)
- Libya2.1 kt (est. <1%)
- Norway1.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Azerbaijan1.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Congo0.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Saudi Arabia0.7 kt (est. <1%)
- Other crude origins1.4 kt (est. <1%)
- Bulgaria: crude origin not reported226 kt (83%)
- Bulgaria: crude not from imports10 kt (4%)
- Türkiye: no crude data8.0 kt (3%)
- Romania: crude not from imports4.3 kt (2%)
- Smaller flows: no crude data2.4 kt (<1%)
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.0 kt (<1%)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Oct 2024)
1.8 thousand tonnes
est. <1% of Bulgaria's road diesel supply
less than 0.1 kt reported1.8 kt estimated
Inferred · medium
Last shipped from
- Romania1.6 kt (est. 90%)
- Greece0.2 kt (est. 10%)
- Belgiumless than 0.1 kt (est. <1%)
Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria (own refineries) | Bulgaria: road diesel supply | 236,796 | 86.4% | ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output) |
| Romania | Bulgaria: road diesel supply | 18,791 | 6.9% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Greece | Bulgaria: road diesel supply | 8,071 | 2.9% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Türkiye | Bulgaria: road diesel supply | 7,988 | 2.9% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Serbia | Bulgaria: road diesel supply | 2,416 | 0.9% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria: crude origin not reported | Bulgaria (own refineries) | 226,411 | 95.6% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Bulgaria: crude not from imports | Bulgaria (own refineries) | 10,385 | 4.4% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
| Kazakhstan | Romania | 8,006 | 42.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Romania's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Türkiye: no crude data | Türkiye | 7,988 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Romania: crude not from imports | Romania | 4,268 | 22.7% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
| Iraq | Greece | 2,878 | 35.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: no crude data | Serbia | 2,416 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Kazakhstan | Greece | 2,064 | 25.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Azerbaijan | Romania | 1,628 | 8.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Romania's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Romania | 1,242 | 6.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Romania's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Greece | 1,117 | 13.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Other crude origins | Romania | 1,007 | 5.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Romania's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Romania | 959 | 5.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Romania's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude origin not reported | Romania | 868 | 4.6% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Congo | Romania | 814 | 4.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Romania's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Saudi Arabia | Greece | 703 | 8.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Greece | 595 | 7.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Other crude origins | Greece | 423 | 5.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Azerbaijan | Greece | 189 | 2.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude origin not reported | Greece | 101 | 1.2% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Other crude origins | Belgium | 11 | 45.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Belgium | 5 | 23.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude origin not reported | Belgium | 3 | 14.5% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Kazakhstan | Belgium | 2 | 10.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Iraq | Belgium | 1 | 4.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Belgium | 0 | 1.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Bulgaria split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-08 to 2024-10. Confidence: medium. |
2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.
Source & method
Source Period 2024-10 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2024-10 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Bulgaria’s supply of road diesel in 2024-10, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2024-10 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-08 to 2024-10.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Bulgaria: crude origin not reported (226,411 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Bulgaria: crude not from imports (10,385 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Türkiye: no crude data (7,988 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Romania: crude not from imports (4,268 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Smaller flows: no crude data (2,416 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (972 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.