Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In June 2025, Croatia's road diesel supply was 289 kt: 37% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Italy (34%) and Slovenia (22%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Azerbaijan (27%), Kazakhstan (16%) and Libya (11%), and 26% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Libya → Croatia

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Jun 2025)

32.6 thousand tonnes

est. 11% of Croatia's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported33 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Last shipped from

  • Italy19 kt (est. 59%)
  • Croatia (own refineries)11 kt (est. 35%)
  • Greece2.0 kt (est. 6%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

View Libya profile →

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Croatia's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Croatia (own refineries)Croatia: road diesel supply106,00036.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
ItalyCroatia: road diesel supply96,80033.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SloveniaCroatia: road diesel supply62,20021.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GreeceCroatia: road diesel supply14,4005.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
HungaryCroatia: road diesel supply9,3003.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Slovenia: no refinerySlovenia62,200100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
AzerbaijanCroatia (own refineries)57,99654.7%EstimatedEstimate: Croatia's road diesel to Croatia split by Croatia's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCroatia (own refineries)25,04723.6%EstimatedEstimate: Croatia's road diesel to Croatia split by Croatia's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaItaly19,06619.7%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly18,96919.6%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsItaly18,20818.8%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly14,58615.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly12,06812.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
LibyaCroatia (own refineries)11,47810.8%EstimatedEstimate: Croatia's road diesel to Croatia split by Croatia's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaCroatia (own refineries)11,47810.8%EstimatedEstimate: Croatia's road diesel to Croatia split by Croatia's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
RussiaHungary7,05175.8%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Croatia split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqItaly5,0055.2%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaItaly4,9785.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqGreece4,68232.5%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Croatia split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGreece4,48231.1%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Croatia split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaItaly3,9204.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Croatia split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGreece2,03914.2%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Croatia split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGreece1,77012.3%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Croatia split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGreece1,4279.9%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Croatia split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsHungary1,42115.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
KazakhstanHungary6877.4%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Croatia split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsHungary1411.5%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Croatia split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-06 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Croatia’s supply of road diesel in 2025-06, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2025-06 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-04 to 2025-06.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Slovenia: no refinery (62,200 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Italy: crude not from imports (12,068 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (1,421 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Croatia: country page