Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In November 2025, Cyprus' road diesel supply was 38 kt, all of it imported, from Greece (67%) and Israel (33%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Iraq (29%), Kazakhstan (15%) and Libya (11%), and 34% cannot be traced.
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Crude origin (estimate)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Nov 2025)
5.5 thousand tonnes
est. 15% of Cyprus's road diesel supply
less than 0.1 kt reported5.5 kt estimated
Inferred · medium
Last shipped from
- Greece5.5 kt (est. 100%)
Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece | Cyprus: road diesel supply | 25,455 | 67.3% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Israel | Cyprus: road diesel supply | 12,352 | 32.7% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel: no crude data | Israel | 12,352 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Iraq | Greece | 11,006 | 43.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Kazakhstan | Greece | 5,525 | 21.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Greece | 4,086 | 16.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Saudi Arabia | Greece | 1,607 | 6.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Azerbaijan | Greece | 1,392 | 5.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Egypt | Greece | 697 | 2.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Greece | 593 | 2.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Greece: crude origin not reported | Greece | 548 | 2.2% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
Source & method
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2025-11 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Cyprus’s supply of road diesel in 2025-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2025-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-09 to 2025-11.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Israel: no crude data (12,352 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Greece: crude origin not reported (548 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.