Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In November 2023, Cyprus' road diesel supply was 62 kt, all of it imported, from Greece (74%) and Israel (26%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Iraq (36%), Kazakhstan (11%) and Libya (7%), and 30% cannot be traced.
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Crude origin (estimate)
- Iraq22 kt (est. 36%)
- Kazakhstan7.0 kt (est. 11%)
- Libya4.4 kt (est. 7%)
- Egypt2.2 kt (est. 4%)
- Saudi Arabia1.9 kt (est. 3%)
- United States1.4 kt (est. 2%)
- Norway1.1 kt (est. 2%)
- Other crude origins3.2 kt (est. 5%)
- Israel: no crude data16 kt (26%)
- Greece: crude origin not reported2.0 kt (3%)
- Greece: crude not from imports0.7 kt (1%)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Nov 2023)
1.1 thousand tonnes
est. 2% of Cyprus's road diesel supply
less than 0.1 kt reported1.1 kt estimated
Inferred · medium
Last shipped from
- Greece1.1 kt (est. 100%)
Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece | Cyprus: road diesel supply | 45,845 | 74.5% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Israel | Cyprus: road diesel supply | 15,716 | 25.5% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | Greece | 21,930 | 47.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Israel: no crude data | Israel | 15,716 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Kazakhstan | Greece | 6,981 | 15.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Greece | 4,391 | 9.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Other crude origins | Greece | 3,237 | 7.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Egypt | Greece | 2,196 | 4.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Greece: crude origin not reported | Greece | 1,981 | 4.3% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Saudi Arabia | Greece | 1,868 | 4.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Greece | 1,444 | 3.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Greece | 1,075 | 2.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Cyprus split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Greece: crude not from imports | Greece | 741 | 1.6% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
Source & method
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2023-11 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Cyprus’s supply of road diesel in 2023-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2023-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-09 to 2023-11.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Israel: no crude data (15,716 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Greece: crude origin not reported (1,981 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Greece: crude not from imports (741 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.