Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In July 2024, Estonia's road diesel supply was 75 kt, all of it imported, from Lithuania (51%) and Latvia (49%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Saudi Arabia (22%), Norway (10%) and the United Kingdom (8%), and 49% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
Reported: where Estonia's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LithuaniaEstonia: road diesel supply38,00050.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
LatviaEstonia: road diesel supply37,00049.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Latvia: no refineryLatvia37,000100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
Saudi ArabiaLithuania16,70644.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayLithuania7,22119.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania5,67314.9%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesLithuania4,23211.1%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaLithuania4,16811.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-07 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Estonia’s supply of road diesel in 2024-07, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2024-07 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-05 to 2024-07.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Latvia: no refinery (37,000 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Estonia: country page