Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In August 2024, Estonia's road diesel supply was 117 kt, all of it imported, from Lithuania (67%) and Finland (33%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (42%), Saudi Arabia (27%) and the United Kingdom (11%), and 6% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
Reported: where Estonia's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LithuaniaEstonia: road diesel supply78,00066.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
FinlandEstonia: road diesel supply39,00033.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi ArabiaLithuania31,94241.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland30,59778.5%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Estonia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
NorwayLithuania18,12323.2%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania11,92615.3%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
United StatesLithuania8,89111.4%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaLithuania5,4247.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
Finland: crude not from importsFinland2,8187.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Finland: crude origin not reportedFinland2,2545.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesFinland1,8074.6%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Estonia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
Lithuania: crude not from importsLithuania1,6942.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomFinland1,5253.9%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Estonia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-06 to 2024-08. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-08 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Estonia’s supply of road diesel in 2024-08, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-08 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-06 to 2024-08.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Finland: crude not from imports (2,818 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Finland: crude origin not reported (2,254 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Lithuania: crude not from imports (1,694 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Estonia: country page