Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In September 2024, Estonia's petrol supply was 36 kt, all of it imported, from Sweden (61%) and Lithuania (39%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (52%), Saudi Arabia (15%) and the United Kingdom (12%), and 8% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
Reported: where Estonia's petrol came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
SwedenEstonia: petrol supply22,00061.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
LithuaniaEstonia: petrol supply14,00038.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden14,81967.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Estonia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaLithuania5,26737.6%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayLithuania3,96528.3%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania2,70219.3%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
Sweden: crude origin not reportedSweden2,23310.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomSweden1,4536.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Estonia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden1,2815.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Estonia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSweden1,2815.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Estonia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesLithuania1,0947.8%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden6863.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Estonia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaLithuania4993.6%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
Lithuania: crude not from importsLithuania4713.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
DenmarkSweden1270.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Estonia split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-07 to 2024-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSweden1190.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-09 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Estonia’s supply of petrol in 2024-09, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-09 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-07 to 2024-09.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Sweden: crude origin not reported (2,233 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Lithuania: crude not from imports (471 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (119 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Estonia: country page