Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In July 2025, Estonia's petrol supply was 24 kt, all of it imported, from Lithuania (56%), France (31%) and Finland (12%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (33%), Saudi Arabia (18%) and Algeria (11%), and 1% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
  • Dashed: estimated from published euro value
The numbers as a table
Reported: where Estonia's petrol came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LithuaniaEstonia: petrol supply13,50056.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FranceEstonia: petrol supply7,50031.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FinlandEstonia: petrol supply3,00012.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwayLithuania5,29839.2%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaLithuania3,93329.1%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland2,17372.4%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Estonia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsFrance2,15128.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania2,04615.2%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaLithuania2,01414.9%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's petrol to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance1,64722.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance99613.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance95512.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaFrance6729.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland60820.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Estonia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NorwayFrance5447.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaFrance3534.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFinland2197.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Estonia split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Smaller flows: crude not from importsLithuania2091.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance1241.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomFrance580.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's petrol to Estonia split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-05 to 2025-07. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-07 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Estonia’s supply of petrol in 2025-07, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2025-07 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-05 to 2025-07.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (209 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (124 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Estonia: country page