Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In March 2026, Estonia's jet fuel supply was 10 kt, all of it imported, from Lithuania (100%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Saudi Arabia (52%), Norway (30%) and the United Kingdom (9%), and 2% cannot be traced.
Mar 2026
| 2026 | |
|---|---|
| 2025 | |
| 2024 | |
| 2023 |
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Crude origin (estimate)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | Estonia: jet fuel supply | 10,000 | 100.0% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | Lithuania | 5,244 | 52.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's jet fuel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Lithuania | 2,984 | 29.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's jet fuel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Lithuania | 856 | 8.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's jet fuel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium. |
| Algeria | Lithuania | 760 | 7.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's jet fuel to Estonia split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium. |
| Lithuania: crude not from imports | Lithuania | 156 | 1.6% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
Source & method
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2026-03 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Estonia’s supply of jet fuel in 2026-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2026-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-01 to 2026-03.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Lithuania: crude not from imports (156 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.