Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In December 2024, Finland's road diesel supply was 515 kt: 79% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Sweden (13%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (73%), the United Kingdom (13%) and the United States (6%), and 6% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
  • Dashed: estimated from published euro value

Sweden → Finland

Road diesel supplied (Dec 2024)

66.6 thousand tonnes

est. 13% of Finland's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported67 kt estimated

OfficialEstimated

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Norway33 kt (est. 49%)
  • Sweden: crude origin not reported14 kt (21%)
  • United Kingdom7.9 kt (est. 12%)

and 4 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

View Sweden profile →

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Finland's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Finland (own refineries)Finland: road diesel supply409,00079.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
SwedenFinland: road diesel supply66,59712.9%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland reported no road diesel imports for the month but customs records show them with the quantities withheld; tonnes estimated from the published euro values (customs basis).
NetherlandsFinland: road diesel supply25,1844.9%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland reported no road diesel imports for the month but customs records show them with the quantities withheld; tonnes estimated from the published euro values (customs basis).
UzbekistanFinland: road diesel supply14,2492.8%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland reported no road diesel imports for the month but customs records show them with the quantities withheld; tonnes estimated from the published euro values (customs basis).
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwayFinland (own refineries)337,05282.4%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Finland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland (own refineries)54,07813.2%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Finland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySweden32,68449.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Finland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
United StatesFinland (own refineries)17,8704.4%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Finland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: medium.
Uzbekistan: no crude dataUzbekistan14,249100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Sweden: crude origin not reportedSweden14,11221.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomSweden7,87611.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Finland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
United StatesSweden7,87011.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Finland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
United StatesNetherlands7,37629.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
NorwayNetherlands3,78215.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
Other crude originsNetherlands3,43413.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
BrazilNetherlands2,66310.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
IraqNetherlands2,64210.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
United KingdomNetherlands2,57310.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
NigeriaSweden2,4103.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Finland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands1,5596.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaSweden1,3222.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Finland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
LibyaNetherlands8193.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
NigeriaNetherlands3371.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Finland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
Other crude originsSweden3220.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Finland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
Smaller flows: no crude dataNorway2100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsFrance133.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
United StatesFrance126.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
NigeriaFrance010.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
IraqFrance09.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
NorwayFrance08.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
LibyaFrance07.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUnited States0100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance02.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomFrance02.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Finland split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-10 to 2024-12. Confidence: low.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance00.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: no crude dataSingapore0100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.

4 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · low
Period 2024-12 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceLowMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Finland’s supply of road diesel in 2024-12, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed supplier links are imports estimated from published euro values: the country reported no imports of this fuel for the month, customs records show imports, and the customs quantities were withheld, so the tonnes are the customs euro values divided by the price other EU countries paid (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis: a supplier inside the EU is the country the fuel was shipped from. INFERRED. Method

Month: 2024-12 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-10 to 2024-12.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Uzbekistan: no crude data (14,249 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Sweden: crude origin not reported (14,112 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,559 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (2 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (0 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Finland: country page