Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In November 2025, Germany's road diesel supply was 3,620 kt: 70% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (18%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (15%), the United States (14%) and Kazakhstan (14%), and 17% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Iraq → Germany

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Nov 2025)

173.1 thousand tonnes

est. 5% of Germany's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported173 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Refined in

  • Germany (own refineries)133 kt (est. 77%)
  • Netherlands38 kt (est. 22%)
  • Belgium1.0 kt (est. <1%)

and 2 more in the table above

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Germany's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Germany (own refineries)Germany: road diesel supply2,522,60369.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsGermany: road diesel supply655,65818.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
BelgiumGermany: road diesel supply180,0405.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
KuwaitGermany: road diesel supply95,0672.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
IndiaGermany: road diesel supply62,4551.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesGermany: road diesel supply52,5911.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
TogoGermany: road diesel supply41,8421.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
CzechiaGermany: road diesel supply6,7240.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwayGermany (own refineries)389,28715.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany (own refineries)374,94914.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany (own refineries)364,15214.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany (own refineries)336,16613.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany (own refineries)319,83112.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany (own refineries)253,29410.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude origin not reportedGermany (own refineries)244,4149.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesNetherlands146,32822.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqGermany (own refineries)133,4325.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands117,72518.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands96,06814.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait95,067100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsNetherlands88,48713.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany (own refineries)67,2202.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
India: no crude dataIndia62,455100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomNetherlands55,8968.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium54,69430.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States52,591100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NigeriaNetherlands46,9187.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium44,27324.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Netherlands: crude origin not reportedNetherlands42,3366.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Togo: no crude dataTogo41,842100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Germany: crude not from importsGermany (own refineries)39,8571.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
IraqNetherlands38,3985.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium31,61917.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium24,71113.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsNetherlands23,5023.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium12,0296.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaBelgium8,6554.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsCzechia3,58653.3%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium2,9661.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCzechia1,35320.1%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayCzechia1,19117.7%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanAustria1,05955.3%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Germany split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium9570.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsCzechia5948.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsAustria29315.3%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Germany split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFrance28924.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaAustria27014.1%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Germany split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance23119.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance18715.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqAustria1849.6%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Germany split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFrance14512.2%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance12910.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsAustria1115.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
IraqFrance968.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance837.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUnited Kingdom57100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomFrance151.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance131.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.

5 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-11 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Germany’s supply of road diesel in 2025-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-09 to 2025-11.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Germany: crude origin not reported (244,414 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (95,067 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • India: no crude data (62,455 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • United States: no crude data (52,591 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Netherlands: crude origin not reported (42,336 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Togo: no crude data (41,842 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude not from imports (39,857 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (24,320 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (12,041 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (57 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Germany: country page