Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In June 2025, Germany's road diesel supply was 3,630 kt: 70% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (14%) and Belgium (5%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (18%), the United States (13%) and Kazakhstan (12%), and 13% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Libya → Germany

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Jun 2025)

423.0 thousand tonnes

est. 12% of Germany's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported423 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Refined in

  • Germany (own refineries)405 kt (est. 96%)
  • Netherlands7.8 kt (est. 2%)
  • Belgium6.3 kt (est. 1%)

and 2 more in the table above

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

View Libya profile →

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Germany's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Germany (own refineries)Germany: road diesel supply2,536,83469.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsGermany: road diesel supply513,12014.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
BelgiumGermany: road diesel supply198,3195.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
KuwaitGermany: road diesel supply75,4212.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
IndiaGermany: road diesel supply69,0361.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SwedenGermany: road diesel supply65,8291.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
LithuaniaGermany: road diesel supply43,9521.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesGermany: road diesel supply41,3841.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United Arab EmiratesGermany: road diesel supply37,1131.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United KingdomGermany: road diesel supply28,8780.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Other suppliersGermany: road diesel supply20,1030.6%Summed by usSum of the smaller suppliers' published imports.
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwayGermany (own refineries)465,79218.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany (own refineries)404,76016.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany (own refineries)335,63913.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany (own refineries)335,59513.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany (own refineries)307,99112.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany (own refineries)287,35411.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude origin not reportedGermany (own refineries)169,9576.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqGermany (own refineries)157,4306.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands114,86022.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands87,15117.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands77,36615.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait75,421100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
CanadaGermany (own refineries)72,3152.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
India: no crude dataIndia69,036100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
KazakhstanNetherlands62,70412.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands60,75711.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium57,40428.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium47,57724.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqNetherlands41,9048.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States41,384100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Netherlands: crude origin not reportedNetherlands39,4767.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United Arab Emirates: no crude dataUnited Arab Emirates37,113100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
KazakhstanBelgium33,38716.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySweden32,02748.7%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium30,00015.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUnited Kingdom28,878100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
CanadaNetherlands21,0854.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsLithuania20,76847.3%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Germany split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayLithuania16,33937.2%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Germany split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSweden14,00921.3%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
CanadaBelgium13,1416.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden8,87313.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands7,8171.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers7,673128.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden7,66811.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium6,2583.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers6,01091.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium4,9582.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania3,6748.4%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Germany split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium2,8131.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqBelgium2,7821.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayOther suppliers2,65650.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSweden2,5403.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesLithuania1,7864.1%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Germany split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaOther suppliers1,64846.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsLithuania1,3863.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSweden7111.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers4959.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers47811.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqOther suppliers43414.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesOther suppliers38932.0%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomOther suppliers25711.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
CanadaOther suppliers652.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-04 to 2025-06. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-06 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Germany’s supply of road diesel in 2025-06, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-06 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-04 to 2025-06.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Germany: crude origin not reported (169,957 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (75,421 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • India: no crude data (69,036 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • United States: no crude data (41,384 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Netherlands: crude origin not reported (39,476 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • United Arab Emirates: no crude data (37,113 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (28,878 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (3,291 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (2,592 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

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