Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In September 2025, Germany's road diesel supply was 3,606 kt: 71% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (15%) and Belgium (5%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (14%), Kazakhstan (13%) and the United States (13%), and 15% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Netherlands → Germany

Road diesel supplied (Sep 2025)

526.6 thousand tonnes

15% of Germany's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Norway108 kt (est. 21%)
  • United States103 kt (est. 20%)
  • Other crude origins97 kt (est. 18%)

and 5 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Germany's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Germany (own refineries)Germany: road diesel supply2,562,67671.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsGermany: road diesel supply526,62314.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
BelgiumGermany: road diesel supply189,9205.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
KuwaitGermany: road diesel supply109,8453.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
IndiaGermany: road diesel supply59,9581.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Saudi ArabiaGermany: road diesel supply50,9651.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
FranceGermany: road diesel supply36,6351.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
CanadaGermany: road diesel supply32,9810.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SwedenGermany: road diesel supply16,4370.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Other suppliersGermany: road diesel supply12,3910.3%Summed by usSum of the smaller suppliers' published imports.
CzechiaGermany: road diesel supply7,6140.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LibyaGermany (own refineries)431,77416.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany (own refineries)360,65614.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany (own refineries)340,59413.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany (own refineries)339,26213.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany (own refineries)335,03013.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany (own refineries)238,3109.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude origin not reportedGermany (own refineries)190,4397.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqGermany (own refineries)149,9235.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany (own refineries)116,3274.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait109,845100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayNetherlands108,05320.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands103,12719.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands97,21118.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands78,89615.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude not from importsGermany (own refineries)60,3612.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
India: no crude dataIndia59,958100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia50,965100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsBelgium49,99326.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium43,71123.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands42,9188.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium35,39818.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqNetherlands33,3626.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataCanada32,981100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands32,5626.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaNetherlands30,4945.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium23,86512.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium14,6177.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NorwaySweden10,05061.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium8,6204.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance8,57823.4%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFrance8,22722.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium8,2214.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance6,08416.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers3,90253.0%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsCzechia3,68648.4%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance3,5229.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance3,4319.4%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFrance2,6997.4%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance2,6717.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden2,64916.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayCzechia2,45432.2%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers2,21930.1%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium2,1981.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium2,0631.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers2,00336.9%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomSweden1,6179.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSweden1,5799.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCzechia1,47419.4%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesOther suppliers1,43328.7%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayOther suppliers1,40528.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium1,2350.7%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance8282.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomOther suppliers70114.2%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaOther suppliers6018.2%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden5423.3%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFrance4031.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Germany split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance1910.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers100100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
IraqOther suppliers260.4%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-07 to 2025-09. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-09 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Germany’s supply of road diesel in 2025-09, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-09 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-07 to 2025-09.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Germany: crude origin not reported (190,439 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (109,845 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude not from imports (60,361 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • India: no crude data (59,958 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (50,965 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (47,370 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (33,081 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (4,066 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

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