Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In November 2023, Germany's road diesel supply was 3,552 kt: 60% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (18%) and Belgium (10%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the United States (19%), Norway (13%) and Kazakhstan (8%), and 17% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Smaller flows: no crude data → Germany

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Nov 2023)

12.7 thousand tonnes

<1% of Germany's road diesel supply

Unknown

Refined in

  • Switzerland10 kt (79%)
  • Other suppliers2.7 kt (21%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Germany's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Germany (own refineries)Germany: road diesel supply2,141,06560.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsGermany: road diesel supply654,87218.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
BelgiumGermany: road diesel supply341,2249.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesGermany: road diesel supply154,6824.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
KuwaitGermany: road diesel supply98,7612.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
IndiaGermany: road diesel supply89,8112.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
MaltaGermany: road diesel supply30,1070.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
DenmarkGermany: road diesel supply15,3940.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Other suppliersGermany: road diesel supply10,4420.3%Summed by usSum of the smaller suppliers' published imports.
SwitzerlandGermany: road diesel supply10,0110.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
CzechiaGermany: road diesel supply5,8050.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
United StatesGermany (own refineries)405,99419.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany (own refineries)403,83418.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany (own refineries)303,99314.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany (own refineries)260,08412.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany (own refineries)229,14810.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands181,86527.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States154,682100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomGermany (own refineries)148,4676.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqGermany (own refineries)126,9695.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands104,51316.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude origin not reportedGermany (own refineries)100,8074.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait98,761100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NigeriaGermany (own refineries)95,9074.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
India: no crude dataIndia89,811100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayNetherlands83,54312.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium81,92324.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqNetherlands77,05711.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands75,17111.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands71,30410.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium68,00819.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude not from importsGermany (own refineries)65,8613.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NorwayBelgium52,07415.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium38,41111.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands31,9554.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: no refineryMalta30,107100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
KazakhstanNetherlands29,4654.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium28,4718.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium26,2057.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqBelgium24,9307.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium21,2026.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataSwitzerland10,011100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesDenmark6,22440.4%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsDenmark5,61136.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsCzechia4,41476.0%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayOther suppliers3,241140.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers2,710200.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayDenmark1,74411.3%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark1,1247.3%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomOther suppliers93823.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCzechia79413.7%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesOther suppliers76537.7%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedDenmark6924.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
KazakhstanOther suppliers68453.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers61250.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaOther suppliers56731.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaOther suppliers48418.0%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedCzechia4097.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqOther suppliers28623.1%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqCzechia1883.2%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers11118.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers433.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2023-11 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Germany’s supply of road diesel in 2023-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2023-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-09 to 2023-11.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United States: no crude data (154,682 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude origin not reported (100,807 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (98,761 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • India: no crude data (89,811 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude not from imports (65,861 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (59,304 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no refinery (30,107 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (12,721 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (5,722 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Germany: country page