Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In March 2026, Germany's road diesel supply was 3,192 kt: 73% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (14%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (19%), the United States (16%) and Kazakhstan (10%), and 10% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Smaller flows: no crude data → Germany

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Mar 2026)

11.2 thousand tonnes

<1% of Germany's road diesel supply

Unknown

Refined in

  • Venezuela11 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Germany's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Germany (own refineries)Germany: road diesel supply2,334,74273.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsGermany: road diesel supply433,39913.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
KuwaitGermany: road diesel supply123,6693.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
BelgiumGermany: road diesel supply91,6252.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
IndiaGermany: road diesel supply64,3692.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SwedenGermany: road diesel supply59,5421.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesGermany: road diesel supply36,5531.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
DenmarkGermany: road diesel supply27,3460.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
VenezuelaGermany: road diesel supply11,2450.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Other suppliersGermany: road diesel supply4,9460.2%Summed by usSum of the smaller suppliers' published imports.
CzechiaGermany: road diesel supply4,1980.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwayGermany (own refineries)423,09518.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany (own refineries)381,80916.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany (own refineries)367,64815.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany (own refineries)286,71112.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany (own refineries)272,04611.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany (own refineries)254,48510.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaGermany (own refineries)221,0599.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait123,669100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsNetherlands105,16624.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands97,73822.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands95,75822.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany (own refineries)72,1153.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
India: no crude dataIndia64,369100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Germany: crude not from importsGermany (own refineries)55,7742.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomNetherlands40,0649.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States36,553100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayBelgium34,08437.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Netherlands: crude origin not reportedNetherlands32,4107.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
KazakhstanNetherlands30,2297.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySweden29,69049.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands29,1726.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden18,33030.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium18,13419.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium13,54314.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataVenezuela11,245100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsDenmark8,98032.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NigeriaBelgium8,8339.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden7,98213.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark7,72428.2%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark7,28026.6%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium6,4057.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaBelgium5,3405.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium5,2875.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands2,8630.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsDenmark2,81010.3%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsCzechia2,73365.1%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden1,7843.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden1,7562.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers1,203100.4%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers1,03240.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayCzechia1,02824.5%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaOther suppliers80136.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark5512.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Germany split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomOther suppliers48114.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesOther suppliers45250.8%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCzechia43610.4%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers41811.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
GuyanaOther suppliers36914.1%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaOther suppliers15223.7%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayOther suppliers336.7%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers61.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2026-03 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Germany’s supply of road diesel in 2026-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2026-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-01 to 2026-03.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Kuwait: no crude data (123,669 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • India: no crude data (64,369 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude not from imports (55,774 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • United States: no crude data (36,553 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Netherlands: crude origin not reported (32,410 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (11,245 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (9,397 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (6 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Germany: country page