Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In September 2023, Germany's road diesel supply was 3,274 kt: 71% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (14%) and Belgium (5%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the United States (18%), Norway (15%) and Kazakhstan (10%), and 13% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

United States → Germany

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Sep 2023)

575.5 thousand tonnes

est. 18% of Germany's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported576 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Refined in

  • Germany (own refineries)412 kt (est. 72%)
  • Netherlands135 kt (est. 24%)
  • Belgium25 kt (est. 4%)

and 3 more in the table above

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Germany's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Germany (own refineries)Germany: road diesel supply2,327,65071.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsGermany: road diesel supply473,39114.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
BelgiumGermany: road diesel supply170,0435.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United KingdomGermany: road diesel supply92,2062.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
KuwaitGermany: road diesel supply67,5952.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
OmanGermany: road diesel supply48,0141.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesGermany: road diesel supply41,8811.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SwedenGermany: road diesel supply23,7290.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Imports, origin not reportedGermany: road diesel supply11,1060.3%Summed by usPublisher's import total minus the named partners.
UkraineGermany: road diesel supply10,3560.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
CzechiaGermany: road diesel supply4,2430.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Other suppliersGermany: road diesel supply3,6350.1%Summed by usSum of the smaller suppliers' published imports.
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Other crude originsGermany (own refineries)423,77618.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany (own refineries)411,87517.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany (own refineries)351,82315.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany (own refineries)284,69212.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany (own refineries)258,44311.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany (own refineries)205,3158.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany (own refineries)135,8255.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands135,31228.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqGermany (own refineries)123,3265.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Germany split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands99,31121.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United Kingdom: no crude dataUnited Kingdom92,206100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Germany: crude not from importsGermany (own refineries)87,5993.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NorwayNetherlands82,65817.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait67,595100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomNetherlands67,44814.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqNetherlands49,42310.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Oman: no crude dataOman48,014100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Germany: crude origin not reportedGermany (own refineries)44,9761.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Other crude originsBelgium43,77125.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States41,881100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayBelgium36,69921.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium24,97014.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium24,02314.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands16,6553.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium15,9719.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySweden15,23464.2%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium11,9727.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands11,2952.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Origin not reported: crude unknownImports, origin not reported11,106100.0%UnknownThe statistics did not say which country these imports came from.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUkraine10,356100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
IraqBelgium9,6545.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands7,5431.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Germany split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsNetherlands3,7450.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsCzechia3,53583.3%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden3,08513.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers2,549100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomSweden2,0228.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSweden1,8177.7%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium1,5060.9%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Saudi ArabiaBelgium9070.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSweden8403.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSweden7303.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Germany split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium5710.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Germany split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCzechia3698.7%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers35648.2%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United StatesCzechia2646.2%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
LibyaOther suppliers19928.7%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqOther suppliers16925.8%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaOther suppliers9218.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers6915.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NorwayOther suppliers6569.3%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers6536.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedCzechia521.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers4019.0%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United StatesOther suppliers2330.4%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
IraqCzechia230.5%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Germany split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomOther suppliers88.0%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Germany split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2023-07 to 2023-09. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2023-09 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Germany’s supply of road diesel in 2023-09, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2023-09 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-07 to 2023-09.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United Kingdom: no crude data (92,206 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude not from imports (87,599 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (67,595 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Oman: no crude data (48,014 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Germany: crude origin not reported (44,976 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • United States: no crude data (41,881 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (23,387 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (12,905 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Origin not reported: crude unknown (11,106 t): The statistics did not say which country these imports came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (7,109 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Imports, origin not reported (11,106 t): The statistics did not say which country these imports came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Germany: country page