Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In November 2023, Greece's road diesel supply was 671 kt: 92% from its own refineries; tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Iraq (44%), Kazakhstan (14%) and Libya (9%), and 14% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Greece: crude origin not reported → Greece

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Nov 2023)

26.6 thousand tonnes

4% of Greece's road diesel supply

Unknown

Last shipped from

  • Greece (own refineries)27 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Greece's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Greece (own refineries)Greece: road diesel supply615,64691.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
Saudi ArabiaGreece: road diesel supply30,0004.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
KazakhstanGreece: road diesel supply25,3583.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
IraqGreece (own refineries)294,50147.8%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGreece (own refineries)93,74315.2%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGreece (own refineries)58,9719.6%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGreece (own refineries)43,4737.1%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia30,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
EgyptGreece (own refineries)29,4844.8%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Greece: crude origin not reportedGreece (own refineries)26,6074.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Kazakhstan: no crude dataKazakhstan25,358100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Saudi ArabiaGreece (own refineries)25,0884.1%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGreece (own refineries)19,3943.2%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGreece (own refineries)14,4312.3%EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2023-09 to 2023-11. Confidence: medium.
Greece: crude not from importsGreece (own refineries)9,9541.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: no refineryCyprus37100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2023-11 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Greece’s supply of road diesel in 2023-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2023-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-09 to 2023-11.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (30,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Greece: crude origin not reported (26,607 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Kazakhstan: no crude data (25,358 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Greece: crude not from imports (9,954 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: no refinery (37 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Greece: country page