Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In June 2024, Ireland's road diesel supply was 344 kt, all of it imported, mainly from the Netherlands (62%), the United Kingdom (18%) and Belgium (11%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the United States (17%), Norway (12%) and Kazakhstan (10%), and 30% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Kazakhstan → Ireland

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Jun 2024)

33.5 thousand tonnes

est. 10% of Ireland's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported33 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Last shipped from

  • Netherlands26 kt (est. 77%)
  • Belgium5.7 kt (est. 17%)
  • Germany2.1 kt (est. 6%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

View Kazakhstan profile →

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Ireland's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NetherlandsIreland: road diesel supply212,83561.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
United KingdomIreland: road diesel supply62,94818.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
BelgiumIreland: road diesel supply38,73411.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanyIreland: road diesel supply15,1424.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
United StatesIreland: road diesel supply14,4184.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
United Kingdom: no crude dataUnited Kingdom62,948100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesNetherlands49,22423.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands33,16115.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands25,63112.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands22,71110.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Netherlands: crude origin not reportedNetherlands19,0559.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqNetherlands18,9418.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands15,5097.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
BrazilNetherlands14,9887.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United States: no crude dataUnited States14,418100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands13,6156.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Ireland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium8,13121.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium6,86917.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium5,71914.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium5,41614.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Belgium: crude origin not reportedBelgium5,34713.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NorwayGermany3,07720.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany2,96319.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaBelgium2,7257.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany2,63417.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany2,13714.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium1,7294.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium1,3893.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
BrazilBelgium1,2623.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Ireland split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany1,2238.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany1,2027.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqGermany9616.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany5243.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany3662.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium1460.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
BrazilGermany550.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Ireland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-06 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Ireland’s supply of road diesel in 2024-06, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-06 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-04 to 2024-06.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United Kingdom: no crude data (62,948 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Netherlands: crude origin not reported (19,055 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • United States: no crude data (14,418 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Belgium: crude origin not reported (5,347 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,202 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (512 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Ireland: country page