Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In February 2024, Lithuania's road diesel supply was 237 kt: 86% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Belgium (7%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Saudi Arabia (36%), Norway (34%) and the United States (12%), and 2% cannot be traced.
Country
Saudi Arabia85 kt (est. 36%)Norway81 kt (est. 34%)United States29 kt (est. 12%)United Kingdom20 kt (est. 8%)Algeria8.5 kt (est. 4%)Kazakhstan1.8 kt (est. <1%)Nigeria1.8 kt (est. <1%)Other crude origins3.9 kt (est. 2%)Latvia: no refinery3.3 kt (1%)Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.5 kt (<1%)Smaller flows: no crude data0.5 kt (<1%)Lithuania (own refineries)205 kt (86%)Belgium18 kt (7%)Finland11 kt (5%)Latvia3.3 kt (1%)United States0.5 kt (<1%)Lithuania: road diesel supply237 kt (100%)
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Crude origin (estimate)
- Colour = where it went:
- Lithuania (own refineries)
- Belgium
- Finland
- Latvia
- United States
- Saudi Arabia85 kt (est. 36%)
- Norway81 kt (est. 34%)
- United States29 kt (est. 12%)
- United Kingdom20 kt (est. 8%)
- Algeria8.5 kt (est. 4%)
- Kazakhstan1.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Nigeria1.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Other crude origins3.9 kt (est. 2%)
- Latvia: no refinery3.3 kt (1%)
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.5 kt (<1%)
- Smaller flows: no crude data0.5 kt (<1%)
Where the fuel was refined
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Road diesel supplied (Feb 2024)
17.5 thousand tonnes
7% of Lithuania's road diesel supply
Official
Crude behind it (estimate)
- Other crude origins3.9 kt (est. 23%)
- United States3.7 kt (est. 21%)
- Norway2.7 kt (est. 15%)
and 6 more in the table above
Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania (own refineries) | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 204,500 | 86.3% | ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output) |
| Belgium | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 17,500 | 7.4% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Finland | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 11,200 | 4.7% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Latvia | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 3,300 | 1.4% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| United States | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 500 | 0.2% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | Lithuania (own refineries) | 84,027 | 41.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Lithuania (own refineries) | 69,658 | 34.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Lithuania (own refineries) | 25,339 | 12.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Lithuania (own refineries) | 16,938 | 8.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Finland | 9,074 | 81.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Algeria | Lithuania (own refineries) | 8,538 | 4.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Other crude origins | Belgium | 3,944 | 22.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Belgium | 3,664 | 20.9% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Latvia: no refinery | Latvia | 3,300 | 100.0% | UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only. |
| Norway | Belgium | 2,712 | 15.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Kazakhstan | Belgium | 1,836 | 10.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Nigeria | Belgium | 1,756 | 10.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Finland | 1,714 | 15.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude origin not reported | Belgium | 1,478 | 8.4% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| United Kingdom | Belgium | 1,310 | 7.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Saudi Arabia | Belgium | 791 | 4.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: no crude data | United States | 500 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| United States | Finland | 412 | 3.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium. |
One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.
Source & method
Source Period 2024-02 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2024-02 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Lithuania’s supply of road diesel in 2024-02, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2024-02 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-12 to 2024-02.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Latvia: no refinery (3,300 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,478 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Smaller flows: no crude data (500 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.