Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In April 2024, Lithuania's road diesel supply was 317 kt: 88% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (6%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Saudi Arabia (41%), Norway (34%) and the United Kingdom (13%), and 2% cannot be traced.
Country
Saudi Arabia129 kt (est. 41%)Norway107 kt (est. 34%)United Kingdom42 kt (est. 13%)Algeria22 kt (est. 7%)United States3.6 kt (est. 1%)Kazakhstan2.0 kt (est. <1%)Nigeria0.9 kt (est. <1%)Other crude origins3.7 kt (est. 1%)Latvia: no refinery3.7 kt (1%)Smaller flows: crude not from imports2.6 kt (<1%)Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.4 kt (<1%)Lithuania (own refineries)280 kt (88%)Finland18 kt (6%)Belgium16 kt (5%)Latvia3.7 kt (1%)Lithuania: road diesel supply317 kt (100%)
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Crude origin (estimate)
- Colour = where it went:
- Lithuania (own refineries)
- Finland
- Belgium
- Latvia
- Saudi Arabia129 kt (est. 41%)
- Norway107 kt (est. 34%)
- United Kingdom42 kt (est. 13%)
- Algeria22 kt (est. 7%)
- United States3.6 kt (est. 1%)
- Kazakhstan2.0 kt (est. <1%)
- Nigeria0.9 kt (est. <1%)
- Other crude origins3.7 kt (est. 1%)
- Latvia: no refinery3.7 kt (1%)
- Smaller flows: crude not from imports2.6 kt (<1%)
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.4 kt (<1%)
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Apr 2024)
3.7 thousand tonnes
est. 1% of Lithuania's road diesel supply
less than 0.1 kt reported3.7 kt estimated
Inferred · medium
Last shipped from
- Belgium3.7 kt (est. 100%)
Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania (own refineries) | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 280,300 | 88.3% | ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output) |
| Finland | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 17,700 | 5.6% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Belgium | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 15,600 | 4.9% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Latvia | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 3,700 | 1.2% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | Lithuania (own refineries) | 126,671 | 45.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Lithuania (own refineries) | 90,948 | 32.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Lithuania (own refineries) | 38,176 | 13.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Algeria | Lithuania (own refineries) | 21,875 | 7.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Finland | 13,519 | 76.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Latvia: no refinery | Latvia | 3,700 | 100.0% | UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only. |
| Other crude origins | Belgium | 3,689 | 23.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Finland | 3,366 | 19.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Belgium | 2,830 | 18.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude not from imports | Lithuania (own refineries) | 2,630 | 0.9% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
| Norway | Belgium | 2,246 | 14.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Kazakhstan | Belgium | 2,012 | 12.9% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Saudi Arabia | Belgium | 2,006 | 12.9% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude origin not reported | Belgium | 1,397 | 9.0% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Nigeria | Belgium | 929 | 6.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Finland | 815 | 4.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Belgium | 491 | 3.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Lithuania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-02 to 2024-04. Confidence: medium. |
Source & method
Source Period 2024-04 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2024-04 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Lithuania’s supply of road diesel in 2024-04, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.
Month: 2024-04 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-02 to 2024-04.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Latvia: no refinery (3,700 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
- Smaller flows: crude not from imports (2,630 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,397 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.