Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In October 2023, Lithuania's road diesel supply was 299 kt: 65% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the United Arab Emirates (11%), the United States (10%) and Finland (9%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (30%), Saudi Arabia (19%) and the United States (19%), and 25% cannot be traced.
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Crude origin (estimate)
- Colour = where it went:
- Lithuania (own refineries)
- United Arab Emirates
- United States
- Finland
- Sweden
- Latvia
- Norway89 kt (est. 30%)
- Saudi Arabia58 kt (est. 19%)
- United States58 kt (est. 19%)
- United Kingdom11 kt (est. 4%)
- Algeria6.5 kt (est. 2%)
- Brazil0.8 kt (est. <1%)
- Nigeria0.4 kt (est. <1%)
- Libya0.2 kt (est. <1%)
- United Arab Emirates: no crude data33 kt (11%)
- United States: no crude data29 kt (10%)
- Lithuania: crude not from imports5.2 kt (2%)
- Finland: crude not from imports3.6 kt (1%)
- Latvia: no refinery3.6 kt (1%)
Where the fuel was refined
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania (own refineries) | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 193,400 | 64.6% | ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output) |
| United Arab Emirates | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 33,000 | 11.0% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| United States | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 29,300 | 9.8% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Finland | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 26,200 | 8.8% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Sweden | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 13,800 | 4.6% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Latvia | Lithuania: road diesel supply | 3,600 | 1.2% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | Lithuania (own refineries) | 63,271 | 32.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Saudi Arabia | Lithuania (own refineries) | 58,097 | 30.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Lithuania (own refineries) | 52,408 | 27.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| United Arab Emirates: no crude data | United Arab Emirates | 33,000 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| United States: no crude data | United States | 29,300 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Norway | Finland | 17,485 | 66.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Sweden | 8,668 | 62.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Lithuania split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Lithuania (own refineries) | 7,946 | 4.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Algeria | Lithuania (own refineries) | 6,528 | 3.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Lithuania split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Lithuania: crude not from imports | Lithuania (own refineries) | 5,150 | 2.7% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
| Finland: crude not from imports | Finland | 3,604 | 13.8% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
| Latvia: no refinery | Latvia | 3,600 | 100.0% | UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only. |
| United States | Finland | 3,225 | 12.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Sweden | 2,304 | 16.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Lithuania split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Sweden | 2,166 | 15.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Lithuania split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Finland | 1,082 | 4.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Brazil | Finland | 803 | 3.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Lithuania split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Nigeria | Sweden | 424 | 3.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Lithuania split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Sweden | 237 | 1.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Lithuania split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-08 to 2023-10. Confidence: medium. |
Source & method
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2023-10 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Lithuania’s supply of road diesel in 2023-10, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2023-10 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-08 to 2023-10.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- United Arab Emirates: no crude data (33,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- United States: no crude data (29,300 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Lithuania: crude not from imports (5,150 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Finland: crude not from imports (3,604 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Latvia: no refinery (3,600 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.