Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In June 2024, Luxembourg's road diesel supply was 91 kt, all of it imported, mainly from Belgium (82%), the Netherlands (10%) and Germany (8%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the United States (18%), Norway (15%) and Kazakhstan (14%), and 13% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Norway → Luxembourg

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Jun 2024)

13.4 thousand tonnes

est. 15% of Luxembourg's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported13 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Last shipped from

  • Belgium10 kt (est. 78%)
  • Germany1.6 kt (est. 12%)
  • Netherlands1.4 kt (est. 10%)

and 1 more in the table above

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Luxembourg's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
BelgiumLuxembourg: road diesel supply74,80981.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsLuxembourg: road diesel supply8,9099.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanyLuxembourg: road diesel supply7,7378.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Other crude originsBelgium14,42519.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium13,26717.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium11,04514.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium10,46114.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Belgium: crude origin not reportedBelgium10,32813.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Saudi ArabiaBelgium5,2637.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium3,7165.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium3,3404.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium2,6823.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands2,06023.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany1,57220.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands1,38815.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany1,34617.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany1,34017.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany1,09214.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands1,07312.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands95110.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands8639.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands7989.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqNetherlands7938.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany6258.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany6147.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands5706.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqGermany4916.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands4144.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium2830.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Saudi ArabiaGermany2683.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany2022.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Luxembourg split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany1872.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsFrance331.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance219.4%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance112.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance110.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFrance17.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance15.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaFrance04.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance03.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance03.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomFrance01.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Luxembourg split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-06 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Luxembourg’s supply of road diesel in 2024-06, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-06 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-04 to 2024-06.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Belgium: crude origin not reported (10,328 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,412 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (470 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Luxembourg: country page