Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In February 2024, Malta's road diesel supply was 15 kt, all of it imported, from Italy (82%) and Spain (18%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Libya (16%), Azerbaijan (13%) and the United States (13%), and 5% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Italy: crude not from imports → Malta

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Feb 2024)

345 tonnes

2% of Malta's road diesel supply

Unknown

Last shipped from

  • Italy0.3 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Malta's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
ItalyMalta: road diesel supply12,20382.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SpainMalta: road diesel supply2,63617.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LibyaItaly2,20918.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsItaly2,14717.6%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly1,87815.4%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly1,46412.0%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesItaly1,38811.4%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
IraqItaly1,1829.7%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSpain1,14343.4%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaItaly8497.0%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSpain47618.1%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Italy: crude origin not reportedItaly4123.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly3452.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NigeriaSpain34012.9%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
BrazilItaly3312.7%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Malta split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
BrazilSpain32212.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSpain1816.9%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanSpain732.8%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
IraqSpain441.7%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSpain411.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
AzerbaijanSpain150.6%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Malta split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-02 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Malta’s supply of road diesel in 2024-02, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-02 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-12 to 2024-02.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Italy: crude origin not reported (412 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Italy: crude not from imports (345 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (41 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Malta: country page