Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In July 2024, Poland's road diesel supply was 1,712 kt: 65% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Germany (11%), Finland (8%) and the Netherlands (5%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (34%), Saudi Arabia (33%) and the United States (7%), and 11% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Poland's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Poland (own refineries)Poland: road diesel supply1,108,86664.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
GermanyPoland: road diesel supply185,51310.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
FinlandPoland: road diesel supply130,7237.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
NetherlandsPoland: road diesel supply91,9805.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SwedenPoland: road diesel supply80,7704.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesPoland: road diesel supply71,8144.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
LithuaniaPoland: road diesel supply42,2442.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi ArabiaPoland (own refineries)529,79147.8%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayPoland (own refineries)377,68134.1%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland105,38180.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Poland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United States: no crude dataUnited States71,814100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Poland: crude not from importsPoland (own refineries)67,8346.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomPoland (own refineries)62,9945.7%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySweden48,20659.7%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Poland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesPoland (own refineries)44,8534.0%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany35,90819.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany30,13216.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany25,31213.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanPoland (own refineries)22,6452.0%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany22,49312.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany21,15711.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands21,01222.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaLithuania18,57244.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany15,4688.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands15,37416.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands14,72616.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany12,7246.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesSweden11,84914.7%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Poland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
IraqGermany11,0896.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFinland10,2277.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomNetherlands10,19411.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands10,17311.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
IraqNetherlands8,6989.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland8,1976.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Poland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NorwayLithuania8,02719.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany7,7374.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedSweden7,3309.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomFinland6,9185.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Poland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands6,8277.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomSweden6,5188.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Poland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania6,30614.9%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesLithuania4,70511.1%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsLithuania4,63411.0%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands4,3134.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSweden4,0165.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Poland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany3,4921.9%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsPoland (own refineries)3,0680.3%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSweden2,8513.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Poland split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands6630.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsHungary34272.9%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Poland split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSlovakia8079.8%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Poland split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanHungary6413.6%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Poland split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsHungary6313.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSlovakia2020.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-07 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Poland’s supply of road diesel in 2024-07, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2024-07 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-05 to 2024-07.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United States: no crude data (71,814 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Poland: crude not from imports (67,834 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (37,108 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (3,576 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Poland: country page