Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In March 2025, Poland's road diesel supply was 1,635 kt: 63% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Germany (13%), the Netherlands (6%) and Finland (6%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Saudi Arabia (36%), Norway (23%) and the United States (8%), and 16% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Poland's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Poland (own refineries)Poland: road diesel supply1,032,25463.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
GermanyPoland: road diesel supply214,71413.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
NetherlandsPoland: road diesel supply103,0946.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
FinlandPoland: road diesel supply98,4366.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
LithuaniaPoland: road diesel supply79,4744.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
United StatesPoland: road diesel supply74,7794.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
DenmarkPoland: road diesel supply15,4500.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SlovakiaPoland: road diesel supply8,3120.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
AustriaPoland: road diesel supply4,0010.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
CzechiaPoland: road diesel supply2,7850.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Saudi ArabiaPoland (own refineries)524,11750.8%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayPoland (own refineries)207,13020.1%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Poland: crude origin not reportedPoland (own refineries)85,4568.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NorwayFinland80,48181.8%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Poland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United States: no crude dataUnited States74,779100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NigeriaPoland (own refineries)67,0326.5%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesPoland (own refineries)64,8906.3%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaLithuania50,43163.5%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Poland: crude not from importsPoland (own refineries)50,0834.9%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NorwayGermany44,11420.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany35,27516.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomPoland (own refineries)33,5453.2%EstimatedEstimate: Poland's road diesel to Poland split by Poland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany24,94211.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany23,53311.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Germany: crude origin not reportedGermany22,55710.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomGermany22,55610.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany22,18910.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands21,31220.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands18,28717.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands17,80517.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayLithuania16,29020.5%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands15,10514.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands10,76210.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomLithuania9,76012.3%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany8,9844.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland8,4298.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Poland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsSlovakia7,86094.6%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Poland split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany6,8473.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands6,5336.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaNetherlands6,2046.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark5,25234.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Poland split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsDenmark5,07432.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomFinland4,0194.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Poland split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
LibyaNetherlands3,7743.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany3,7161.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Poland split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark3,51822.8%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Poland split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFinland3,2743.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsLithuania2,7953.5%EstimatedEstimate: Lithuania's road diesel to Poland split by Lithuania's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFinland2,2332.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
KazakhstanAustria2,19654.9%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Poland split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsCzechia1,98471.2%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Poland split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands1,9391.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Poland split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsNetherlands1,3731.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsHungary1,04277.7%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Poland split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsDenmark8675.6%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Poland split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaAustria77019.2%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Poland split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark7294.7%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Poland split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaSlovakia4525.4%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Poland split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanCzechia43115.5%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Poland split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsCzechia37013.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedAustria3578.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Saudi ArabiaAustria3097.7%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Poland split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsHungary27720.7%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsAustria2245.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsLithuania1970.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsAustria731.8%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Poland split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesAustria721.8%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Poland split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanHungary221.6%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Poland split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.

3 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-03 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Poland’s supply of road diesel in 2025-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2025-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-01 to 2025-03.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Poland: crude origin not reported (85,456 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • United States: no crude data (74,779 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Poland: crude not from imports (50,083 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Germany: crude origin not reported (22,557 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (17,638 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (9,132 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Poland: country page