Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In June 2026, Romania's jet fuel supply was 62 kt: 94% from its own refineries; tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Kazakhstan (38%), Azerbaijan (15%) and Guyana (6%), and 30% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Türkiye: no crude data → Romania

Crude behind this jet fuel, an estimate (Jun 2026)

1.0 thousand tonnes

2% of Romania's jet fuel supply

Unknown

Refined in

  • Türkiye1.0 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Romania's jet fuel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Romania (own refineries)Romania: jet fuel supply58,00093.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
BelgiumRomania: jet fuel supply3,0004.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
TürkiyeRomania: jet fuel supply1,0001.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
KazakhstanRomania (own refineries)23,03839.7%EstimatedEstimate: Romania's jet fuel to Romania split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
Romania: crude not from importsRomania (own refineries)17,50630.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
AzerbaijanRomania (own refineries)8,99915.5%EstimatedEstimate: Romania's jet fuel to Romania split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaRomania (own refineries)3,3195.7%EstimatedEstimate: Romania's jet fuel to Romania split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
CanadaRomania (own refineries)2,4594.2%EstimatedEstimate: Romania's jet fuel to Romania split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaRomania (own refineries)1,9923.4%EstimatedEstimate: Romania's jet fuel to Romania split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium1,31843.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's jet fuel to Romania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
Türkiye: no crude dataTürkiye1,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayBelgium91030.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's jet fuel to Romania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
UkraineRomania (own refineries)6881.2%EstimatedEstimate: Romania's jet fuel to Romania split by Romania's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium40913.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's jet fuel to Romania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaBelgium1615.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's jet fuel to Romania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
CanadaBelgium772.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's jet fuel to Romania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium672.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's jet fuel to Romania split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2026-04 to 2026-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium581.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2026-06 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Romania’s supply of jet fuel in 2026-06, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2026-06 (latest month all EU member states reported). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-04 to 2026-06.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Romania: crude not from imports (17,506 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Türkiye: no crude data (1,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (58 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Romania: country page