Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In January 2025, Sweden's road diesel supply was 797 kt: 67% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (11%) and Denmark (10%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (49%), the United States (11%) and the United Kingdom (6%), and 21% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Qatar → Sweden

Road diesel supplied (Jan 2025)

1.3 thousand tonnes

<1% of Sweden's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Smaller flows: no crude data1.3 kt (100%)

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

View Qatar profile →

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: road diesel supply531,53566.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
FinlandSweden: road diesel supply89,65211.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
DenmarkSweden: road diesel supply77,6949.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: road diesel supply39,6655.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
CanadaSweden: road diesel supply30,3413.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NorwaySweden: road diesel supply26,8603.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
QatarSweden: road diesel supply1,2780.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)283,94953.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland81,02190.4%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
Sweden: crude origin not reportedSweden (own refineries)79,22614.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)49,2719.3%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden (own refineries)45,8968.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)41,8727.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark30,59539.4%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
Canada: no crude dataCanada30,341100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Norway: no crude dataNorway26,860100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark22,89329.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NorwayDenmark20,77826.7%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)15,2312.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands13,06632.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands10,75627.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSweden (own refineries)10,3802.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland6,6537.4%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands6,12515.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkSweden (own refineries)5,7101.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
LibyaDenmark3,4284.4%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands3,2078.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsNetherlands2,3856.0%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands2,2255.6%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFinland1,9782.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: no crude dataQatar1,278100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
LibyaNetherlands9572.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands9452.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-11 to 2025-01. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUnited Kingdom2100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-01 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Sweden’s supply of road diesel in 2025-01, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-01 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-11 to 2025-01.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Sweden: crude origin not reported (79,226 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Canada: no crude data (30,341 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Norway: no crude data (26,860 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Denmark: crude not from imports (22,893 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (4,203 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (2,385 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (1,280 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page