Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In July 2024, Sweden's road diesel supply was 952 kt: 62% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Denmark (11%), Finland (10%) and the Netherlands (7%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (48%), the United States (17%) and the United Kingdom (7%), and 18% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
  • Dashed: estimated from published euro value

Sweden (own refineries) → Sweden

Road diesel supplied (Jul 2024)

594.3 thousand tonnes

62% of Sweden's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Norway355 kt (est. 60%)
  • United States87 kt (est. 15%)
  • Sweden: crude origin not reported54 kt (9%)

and 4 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: road diesel supply594,31562.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
DenmarkSweden: road diesel supply106,64111.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FinlandSweden: road diesel supply97,19010.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: road diesel supply68,9017.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NorwaySweden: road diesel supply53,7105.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanySweden: road diesel supply19,4282.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
QatarSweden: road diesel supply11,5691.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)354,70659.7%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)87,18814.7%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland78,34980.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Sweden: crude origin not reportedSweden (own refineries)53,9379.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Norway: no crude dataNorway53,710100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesDenmark47,99445.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)47,9588.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark41,17238.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
LibyaSweden (own refineries)20,9753.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)20,8953.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands17,48625.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands15,74022.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark12,56711.8%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Qatar: no crude dataQatar11,569100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayNetherlands11,03116.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Côte d’IvoireSweden (own refineries)8,6551.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands7,63611.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands7,62111.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFinland7,6047.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesFinland6,0946.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United KingdomFinland5,1445.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands5,1147.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaDenmark4,8474.5%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany3,93220.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands3,7775.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany3,76119.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany3,15616.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany2,35612.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany2,21611.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany1,6208.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany1,3336.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaGermany6303.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands4960.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany3661.9%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Côte d’IvoireGermany600.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-05 to 2024-07. Confidence: medium.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-07 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Sweden’s supply of road diesel in 2024-07, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2024-07 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-05 to 2024-07.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Sweden: crude origin not reported (53,937 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Norway: no crude data (53,710 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Denmark: crude not from imports (41,172 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (14,110 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Qatar: no crude data (11,569 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (366 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page