Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In February 2024, Sweden's road diesel supply was 740 kt: 81% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (8%) and Denmark (6%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (51%), the United Kingdom (14%) and the United States (13%), and 9% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Smaller flows: no crude data → Sweden

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Feb 2024)

7.3 thousand tonnes

<1% of Sweden's road diesel supply

Unknown

Last shipped from

  • Qatar7.3 kt (100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: road diesel supply598,26580.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
FinlandSweden: road diesel supply60,7218.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
DenmarkSweden: road diesel supply47,0756.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NorwaySweden: road diesel supply15,2592.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: road diesel supply11,0791.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
QatarSweden: road diesel supply7,3151.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)323,14054.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)94,27015.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)73,61112.3%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)69,25711.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland49,19381.0%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Sweden: crude origin not reportedSweden (own refineries)28,0684.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesDenmark24,10551.2%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Norway: no crude dataNorway15,259100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark14,18630.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
LibyaSweden (own refineries)9,9191.7%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland9,29515.3%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataQatar7,315100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayDenmark3,3077.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands3,17928.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark2,7515.8%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaDenmark2,7265.8%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland2,2333.7%EstimatedEstimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands1,91817.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands1,70915.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
BrazilNetherlands9688.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands9648.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands9218.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands7586.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2023-12 to 2024-02. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands6626.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-02 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Sweden’s supply of road diesel in 2024-02, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-02 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-12 to 2024-02.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Sweden: crude origin not reported (28,068 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Norway: no crude data (15,259 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Denmark: crude not from imports (14,186 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (7,315 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (662 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page