Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In March 2025, Sweden's petrol supply was 472 kt: 87% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (7%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (56%), the United States (13%) and Guyana (10%), and 7% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's petrol came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: petrol supply410,82587.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
FinlandSweden: petrol supply33,2507.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
DenmarkSweden: petrol supply19,2564.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanySweden: petrol supply9,0601.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)227,36455.3%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)54,60313.3%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden (own refineries)48,73811.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland27,18581.8%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Sweden: crude not from importsSweden (own refineries)25,7426.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)21,4225.2%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)12,0642.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkSweden (own refineries)7,5641.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSweden (own refineries)7,4111.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark6,54634.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark6,32532.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsSweden (own refineries)5,9181.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark4,38422.8%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland2,8478.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsGermany2,16023.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany1,86120.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany1,48816.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland1,3574.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFinland1,1063.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsDenmark1,0815.6%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany95210.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United KingdomGermany95210.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany93610.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark9094.7%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFinland7542.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaGermany3794.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany2893.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
DenmarkGermany420.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-01 to 2025-03. Confidence: medium.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-03 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Sweden’s supply of petrol in 2025-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2025-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-01 to 2025-03.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Sweden: crude not from imports (25,742 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Denmark: crude not from imports (6,325 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,718 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (1,395 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page