Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In October 2025, Sweden's road diesel supply was 614 kt: 50% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (18%), Denmark (17%) and the Netherlands (8%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (54%), the United States (16%) and the United Kingdom (8%), and 11% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: road diesel supply304,91749.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
FinlandSweden: road diesel supply107,70417.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
DenmarkSweden: road diesel supply106,65417.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: road diesel supply49,1068.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
NorwaySweden: road diesel supply29,9904.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
SpainSweden: road diesel supply9,4011.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
QatarSweden: road diesel supply6,2321.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)205,89967.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland83,05677.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United StatesSweden (own refineries)53,04617.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark34,69532.5%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark30,89329.0%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Norway: no crude dataNorway29,990100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesDenmark28,75227.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)21,4997.1%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark12,31411.5%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden (own refineries)12,2414.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)12,2324.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands11,49923.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands10,74221.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands10,26920.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland8,2347.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
KazakhstanNetherlands6,90914.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkFinland6,5536.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Qatar: no crude dataQatar6,232100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsSpain5,74161.1%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaFinland5,3024.9%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United StatesFinland4,5604.2%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United KingdomNetherlands3,9678.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands2,8725.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands2,8495.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesSpain1,48315.8%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSpain1,00610.7%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSpain4895.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanSpain3874.1%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSpain1241.3%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySpain1171.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Sweden split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSpain540.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-10 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Sweden’s supply of road diesel in 2025-10, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2025-10 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-08 to 2025-10.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Denmark: crude not from imports (30,893 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Norway: no crude data (29,990 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Qatar: no crude data (6,232 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (2,849 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (54 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page