Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In November 2025, Sweden's petrol supply was 306 kt: 75% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (11%) and Denmark (9%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (63%), the United States (22%) and the United Kingdom (7%), and 3% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's petrol came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: petrol supply230,03075.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
FinlandSweden: petrol supply33,35710.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
DenmarkSweden: petrol supply28,8349.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanySweden: petrol supply9,0423.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: petrol supply4,3551.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)155,30567.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)52,85023.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland24,93674.8%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)14,9036.5%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark10,35735.9%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark9,83134.1%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark7,90027.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NetherlandsSweden (own refineries)6,9723.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomFinland4,03712.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsGermany1,86020.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaFinland1,7365.2%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United StatesFinland1,4934.5%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NorwayGermany1,39515.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany1,34414.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany1,30514.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany1,20513.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands1,15426.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFinland1,1543.5%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United StatesNetherlands97222.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany90810.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's petrol to Sweden split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany8769.7%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NorwayNetherlands78218.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark7312.5%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands63814.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands3718.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands2816.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsNetherlands1563.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany1431.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · low
Period 2025-11 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceLowMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Sweden’s supply of petrol in 2025-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2025-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-09 to 2025-11.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Denmark: crude not from imports (7,900 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (1,172 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (299 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page