Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In March 2026, Sweden's petrol supply was 451 kt: 86% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Finland (7%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (51%), the United States (28%) and the United Kingdom (12%), and 2% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)
  • Dashed: estimated from published euro value
The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's petrol came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: petrol supply387,90586.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
FinlandSweden: petrol supply33,2887.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
DenmarkSweden: petrol supply22,2794.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: petrol supply7,6941.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)193,42749.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)119,41330.8%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)52,00413.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland27,65883.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)11,6203.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden (own refineries)11,4402.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's petrol to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark7,31632.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NorwayDenmark6,29328.2%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark5,93126.6%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkFinland3,1949.6%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsNetherlands2,37730.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands1,73522.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands1,70022.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaFinland1,3854.2%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
NetherlandsDenmark1,3476.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland1,0513.2%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's petrol to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsDenmark9424.2%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands7119.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands5757.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaNetherlands5186.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomDenmark4492.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's petrol to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkNetherlands781.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's petrol to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-01 to 2026-03. Confidence: medium.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2026-03 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Sweden’s supply of petrol in 2026-03, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2026-03 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-01 to 2026-03.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Denmark: crude not from imports (7,316 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (575 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page