Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In April 2026, Sweden's road diesel supply was 779 kt: 72% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Denmark (13%) and Finland (12%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (51%), the United States (26%) and the United Kingdom (9%), and 4% cannot be traced.
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Crude origin (estimate)
- Colour = where it went:
- Sweden (own refineries)
- Denmark
- Finland
- Norway
- Netherlands
- Norway396 kt (est. 51%)
- United States202 kt (est. 26%)
- United Kingdom69 kt (est. 9%)
- Guyana20 kt (est. 3%)
- Nigeria17 kt (est. 2%)
- Denmark16 kt (est. 2%)
- Libya11 kt (est. 1%)
- Other crude origins13 kt (est. 2%)
- Denmark: crude not from imports19 kt (2%)
- Norway: no crude data14 kt (2%)
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported0.8 kt (<1%)
Where the fuel was refined
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
- Dashed: estimated from published euro value
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
- Dashed: estimated from published euro value
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden (own refineries) | Sweden: road diesel supply | 562,964 | 72.2% | ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output) |
| Denmark | Sweden: road diesel supply | 97,419 | 12.5% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Finland | Sweden: road diesel supply | 95,186 | 12.2% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Norway | Sweden: road diesel supply | 14,370 | 1.8% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| Netherlands | Sweden: road diesel supply | 9,281 | 1.2% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | Sweden (own refineries) | 301,727 | 53.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Sweden (own refineries) | 154,170 | 27.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Finland | 68,816 | 72.3% | EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis). |
| United Kingdom | Sweden (own refineries) | 62,913 | 11.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Denmark | 38,969 | 40.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Denmark | 23,878 | 24.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Denmark: crude not from imports | Denmark | 19,287 | 19.8% | UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix. |
| Nigeria | Sweden (own refineries) | 16,515 | 2.9% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Guyana | Sweden (own refineries) | 16,260 | 2.9% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Denmark | Finland | 15,964 | 16.8% | EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis). |
| Norway: no crude data | Norway | 14,370 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Libya | Sweden (own refineries) | 11,379 | 2.0% | EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Other crude origins | Denmark | 10,314 | 10.6% | EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Finland | 6,491 | 6.8% | EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis). |
| United Kingdom | Denmark | 4,971 | 5.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Guyana | Finland | 3,915 | 4.1% | EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis). |
| Other crude origins | Netherlands | 2,982 | 32.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Netherlands | 2,019 | 21.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United States | Netherlands | 1,878 | 20.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom | Netherlands | 910 | 9.8% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Smaller flows: crude origin not reported | Netherlands | 792 | 8.5% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Nigeria | Netherlands | 569 | 6.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Netherlands | 98 | 1.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
| Denmark | Netherlands | 33 | 0.4% | EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium. |
Source & method
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2026-04 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Sweden’s supply of road diesel in 2026-04, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method
Month: 2026-04 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-02 to 2026-04.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- Denmark: crude not from imports (19,287 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
- Norway: no crude data (14,370 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (792 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.