Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In April 2026, Sweden's road diesel supply was 779 kt: 72% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Denmark (13%) and Finland (12%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (51%), the United States (26%) and the United Kingdom (9%), and 4% cannot be traced.

The numbers as a table
Reported: where Sweden's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Sweden (own refineries)Sweden: road diesel supply562,96472.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
DenmarkSweden: road diesel supply97,41912.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
FinlandSweden: road diesel supply95,18612.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
NorwaySweden: road diesel supply14,3701.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
NetherlandsSweden: road diesel supply9,2811.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by country of origin, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwaySweden (own refineries)301,72753.6%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSweden (own refineries)154,17027.4%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFinland68,81672.3%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United KingdomSweden (own refineries)62,91311.2%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
United StatesDenmark38,96940.0%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
NorwayDenmark23,87824.5%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
Denmark: crude not from importsDenmark19,28719.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NigeriaSweden (own refineries)16,5152.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaSweden (own refineries)16,2602.9%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkFinland15,96416.8%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Norway: no crude dataNorway14,370100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
LibyaSweden (own refineries)11,3792.0%EstimatedEstimate: Sweden's road diesel to Sweden split by Sweden's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsDenmark10,31410.6%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFinland6,4916.8%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
United KingdomDenmark4,9715.1%EstimatedEstimate: Denmark's road diesel to Sweden split by Denmark's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
GuyanaFinland3,9154.1%EstimatedPartly estimated from published euro value. Estimate: Finland's road diesel to Sweden split by Finland's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Finland did not publish its crude imports for part of that window; those months use crude imports estimated from the euro values it did publish (customs basis).
Other crude originsNetherlands2,98232.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands2,01921.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands1,87820.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands9109.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands7928.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaNetherlands5696.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands981.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
DenmarkNetherlands330.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Sweden split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2026-02 to 2026-04. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2026-04 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the countries whose refineries made it. Right: Sweden’s supply of road diesel in 2026-04, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Dashed crude links rest partly on crude imports estimated from published euro values: a supplier did not publish its crude imports for some months of the window (docs/METHODOLOGY.md section 6.1). Customs basis, INFERRED. Method

Month: 2026-04 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2026-02 to 2026-04.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Denmark: crude not from imports (19,287 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Norway: no crude data (14,370 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (792 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only; fuel re-exported through a supplier is not followed further.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Sweden: country page