Fuel Origin

Avvenimenti / Bidla fit-taxxa

Il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022

Dati
01/06/2022 → 31/08/2022
Preċiżjoni tad-data
jum
Status
Intemm
Ambitu
Il-Ġermanja

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2
Dokumenti tas-sors (3)
PajjiżPajjiżIl-ĠermanjaFranzaIn-NetherlandsIl-PolonjaIl-FinlandjaL-EstonjaL-AwstrijaIl-BelġjuIl-BulgarijaIl-KroazjaĊipruIċ-ĊekjaId-DanimarkaIl-GreċjaL-UngerijaL-IrlandaL-ItaljaIl-LatvjaIl-LitwanjaIl-LussemburguMaltaIl-PortugallIr-RumanijaIs-SlovakkjaIs-SlovenjaSpanjaL-Iżvezja
KarburantKarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

L-Estonja, Diżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 16; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 4.

Qari ppubblikat: 194; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 14; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 52. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90132.895.82022-04-29: 108.4 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-18: 110.0 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-25: 116.4 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-05-27: 121.2 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −32022-05-31: 125.5 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 122.2 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +12022-06-03: 125.7 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-06-08: 129.2 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-15: 125.0 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-07-01: 119.2 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-29: 111.5 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-30: 99.34 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-04-29108.4-13.840-11.33%-2.53
−142022-05-18110.0-12.160-9.95%-2.22
−72022-05-25116.4-5.790-4.74%-1.06
−32022-05-27121.2-1.010-0.83%-0.18
−12022-05-31125.5+3.330+2.73%+0.61
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0122.20.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0122.20.0000.00%0.00
+32022-06-03125.7+3.480+2.85%+0.64
+72022-06-08129.2+7.000+5.73%+1.28
+142022-06-15125.0+2.760+2.26%+0.50
+302022-07-01119.2-2.990-2.45%-0.55
+602022-07-29111.5-10.690-8.75%-1.95
+902022-08-3099.34-22.860-18.71%-4.18

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.48%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 764). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-05-01: 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 0 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +30, +60

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Il-linja tieqaf f’dawn il-punti tat-tieqa, fejn ma ġiet ippubblikata l-ebda ċifra fi żmien perjodu wieħed: +90. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302022-07-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602022-07-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902022-08-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+901.2771.0292022-05-02: 1.053 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-16: 1.110 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-23: 1.136 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-05-30, 1.176 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 1.220 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-13: 1.253 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-06-27: 1.247 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-25: 1.228 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-29: 1.170 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-021.053-0.122-10.41%-0.10
−142022-05-161.110-0.065-5.54%-0.05
−72022-05-231.136-0.039-3.33%-0.03
−32022-05-231.136-0.039-3.33%-0.03
−12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
T02022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
+12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
+32022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-061.220+0.044+3.75%+0.04
+142022-06-131.253+0.078+6.61%+0.07
+302022-06-271.247+0.071+6.04%+0.06
+602022-07-251.228+0.053+4.50%+0.04
+902022-08-291.170-0.005-0.43%-0.00

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 101.60%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0820.9952022-05-02: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-18: 1.052 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-25: 1.066 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-05-27: 1.072 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −32022-05-31: 1.071 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 1.071 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T02022-06-02: 1.069 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +12022-06-03: 1.073 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-06-08: 1.074 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-15: 1.043 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-07-01: 1.043 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-29: 1.020 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-30: 1.003 USD għal kull EUR, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-021.052-0.019-1.76%-4.20
−142022-05-181.052-0.019-1.76%-4.23
−72022-05-251.066-0.006-0.52%-1.25
−32022-05-271.072+0.001+0.09%+0.22
−12022-05-311.071+0.000+0.01%+0.02
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.0710.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-021.069-0.002-0.19%-0.45
+32022-06-031.073+0.002+0.17%+0.40
+72022-06-081.074+0.003+0.25%+0.60
+142022-06-151.043-0.028-2.62%-6.28
+302022-07-011.043-0.029-2.68%-6.42
+602022-07-291.020-0.051-4.80%-11.50
+902022-08-301.003-0.068-6.33%-15.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.120-0.120

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Il-linja tieqaf f’dawn il-punti tat-tieqa, fejn ma ġiet ippubblikata l-ebda ċifra fi żmien perjodu wieħed: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1, T0, +1, +3, +7, +14, +30, +60, +90.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-05-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-05-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-05-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-05-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-06-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-06-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-06-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-06-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-06-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302022-07-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602022-07-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902022-08-01mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+901.0000.0002022-05-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +30, +602022-08-01: 0 % tat-tunnellati importati, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-05-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302022-07-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602022-07-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902022-08-0100.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+9091.3277.682022-05-01: 84.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 90.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 79.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +30, +602022-08-01: 79.00 kopertura (jiem), użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-0184.00-6.000-6.67%-2.24
−142022-05-0184.00-6.000-6.67%-2.24
−72022-05-0184.00-6.000-6.67%-2.24
−32022-05-0184.00-6.000-6.67%-2.24
−12022-05-0184.00-6.000-6.67%-2.24
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T090.000.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T090.000.0000.00%0.00
+32022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T090.000.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T090.000.0000.00%0.00
+142022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T090.000.0000.00%0.00
+302022-07-0179.00-11.000-12.22%-4.11
+602022-07-0179.00-11.000-12.22%-4.11
+902022-08-0179.00-11.000-12.22%-4.11

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.97%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7720.5802022-05-02: 0.6576 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-16: 0.6754 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-23: 0.6922 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-05-30, 0.7275 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 0.7496 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-13: 0.7533 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-06-27: 0.7214 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-25: 0.6761 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-29: 0.5990 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-020.6576-0.070-9.62%-1.20
−142022-05-160.6754-0.052-7.17%-0.90
−72022-05-230.6922-0.035-4.85%-0.61
−32022-05-230.6922-0.035-4.85%-0.61
−12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.72750.0000.00%0.00
T02022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.72750.0000.00%0.00
+12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.72750.0000.00%0.00
+32022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.72750.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-060.7496+0.022+3.04%+0.38
+142022-06-130.7533+0.026+3.54%+0.44
+302022-06-270.7214-0.006-0.84%-0.11
+602022-07-250.6761-0.051-7.07%-0.88
+902022-08-290.5990-0.129-17.67%-2.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.00%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+90376,520350,4802022-05-01: 373,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −30, −14, −7, −3, −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 374,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +1, +3, +7, +142022-07-01: 370,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +30, +602022-08-01: 353,000 t, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-01373,000-1,000-0.27%-0.03
−142022-05-01373,000-1,000-0.27%-0.03
−72022-05-01373,000-1,000-0.27%-0.03
−32022-05-01373,000-1,000-0.27%-0.03
−12022-05-01373,000-1,000-0.27%-0.03
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0374,0000.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0374,0000.0000.00%0.00
+32022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0374,0000.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0374,0000.0000.00%0.00
+142022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0374,0000.0000.00%0.00
+302022-07-01370,000-4,000-1.07%-0.10
+602022-07-01370,000-4,000-1.07%-0.10
+902022-08-01353,000-21,000-5.61%-0.54

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 10.39%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja
T0−30T0+30+60+900.159-0.2352022-05-02: 0.1207 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-16: 0.0551 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-23: -0.0126 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-05-30, 0 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 0.0292 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-13: -0.0011 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-06-27: 0.1040 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-25: -0.1970 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-29: 0.0375 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-020.1207+0.121mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−142022-05-160.0551+0.055mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−72022-05-23-0.0126-0.013mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−32022-05-23-0.0126-0.013mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
−12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
T02022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+32022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T000.000mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+72022-06-060.0292+0.029mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+142022-06-13-0.0011-0.001mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+302022-06-270.1040+0.104mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+602022-07-25-0.1970-0.197mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat
+902022-08-290.0375+0.038mhux ippubblikatmhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+902.1131.6382022-05-02: 1.855 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-16: 1.845 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-23: 1.795 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-05-30, 1.857 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 1.945 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-13: 1.949 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-06-27: 2.067 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-25: 1.684 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-29: 1.896 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-021.855-0.002-0.11%-0.04
−142022-05-161.845-0.012-0.65%-0.23
−72022-05-231.795-0.062-3.34%-1.17
−32022-05-231.795-0.062-3.34%-1.17
−12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8570.0000.00%0.00
T02022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8570.0000.00%0.00
+12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8570.0000.00%0.00
+32022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.8570.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-061.945+0.088+4.74%+1.66
+142022-06-131.949+0.092+4.95%+1.74
+302022-06-272.067+0.210+11.31%+3.97
+602022-07-251.684-0.173-9.32%-3.27
+902022-08-291.896+0.039+2.10%+0.74

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.85%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+901.3890.9932022-05-02: 1.174 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-16: 1.166 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-23: 1.124 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-05-30, 1.176 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 1.249 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-13: 1.252 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-06-27: 1.351 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-25: 1.031 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-29: 1.208 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-021.174-0.002-0.14%-0.03
−142022-05-161.166-0.010-0.85%-0.15
−72022-05-231.124-0.052-4.40%-0.79
−32022-05-231.124-0.052-4.40%-0.79
−12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
T02022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
+12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
+32022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T01.1760.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-061.249+0.073+6.24%+1.12
+142022-06-131.252+0.077+6.52%+1.17
+302022-06-271.351+0.175+14.89%+2.67
+602022-07-251.031-0.144-12.26%-2.20
+902022-08-291.208+0.033+2.76%+0.50

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.57%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
T0−30T0+30+60+900.7240.6452022-05-02: 0.6812 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-16: 0.6795 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-23: 0.6712 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −7, −3l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-05-30, 0.6815 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1, T0, +1, +32022-06-06: 0.6962 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-13: 0.6968 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-06-27: 0.7165 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-25: 0.6527 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-29: 0.6880 € għal kull litru, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-05-020.6812-0.000-0.05%-0.03
−142022-05-160.6795-0.002-0.29%-0.16
−72022-05-230.6712-0.010-1.52%-0.83
−32022-05-230.6712-0.010-1.52%-0.83
−12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.68150.0000.00%0.00
T02022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.68150.0000.00%0.00
+12022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.68150.0000.00%0.00
+32022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T00.68150.0000.00%0.00
+72022-06-060.6962+0.015+2.15%+1.17
+142022-06-130.6968+0.015+2.25%+1.23
+302022-06-270.7165+0.035+5.14%+2.80
+602022-07-250.6527-0.029-4.23%-2.31
+902022-08-290.6880+0.007+0.95%+0.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.83%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9091.3534.482022-04-29: 85.85 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-18: 74.63 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-25: 54.28 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-05-27: 47.73 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −32022-05-31: 42.22 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 55.80 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +12022-06-03: 60.04 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-06-08: 55.39 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-15: 67.36 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-07-01: 49.88 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-29: 39.98 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-30: 60.97 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-04-2985.85+30.052+53.86%+5.76
−142022-05-1874.63+18.838+33.76%+3.61
−72022-05-2554.28-1.518-2.72%-0.29
−32022-05-2747.73-8.062-14.45%-1.55
−12022-05-3142.22-13.578-24.34%-2.60
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T055.800.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T055.800.0000.00%0.00
+32022-06-0360.04+4.248+7.61%+0.81
+72022-06-0855.39-0.406-0.73%-0.08
+142022-06-1567.36+11.562+20.72%+2.22
+302022-07-0149.88-5.914-10.60%-1.13
+602022-07-2939.98-15.812-28.34%-3.03
+902022-08-3060.97+5.178+9.28%+0.99

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 9.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9069.569.002022-04-29: 35.83 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-18: 48.89 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-25: 47.31 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-05-27: 51.09 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −32022-05-31: 47.09 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 57.64 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +12022-06-03: 63.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-06-08: 54.93 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-15: 40.73 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-07-01: 40.89 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-29: 30.91 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-30: 14.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-04-2935.83-21.818-37.85%-0.21
−142022-05-1848.89-8.756-15.19%-0.08
−72022-05-2547.31-10.338-17.93%-0.10
−32022-05-2751.09-6.550-11.36%-0.06
−12022-05-3147.09-10.554-18.31%-0.10
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T057.640.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T057.640.0000.00%0.00
+32022-06-0363.70+6.054+10.50%+0.06
+72022-06-0854.93-2.716-4.71%-0.03
+142022-06-1540.73-16.914-29.34%-0.16
+302022-07-0140.89-16.750-29.06%-0.16
+602022-07-2930.91-26.732-46.37%-0.26
+902022-08-3014.86-42.786-74.22%-0.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 181.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa
T0−30T0+30+60+9087.9225.322022-04-29: 81.86 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −302022-05-18: 35.78 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −142022-05-25: 40.71 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −72022-05-27: 40.59 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −32022-05-31: 34.70 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: −1l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 — 2022-06-01, 42.99 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: T0, +12022-06-03: 46.69 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +32022-06-08: 42.16 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +72022-06-15: 56.44 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +142022-07-01: 39.51 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +302022-07-29: 31.37 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +602022-08-30: 49.63 $ għal kull barmil, użat għall-punti tat-tieqa: +90

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqaValur użatValurΔ ass.Δ %Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−302022-04-2981.86+38.872+90.43%+0.52
−142022-05-1835.78-7.202-16.75%-0.10
−72022-05-2540.71-2.274-5.29%-0.03
−32022-05-2740.59-2.392-5.56%-0.03
−12022-05-3134.70-8.286-19.28%-0.11
T02022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T042.990.0000.00%0.00
+12022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T042.990.0000.00%0.00
+32022-06-0346.69+3.702+8.61%+0.05
+72022-06-0842.16-0.826-1.92%-0.01
+142022-06-1556.44+13.452+31.29%+0.18
+302022-07-0139.51-3.478-8.09%-0.05
+602022-07-2931.37-11.612-27.01%-0.15
+902022-08-3049.63+6.648+15.47%+0.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 175.17%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

Sors
European Commission, Directorate-General for Energy (DG ENER)Mhux magħruf
Perjodu 2022-04-29Aġġornat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCKunfidenzaMhux magħrufaMetodoloġijaNiżżel is-CSV

T0: 01/06/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
DimensjoniStatusĊifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Xejn ippubblikat fit-tieqa
mhux ippubblikat
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.Osservat
0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.Osservat
79.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-12.22% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -4.11 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.Osservat
119.2 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-2.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.55 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.Mhux disponibbliIl-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.Mhux disponibbliM’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.Mhux disponibbliIn-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.Osservat
370,000 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-1.07% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.10 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.Mhux disponibbliIs-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.Osservat
1.351 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+14.89% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +2.67 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.Osservat
2.067 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+11.31% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +3.97 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (25/05/2022 – 01/07/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: l-Estonja, diżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.

2022-06-272022-08-29-20-1001020c/l mill-ġimgħa ta’ referenza
  • Bidla attwali mingħajr taxxi(prezzijiet uffiċjali)
  • X’kien jagħmel iż-żejt mhux maħdum waħdu(ikkalkulat, bil-firxa)
  • Imdellel: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum(mhux attribwit lil ebda kawża)

Il-bidliet jitkejlu minn din il-ġimgħa tal-bullettin: 2022-05-30. Ir-reazzjoni għaż-żejt mhux maħdum hija meħuda mill-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet (tieqa: l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin (2023-09-25 – 2026-09-14)). Il-faxxa ċara hija firxa konservattiva, mhux intervall ta’ 90%. Iż-żona mdella: mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Il-marġnijiet tar-raffinar, in-noli, il-marġnijiet tal-bejgħ bl-imnut u l-iżball tal-mudell huma kollha ġo fiha, u l-ebda wieħed minnhom ma jissemma bħala l-kawża tagħha.

  • Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) b’+7.1 c/l (firxa +2.3–+11.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+17.5 c/l, u jibqa’ +10.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.
  • Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) b’-0.5 c/l (firxa -17.8–+16.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.2 c/l, u jibqa’ +3.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

  1. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+7.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.197
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.2707091232656085
    t0_value
    1.11283
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    7.563599112173476
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.075239772659821
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.08417000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    7.563599112173476
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6446868510424038
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.075239772659821
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.197
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.2707091232656085
    t0_value
    1.11283
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    7.563599112173476
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.075239772659821
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.08417000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    7.563599112173476
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6446868510424038
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.075239772659821

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b573e2ae447869e8120bfa8abdbbb60f2e660b3f9778c1b7f7e19f12ad25d6c3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  2. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+10.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.2261700000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.9458060984375525
    t0_value
    1.11283
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    10.184844046260453
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.794435972831938
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.11334000000000022
    change_pct_from_t0
    10.184844046260453
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6446868510424038
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.794435972831938
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.2261700000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.9458060984375525
    t0_value
    1.11283
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    10.184844046260453
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.794435972831938
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.11334000000000022
    change_pct_from_t0
    10.184844046260453
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6446868510424038
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.794435972831938

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 84db1c8cdca443bef73188b3f32b2f4e19b1e2cf016298a186244cfe108e33e5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  3. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’-8.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.01783
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.1240815935584902
    t0_value
    1.11283
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -8.536793580331224
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.3422570797514872
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09499999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.536793580331224
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6446868510424038
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.3422570797514872
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.01783
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.1240815935584902
    t0_value
    1.11283
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -8.536793580331224
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.3422570797514872
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.09499999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    -8.536793580331224
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    3.6446868510424038
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.3422570797514872

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c4e3ee22cca000b13850fa00a9b0c7e2e3702606ff8d08169e1ea7b024e19295 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  4. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+5.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.112
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.270552460866977
    t0_value
    2.011
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    5.022376926902037
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.6088659114515482
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.10099999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.022376926902037
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9251188437306976
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.6088659114515482
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.112
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.270552460866977
    t0_value
    2.011
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    5.022376926902037
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.6088659114515482
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.10099999999999998
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.022376926902037
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9251188437306976
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.6088659114515482

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 916f1d572c5c947031fde225e44191469666224b706e50d1843824b7681ac9bf · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  5. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+6.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.1470000000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.945557872739645
    t0_value
    2.011
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    6.762804574838395
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.51292835601397
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.13600000000000012
    change_pct_from_t0
    6.762804574838395
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9251188437306976
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.51292835601397
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.1470000000000002
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.945557872739645
    t0_value
    2.011
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    6.762804574838395
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.51292835601397
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.13600000000000012
    change_pct_from_t0
    6.762804574838395
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9251188437306976
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.51292835601397

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e670f45432f05fd4529361456ea3f6a8258d15125f9cd857ce1493901e1f0f42 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  6. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’-5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.897
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.1240906450777446
    t0_value
    2.011
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -5.668821481849831
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.9446605337175926
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1140000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.668821481849831
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9251188437306976
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.9446605337175926
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.897
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.1240906450777446
    t0_value
    2.011
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -5.668821481849831
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -2.9446605337175926
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.1140000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    -5.668821481849831
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.9251188437306976
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -2.9446605337175926

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4c70c4c00c5ec1e46bd9bcecad7607a05d111a1387451f2e592bf455bfa17fbd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  7. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+1.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.915
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.269769150931018
    t0_value
    0.89817
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.873810080497012
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.1570720102842826
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.01683000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.873810080497012
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.5935278240068659
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.1570720102842826
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.915
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.269769150931018
    t0_value
    0.89817
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    1.873810080497012
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.1570720102842826
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.01683000000000001
    change_pct_from_t0
    1.873810080497012
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.5935278240068659
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.1570720102842826

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 351b73f383794485a33a3f36a1f99033e18311b0fab07d773152a52c09d47c8b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  8. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+2.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.92083
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.944316792388566
    t0_value
    0.89817
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.522907690080944
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    4.250698262212825
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.022660000000000013
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.522907690080944
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.5935278240068659
    change_in_volatility_units
    4.250698262212825
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.92083
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    5.944316792388566
    t0_value
    0.89817
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    2.522907690080944
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    4.250698262212825
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.022660000000000013
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.522907690080944
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.5935278240068659
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    4.250698262212825

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ee7caad070fba4d7869ee7bd24abc2a9b8e192b1edf84e0bdbabf005f2206657 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  9. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, l-Estonja) inbidel b’-2.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.87917
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.1241358759011815
    t0_value
    0.89817
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.115412449758956
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.5641335826144607
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.019000000000000017
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.115412449758956
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.5935278240068659
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.5641335826144607
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.87917
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.1241358759011815
    t0_value
    0.89817
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    change_pct
    -2.115412449758956
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -3.5641335826144607
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -0.019000000000000017
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.115412449758956
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    0.5935278240068659
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -3.5641335826144607

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8025116f9fcbd9ac6883e9515c4c1762ae7393414ddba6305615238bcbb8c961 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  10. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+6.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.2488299999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.5401070135053012
    t0_value
    1.1755
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    6.238196512122492
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.1194348368275238
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.0733299999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    6.238196512122492
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    5.57263031924353
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.1194348368275238
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.2488299999999999
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.5401070135053012
    t0_value
    1.1755
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    6.238196512122492
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.1194348368275238
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.0733299999999999
    change_pct_from_t0
    6.238196512122492
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    5.57263031924353
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.1194348368275238

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 49bc1df0c5db6463afd5de16d886c24b62feb153be6b3811d10769ac7c547f70 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  11. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+14.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.3505
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    3.104101706067717
    t0_value
    1.1755
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    14.887282007656319
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.671500019702945
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17500000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    14.887282007656319
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    5.57263031924353
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.671500019702945
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.3505
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    3.104101706067717
    t0_value
    1.1755
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    14.887282007656319
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.671500019702945
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.17500000000000004
    change_pct_from_t0
    14.887282007656319
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    5.57263031924353
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.671500019702945

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità bed972f421c7ee688e772e610376c7b9636ad57e9be790be595b35aa5759013a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  12. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+2.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.208
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    0.9120170823818308
    t0_value
    1.1755
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.764780944279028
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.4961357179448322
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.03249999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.764780944279028
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    5.57263031924353
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.4961357179448322
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.208
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    0.9120170823818308
    t0_value
    1.1755
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.764780944279028
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_PRETAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    pre-tax
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.4961357179448322
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.03249999999999997
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.764780944279028
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    5.57263031924353
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.4961357179448322

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a4d2305b69a5163a875a8fe11fecfd659fec74ba1d323057c50134f03e81322b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  13. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+4.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.945
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.5401483914651592
    t0_value
    1.857
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    4.738826063543354
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.662873291991147
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.08800000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    4.738826063543354
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8497818122203524
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.662873291991147
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.945
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.5401483914651592
    t0_value
    1.857
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    4.738826063543354
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.662873291991147
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.08800000000000008
    change_pct_from_t0
    4.738826063543354
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8497818122203524
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.662873291991147

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità dee4787dfc7d60af361e73c058042fbddbf95bc0432797db52e8b937e52d66a2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  14. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+11.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.0 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.067
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    3.104104070788878
    t0_value
    1.857
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    11.308562197092094
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.968220355887964
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2100000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    11.308562197092094
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8497818122203524
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.968220355887964
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    2.067
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    3.104104070788878
    t0_value
    1.857
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    11.308562197092094
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    3.968220355887964
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.2100000000000002
    change_pct_from_t0
    11.308562197092094
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8497818122203524
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    3.968220355887964

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità acfc6d29fbba9754e2334e0e36330b8cdaf1cd94152d85dec628b853fe744cd3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  15. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+2.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.8960000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    0.91200225796629
    t0_value
    1.857
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.100161550888538
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.736955208950624
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.039000000000000146
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.100161550888538
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8497818122203524
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.736955208950624
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    1.8960000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    0.91200225796629
    t0_value
    1.857
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.100161550888538
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    RETAIL_INCLTAX_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-inclusive
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.736955208950624
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.039000000000000146
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.100161550888538
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    2.8497818122203524
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.736955208950624

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8a083f480466e6db68234c3b5ef5b6895da22076d425240d9267bda610f66c67 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  16. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+2.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.6961700000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.5403552750604352
    t0_value
    0.6815
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.1526045487894456
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.1748761696449839
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.014670000000000072
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.1526045487894456
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.832196962033799
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.1748761696449839
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.6961700000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    1.5403552750604352
    t0_value
    0.6815
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    2.1526045487894456
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-06
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.1748761696449839
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.014670000000000072
    change_pct_from_t0
    2.1526045487894456
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    2
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.832196962033799
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.1748761696449839

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b1480159c7be49fbd587d5061bf1b5286ab0dd1e6b99f558450cf4d495863de6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  17. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+5.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.7165
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    3.104115862832227
    t0_value
    0.6815
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    5.135730007336762
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.8030447128544154
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.03500000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.135730007336762
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.832196962033799
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.8030447128544154
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.7165
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    3.104115862832227
    t0_value
    0.6815
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    5.135730007336762
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    2.8030447128544154
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.03500000000000003
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.135730007336762
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    4
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.832196962033799
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    2.8030447128544154

    Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a9af2fc907d4243c9f99e287fb9a14d5494a3ceda76c9bcae035ace5d845edf6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  18. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, l-Estonja) inbidel b’+1.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.6880000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    0.9119281229652271
    t0_value
    0.6815
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.9537784299339782
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.5205654466729672
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.006500000000000061
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.9537784299339782
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.832196962033799
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.5205654466729672
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    unit
    EUR/L
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    0.6880000000000001
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    z_score
    0.9119281229652271
    t0_value
    0.6815
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    change_pct
    0.9537784299339782
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    TAX_COMPONENT_EE_DIESEL
    series_kind
    tax-component
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    week-to-week
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    0.5205654466729672
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    0.006500000000000061
    change_pct_from_t0
    0.9537784299339782
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    1
    normal_volatility_pct
    1.832196962033799
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    0.5205654466729672

    Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4764187046083ad13d554ce9cf2c64ecb256d5472af7ed81718208414e80dd2e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  19. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Estonja) b’+2.8 c/l (firxa +0.0–+5.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+11.3 c/l, u jibqa’ +8.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    1
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.08579331056265757
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.11334000000000022
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.027546689437342654
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.0631714707771465
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -5.850000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.00013232795243522943
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0549610509222496
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    1
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.08579331056265757
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.11334000000000022
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.027546689437342654
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.0631714707771465
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -5.850000000000001
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.00013232795243522943
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.0549610509222496
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a7dbe95ab81a3493fd0b6c6214dfe48689214a5ea785762d43b8acaa172402e8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  20. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Estonja) b’+3.4 c/l (firxa -5.4–+12.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-9.5 c/l, u jibqa’ -12.9 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    1
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.12857792377891614
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.09499999999999997
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.03357792377891616
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.3403268500876152
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -31.516000000000002
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.05449414015775921
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.12164998771559253
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    petrol
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    EURO_SUPER_95
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_EURO_SUPER_95
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    GASOLINE
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    1
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    -0.12857792377891614
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    -0.09499999999999997
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.03357792377891616
    proxy_volatility_units
    -0.3403268500876152
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    -31.516000000000002
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.05449414015775921
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.12164998771559253
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    181.24455741814873

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d118b0bae54a776e63b217a3cf751a0e732dc6dc4e5e43f61769e5a33fa26e13 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  21. Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) b’+7.1 c/l (firxa +2.3–+11.9); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+17.5 c/l, u jibqa’ +10.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.10396607426909925
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.17500000000000004
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.0710339257309008
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.587160761067042
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    11.537999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.023375332808888826
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.11869251865291294
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    4
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    4
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-06-27
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-27
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.10396607426909925
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.17500000000000004
    expected_eur_per_litre
    0.0710339257309008
    proxy_volatility_units
    2.587160761067042
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    11.537999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    0.023375332808888826
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.11869251865291294
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 44da22ef8c11d90c2b6c7fa6451e30e2809adeda3438bb48b76b0726f4bef180 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  22. Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Estonja) b’-0.5 c/l (firxa -17.8–+16.8); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.2 c/l, u jibqa’ +3.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatMedja
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.03752718618639953
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.03249999999999997
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.0050271861863995584
    proxy_volatility_units
    4.337945231721529
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    19.345999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.17821134077901973
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.16815696840621983
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136
    Limiti
    source
    docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
    proxy_rule
    the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
    confidence_cap
    MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
    statement_weeks
    [4,13]
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    fuel
    diesel
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    weeks
    13
    status
    COMPUTED
    country
    Estonia
    fuel_type
    DIESEL
    gap_label
    NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    series_code
    CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_EE_DIESEL
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    offset_weeks
    13
    proxy_product
    DIESEL
    proxy_to_date
    2022-08-26
    pass_through_k
    2
    proxy_from_date
    2022-05-27
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-08-29
    gap_eur_per_litre
    0.03752718618639953
    series_source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
    anchor_period_start
    2022-05-30
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    actual_eur_per_litre
    0.03249999999999997
    expected_eur_per_litre
    -0.0050271861863995584
    proxy_volatility_units
    4.337945231721529
    pass_through_sample_end
    2026-09-14
    proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
    19.345999999999997
    pass_through_sample_start
    2023-09-25
    pass_through_window_label
    ROLLING_156W
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    expected_low_eur_per_litre
    -0.17821134077901973
    expected_high_eur_per_litre
    0.16815696840621983
    proxy_normal_volatility_pct
    9.342848145796136

    Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2bcd1069ad38cf3453bbcfb779ce6333a49a3c77a2c232778bb11843d1775a8e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  23. L-Estonja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) hija MHUX MAGĦRUFA: is-sors jirrapporta żero importazzjonijiet għal dan il-perjodu: m’hemm l-ebda volum li minnu jittieħed sehem – dan huwa żero rrappurtat, mhux data nieqsa.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Estonia
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    value_max_pct
    null
    value_min_pct
    null
    exposure_status
    UNKNOWN
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    NO_OBSERVATION
    country
    Estonia
    commodity
    crude
    dimension
    DIRECT_CRUDE
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    value_max_pct
    null
    value_min_pct
    null
    exposure_status
    UNKNOWN
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    null
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità dd7a00ce07665667f3e395f426754c67d839f049c91c1764356ac5292bad9916 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  24. L-Estonja, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatBaxxa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
    band_applied_to
    upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
    dependence_limited_max_pct
    10
    dependence_moderate_max_pct
    33
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    band
    limited
    unit
    % of imported tonnes
    period
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    commodity
    refined product
    dimension
    DIRECT_PRODUCT
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    value_max_pct
    0
    value_min_pct
    0
    exposure_status
    COMPUTED
    statement_topic
    hormuz
    value_point_pct
    0
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6c4d828db1c0a394431b331dc9a9c5975b1404acc3479d5799aad855c93b8517 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  25. Jekk il-provvista taż-żejt mhux maħdum (l-Estonja, Ġunju 2022) naqset fiżikament huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum fix-xhur ta’ qabel (12) ugwali għal żero; ma tistax tiġi kkalkulata bidla perċentwali.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    country
    Estonia
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    value_tonnes
    0
    missing_reason
    zero_baseline
    baseline_months
    12
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    0
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    baseline_not_published_months
    0
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
    min_baseline_months
    6
    baseline_months_used
    12
    supply_reduction_pct
    -10
    supply_baseline_months
    12
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    country
    Estonia
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    value_tonnes
    0
    missing_reason
    zero_baseline
    baseline_months
    12
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
    crude_imports_rule
    crude_imports_total-1.1
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    baseline_mean_tonnes
    0
    baseline_window_months
    12
    value_not_published_code
    null
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    baseline_not_published_months
    0

    Mudell event.supply.unknown v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f9af1014ff289c37b0a7ecc9f4ed68705dab6b8f037fa836a9f7c4bc2dc587e5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  26. Ġunju 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (l-Estonja) kienu 14.4% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 90.0 (kif ippubblikati).

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_EE
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    days_of_cover
    90
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    0.2680965147453083
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    374000
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    observation_gap_days
    0
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    436666.6666666667
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -14.351145038167939
    trailing_12m_observations
    12
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
    band_applied_to
    the rounded figure printed in the sentence
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    trailing_window_months
    12
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
    -14.351145038167939
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
    -14.4
    inventory_material_deviation_pct
    5
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    tonnes
    month
    2022-06
    status
    OBSERVED
    country
    Estonia
    direction
    below
    siec_code
    O4000
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    holder_type
    STK_CL
    series_code
    INVENTORY_EE
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    days_of_cover
    90
    metric_status
    COMPUTED
    mom_change_pct
    0.2680965147453083
    statement_topic
    event
    observation_date
    2022-06-01
    series_source_ids
    ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
    total_stock_tonnes
    374000
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    days_of_cover_basis
    as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
    436666.6666666667
    level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
    -14.351145038167939
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    trailing_12m_observations
    12

    Mudell event.inventory_level.below v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c27a75ebafbefa9d61198e8088ccd28b90233ef881d2179fdeda8f85bf2f1db9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  27. Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn

    Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (l-Estonja) madwar l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

    pajjiż: l-EstonjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    country
    Estonia
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    dependence_band
    null
    dependence_range
    null
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
    channels_total
    8
    channels_available
    4
    verdict_partial_min_channels
    3
    verdict_assessable_min_channels
    8
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    country
    Estonia
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    country_iso2
    EE
    country_name
    Estonia
    country_slug
    estonia
    dependence_band
    null
    statement_topic
    event
    dependence_range
    null
    channels_available
    ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
    supply_template_id
    event.supply.unknown
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    channels_unavailable
    ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a0c7d7acc04b32405283a119994056a583c14e569b95d035c4d4c06cee1629f8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  28. Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    129.2
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    2.0172282715868546
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    5.7283142389525255
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-06-08
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.999999999999986
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.7283142389525255
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    129.2
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    2.0172282715868546
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    5.7283142389525255
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    7
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-06-08
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    6.999999999999986
    change_pct_from_t0
    5.7283142389525255
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    1.2799598046880034

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  29. Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    119.21
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.8887326572425913
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -2.4468085106383053
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-07-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -2.990000000000009
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.4468085106383053
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    119.21
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    0.8887326572425913
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -2.4468085106383053
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    30
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-07-01
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -2.990000000000009
    change_pct_from_t0
    -2.4468085106383053
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -0.5467256880024499

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  30. Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    99.34
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.355832693810513
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -18.707037643207855
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-08-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -22.86
    change_pct_from_t0
    -18.707037643207855
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688
    Limiti
    source
    v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
    volatility_definition
    sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
    unusual_move_volatility_units
    2
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    unit
    $/BBL
    event
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    value
    99.34
    status
    OBSERVED
    z_score
    -1.355832693810513
    t0_value
    122.2
    benchmark
    Brent crude
    change_pct
    -18.707037643207855
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    offset_days
    90
    series_code
    BRENT
    statement_topic
    event
    variation_label
    day-to-day
    observation_date
    2022-08-30
    same_observation
    false
    volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688
    series_source_ids
    ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
    change_abs_from_t0
    -22.86
    change_pct_from_t0
    -18.707037643207855
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    observation_gap_days
    0
    normal_volatility_pct
    4.4753860378832995
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0
    change_in_volatility_units
    -4.179983019309688

    Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  31. Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["freight rates"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  32. Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refined-product benchmark"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  33. Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["wholesale prices"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

  34. Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

    dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
    Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
    Varjabbli
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    Limiti
    source
    CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
    any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
    true
    Inputs
    t0
    2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
    channels
    ["refining margin"]
    event_name
    Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
    event_slug
    de-tankrabatt-2022
    event_type
    TAX_CHANGE
    source_ids
    ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
    reason_code
    NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
    statement_topic
    event
    calculation_version
    event_statements-1.0
    methodology_version
    1.0
    study_calculation_version
    event_study-1.0

    Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

  • Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
  • Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
  • Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
  • Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

L-Estonja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

  • UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
  • IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
  • IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
  • Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
  • Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.