Avvenimenti / Bidla fit-taxxa

Il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022

Dati: 01/06/2022 → 31/08/2022
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Intemm
Ambitu: Il-Ġermanja

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2

Dokumenti tas-sors (3)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

L-Ungerija, Petrol (Euro-super 95). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 15; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 4.

Qari ppubblikat: 182; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 13; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 52. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	108.4	-13.840	-11.33%	-2.53
−14	2022-05-18	110.0	-12.160	-9.95%	-2.22
−7	2022-05-25	116.4	-5.790	-4.74%	-1.06
−3	2022-05-27	121.2	-1.010	-0.83%	-0.18
−1	2022-05-31	125.5	+3.330	+2.73%	+0.61
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	125.7	+3.480	+2.85%	+0.64
+7	2022-06-08	129.2	+7.000	+5.73%	+1.28
+14	2022-06-15	125.0	+2.760	+2.26%	+0.50
+30	2022-07-01	119.2	-2.990	-2.45%	-0.55
+60	2022-07-29	111.5	-10.690	-8.75%	-1.95
+90	2022-08-30	99.34	-22.860	-18.71%	-4.18

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.48%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 764). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	565,000	+66,000	+13.23%	+0.51
−14	2022-05-01	565,000	+66,000	+13.23%	+0.51
−7	2022-05-01	565,000	+66,000	+13.23%	+0.51
−3	2022-05-01	565,000	+66,000	+13.23%	+0.51
−1	2022-05-01	565,000	+66,000	+13.23%	+0.51
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	499,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	499,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	499,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	499,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	499,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	620,000	+121,000	+24.25%	+0.93
+60	2022-07-01	620,000	+121,000	+24.25%	+0.93
+90	2022-08-01	355,000	-144,000	-28.86%	-1.10

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 26.15%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.7022	-0.033	-4.45%	-4.63
−14	2022-05-16	0.7160	-0.019	-2.57%	-2.68
−7	2022-05-23	0.7267	-0.008	-1.12%	-1.16
−3	2022-05-23	0.7267	-0.008	-1.12%	-1.16
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7473	+0.012	+1.68%	+1.76
+14	2022-06-13	0.7541	+0.019	+2.61%	+2.72
+30	2022-06-27	0.7526	+0.018	+2.41%	+2.51
+60	2022-07-25	0.7624	+0.027	+3.74%	+3.89
+90	2022-08-29	0.7661	+0.031	+4.24%	+4.42

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.96%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.20
−14	2022-05-18	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.23
−7	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.006	-0.52%	-1.25
−3	2022-05-27	1.072	+0.001	+0.09%	+0.22
−1	2022-05-31	1.071	+0.000	+0.01%	+0.02
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.071	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-02	1.069	-0.002	-0.19%	-0.45
+3	2022-06-03	1.073	+0.002	+0.17%	+0.40
+7	2022-06-08	1.074	+0.003	+0.25%	+0.60
+14	2022-06-15	1.043	-0.028	-2.62%	-6.28
+30	2022-07-01	1.043	-0.029	-2.68%	-6.42
+60	2022-07-29	1.020	-0.051	-4.80%	-11.50
+90	2022-08-30	1.003	-0.068	-6.33%	-15.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatGħolja

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	0–8.889	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	0–8.889	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	0–8.889	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	0–8.889	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	0–8.889	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01	0–4.762	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01	0–4.762	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01	0–4.762	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01	0–4.762	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01	0–4.762	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	0–7.895	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	0–7.895	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	0–1.310	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	92.00	+2.000	+2.22%	+0.90
−14	2022-05-01	92.00	+2.000	+2.22%	+0.90
−7	2022-05-01	92.00	+2.000	+2.22%	+0.90
−3	2022-05-01	92.00	+2.000	+2.22%	+0.90
−1	2022-05-01	92.00	+2.000	+2.22%	+0.90
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	90.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	90.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	90.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	90.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	90.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	84.00	-6.000	-6.67%	-2.69
+60	2022-07-01	84.00	-6.000	-6.67%	-2.69
+90	2022-08-01	73.00	-17.000	-18.89%	-7.64

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.47%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6576	-0.070	-9.62%	-1.20
−14	2022-05-16	0.6754	-0.052	-7.17%	-0.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−3	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7496	+0.022	+3.04%	+0.38
+14	2022-06-13	0.7533	+0.026	+3.54%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.7214	-0.006	-0.84%	-0.11
+60	2022-07-25	0.6761	-0.051	-7.07%	-0.88
+90	2022-08-29	0.5990	-0.129	-17.67%	-2.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.00%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	3,331,000	+14,000	+0.42%	+0.18
−14	2022-05-01	3,331,000	+14,000	+0.42%	+0.18
−7	2022-05-01	3,331,000	+14,000	+0.42%	+0.18
−3	2022-05-01	3,331,000	+14,000	+0.42%	+0.18
−1	2022-05-01	3,331,000	+14,000	+0.42%	+0.18
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	3,317,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	3,317,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	3,317,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	3,317,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	3,317,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	3,385,000	+68,000	+2.05%	+0.86
+60	2022-07-01	3,385,000	+68,000	+2.05%	+0.86
+90	2022-08-01	3,250,000	-67,000	-2.02%	-0.85

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.38%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.0450	+0.045	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-16	0.0171	+0.017	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-23	0.0145	+0.014	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-23	0.0145	+0.014	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-06	0.0026	+0.003	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-13	-0.0234	-0.023	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-06-27	-0.0304	-0.030	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-25	-0.0213	-0.021	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-29	0.0010	+0.001	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.268	+0.027	+2.16%	+0.94
−14	2022-05-16	1.244	+0.003	+0.22%	+0.10
−7	2022-05-23	1.257	+0.016	+1.32%	+0.58
−3	2022-05-23	1.257	+0.016	+1.32%	+0.58
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.241	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.263	+0.022	+1.79%	+0.78
+14	2022-06-13	1.230	-0.011	-0.87%	-0.38
+30	2022-06-27	1.217	-0.024	-1.94%	-0.84
+60	2022-07-25	1.245	+0.004	+0.36%	+0.16
+90	2022-08-29	1.284	+0.043	+3.49%	+1.52

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.29%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.7473	+0.012	+1.68%	+0.46
−14	2022-05-16	0.7331	-0.002	-0.25%	-0.07
−7	2022-05-23	0.7412	+0.006	+0.85%	+0.23
−3	2022-05-23	0.7412	+0.006	+0.85%	+0.23
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7349	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7498	+0.015	+2.03%	+0.56
+14	2022-06-13	0.7307	-0.004	-0.57%	-0.16
+30	2022-06-27	0.7223	-0.013	-1.72%	-0.47
+60	2022-07-25	0.7411	+0.006	+0.84%	+0.23
+90	2022-08-29	0.7671	+0.032	+4.38%	+1.20

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.66%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.5205	+0.014	+2.86%	+1.77
−14	2022-05-16	0.5106	+0.005	+0.90%	+0.56
−7	2022-05-23	0.5162	+0.010	+2.01%	+1.25
−3	2022-05-23	0.5162	+0.010	+2.01%	+1.25
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5061	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5061	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5061	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5061	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.5134	+0.007	+1.44%	+0.90
+14	2022-06-13	0.4994	-0.007	-1.31%	-0.81
+30	2022-06-27	0.4947	-0.011	-2.25%	-1.39
+60	2022-07-25	0.5044	-0.002	-0.33%	-0.21
+90	2022-08-29	0.5171	+0.011	+2.19%	+1.36

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.61%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	35.83	-21.818	-37.85%	-0.21
−14	2022-05-18	48.89	-8.756	-15.19%	-0.08
−7	2022-05-25	47.31	-10.338	-17.93%	-0.10
−3	2022-05-27	51.09	-6.550	-11.36%	-0.06
−1	2022-05-31	47.09	-10.554	-18.31%	-0.10
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	63.70	+6.054	+10.50%	+0.06
+7	2022-06-08	54.93	-2.716	-4.71%	-0.03
+14	2022-06-15	40.73	-16.914	-29.34%	-0.16
+30	2022-07-01	40.89	-16.750	-29.06%	-0.16
+60	2022-07-29	30.91	-26.732	-46.37%	-0.26
+90	2022-08-30	14.86	-42.786	-74.22%	-0.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 181.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	81.86	+38.872	+90.43%	+0.52
−14	2022-05-18	35.78	-7.202	-16.75%	-0.10
−7	2022-05-25	40.71	-2.274	-5.29%	-0.03
−3	2022-05-27	40.59	-2.392	-5.56%	-0.03
−1	2022-05-31	34.70	-8.286	-19.28%	-0.11
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	46.69	+3.702	+8.61%	+0.05
+7	2022-06-08	42.16	-0.826	-1.92%	-0.01
+14	2022-06-15	56.44	+13.452	+31.29%	+0.18
+30	2022-07-01	39.51	-3.478	-8.09%	-0.05
+60	2022-07-29	31.37	-11.612	-27.01%	-0.15
+90	2022-08-30	49.63	+6.648	+15.47%	+0.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 175.17%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 01/06/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Firxa biss	0–7.895 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-07) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	84.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-6.67% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -2.69 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	119.2 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-2.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.55 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	3,385,000 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)+2.05% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.86 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	0.7223 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)-1.72% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.47 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.217 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)-1.94% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.84 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (25/05/2022 – 01/07/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: l-Ungerija, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/de-tankrabatt-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'de-tankrabatt-2022' and country 'hungary'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+2.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.7498400000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.1815459020775959
t0_value
0.73491
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.031541277163205
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5551318569304667
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.01493000000000011
change_pct_from_t0
2.031541277163205
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.659565293903979
change_in_volatility_units
0.5551318569304667
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.7498400000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.1815459020775959
t0_value
0.73491
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.031541277163205
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5551318569304667
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.01493000000000011
change_pct_from_t0
2.031541277163205
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.659565293903979
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.5551318569304667
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 19245e252c7ff1b677384cc42136afd15924b641309592b4092965ae8e9c586e · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’-1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.72226
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.6379362549273231
t0_value
0.73491
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.7212992067055748
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.47035619492098585
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.012649999999999939
change_pct_from_t0
-1.7212992067055748
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.659565293903979
change_in_volatility_units
-0.47035619492098585
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.72226
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.6379362549273231
t0_value
0.73491
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.7212992067055748
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.47035619492098585
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.012649999999999939
change_pct_from_t0
-1.7212992067055748
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.659565293903979
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.47035619492098585
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d0103486d37e355cb6aa1d7d8bf1653072be1361d65ebac57fd21eff3de2f492 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+4.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.7671
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.6943907907615999
t0_value
0.73491
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
4.380128178960696
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1968984912653462
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03219000000000005
change_pct_from_t0
4.380128178960696
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.659565293903979
change_in_volatility_units
1.1968984912653462
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.7671
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.6943907907615999
t0_value
0.73491
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
4.380128178960696
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1968984912653462
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03219000000000005
change_pct_from_t0
4.380128178960696
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.659565293903979
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.1968984912653462
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c1bdf50d72c4ab5c09f1942f55ce371696efd45abfdbc881f0bcc6bcec85ae3c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+1.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.2632100000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.42861142580865336
t0_value
1.2409700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.792146466070899
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7818977040395326
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.022240000000000038
change_pct_from_t0
1.792146466070899
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.2920472292118257
change_in_volatility_units
0.7818977040395326
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.2632100000000002
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.42861142580865336
t0_value
1.2409700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.792146466070899
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7818977040395326
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.022240000000000038
change_pct_from_t0
1.792146466070899
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.2920472292118257
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.7818977040395326
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 7af7f19abdd577355cb29f8f60537ee19b3987e86e7e15a922d264c0ca960f01 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’-1.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.2169400000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-2.24733217394394
t0_value
1.2409700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.9363884703095153
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.8448292188880366
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.024029999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
-1.9363884703095153
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.2920472292118257
change_in_volatility_units
-0.8448292188880366
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.2169400000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-2.24733217394394
t0_value
1.2409700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-1.9363884703095153
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.8448292188880366
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.024029999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
-1.9363884703095153
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.2920472292118257
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.8448292188880366
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità dc53bd6fccb5d3f63ba8693f4124a81d4daa790b5e39435e605a96928fe1d3c5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+3.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.28424
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.3980083566267224
t0_value
1.2409700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.4867885605614894
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.5212551103323049
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04326999999999992
change_pct_from_t0
3.4867885605614894
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.2920472292118257
change_in_volatility_units
1.5212551103323049
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.28424
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.3980083566267224
t0_value
1.2409700000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
3.4867885605614894
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.5212551103323049
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.04326999999999992
change_pct_from_t0
3.4867885605614894
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.2920472292118257
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.5212551103323049
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ef52ad1a984ccdb11b3c0cd82b37d0160c76d1d482d693a99ff090168617e619 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+1.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.5133700000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-1.672058785070705
t0_value
0.5060600000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.4444927478955139
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.8957423126103714
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.007310000000000039
change_pct_from_t0
1.4444927478955139
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.6126208704889406
change_in_volatility_units
0.8957423126103714
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.5133700000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-1.672058785070705
t0_value
0.5060600000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.4444927478955139
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.8957423126103714
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.007310000000000039
change_pct_from_t0
1.4444927478955139
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.6126208704889406
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.8957423126103714
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 27a1a5800ad38512521a8042e396ff2649a1400c1d2af91a107a71037a340f7c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’-2.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.4946800000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-3.5087964076634925
t0_value
0.5060600000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-2.2487452080780823
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.394466144665653
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.011379999999999946
change_pct_from_t0
-2.2487452080780823
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.6126208704889406
change_in_volatility_units
-1.394466144665653
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.4946800000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-3.5087964076634925
t0_value
0.5060600000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
-2.2487452080780823
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-1.394466144665653
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
-0.011379999999999946
change_pct_from_t0
-2.2487452080780823
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.6126208704889406
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-1.394466144665653
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità c45559a627dbbf7547d2e0cd545eae9929996c11063fe4fe5ae93ca81af6f071 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+2.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.51714
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-1.3015664984374944
t0_value
0.5060600000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.1894636999565225
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.357705174243891
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.011079999999999979
change_pct_from_t0
2.1894636999565225
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.6126208704889406
change_in_volatility_units
1.357705174243891
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.51714
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-1.3015664984374944
t0_value
0.5060600000000001
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.1894636999565225
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.357705174243891
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.011079999999999979
change_pct_from_t0
2.1894636999565225
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.6126208704889406
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.357705174243891
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ca99f34846731fd7a9237b4471f9e28498602a599b2ae6f7e080eac92ea9627d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+0.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.89358
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.7725632963742767
t0_value
0.8885900000000001
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5615638258364306
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.17955173025295
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.004989999999999939
change_pct_from_t0
0.5615638258364306
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.1275879382800005
change_in_volatility_units
0.17955173025295
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.89358
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.7725632963742767
t0_value
0.8885900000000001
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5615638258364306
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.17955173025295
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.004989999999999939
change_pct_from_t0
0.5615638258364306
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
3.1275879382800005
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.17955173025295
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4970877b5648d97a32e715ed35cf5f6c46e4544f9846033169a7dfe4f72e5d3c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+5.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.94059
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
1.4491858815761058
t0_value
0.8885900000000001
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.851967724147237
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.8710801549405816
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.051999999999999935
change_pct_from_t0
5.851967724147237
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.1275879382800005
change_in_volatility_units
1.8710801549405816
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.94059
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
1.4491858815761058
t0_value
0.8885900000000001
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.851967724147237
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.8710801549405816
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.051999999999999935
change_pct_from_t0
5.851967724147237
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
3.1275879382800005
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.8710801549405816
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d37c4ffe3befe694a011bee93aa6953580b888cbfef75af136a3997c0f684bdb · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+16.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.03448
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
2.8005599408103063
t0_value
0.8885900000000001
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
16.418145601458484
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.249459303928494
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.14588999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
16.418145601458484
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.1275879382800005
change_in_volatility_units
5.249459303928494
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.03448
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
2.8005599408103063
t0_value
0.8885900000000001
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
16.418145601458484
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.249459303928494
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.14588999999999996
change_pct_from_t0
16.418145601458484
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
3.1275879382800005
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
5.249459303928494
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1f043038a0176136114dbb1c8da15d0fc04b64637be5354f60f9def727c4e11c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+0.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.4141700000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.7100296459334039
t0_value
1.4049
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.6598334401025063
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.3001867743235743
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.009270000000000111
change_pct_from_t0
0.6598334401025063
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.1980763196158177
change_in_volatility_units
0.3001867743235743
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.4141700000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
0.7100296459334039
t0_value
1.4049
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.6598334401025063
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.3001867743235743
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.009270000000000111
change_pct_from_t0
0.6598334401025063
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.1980763196158177
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.3001867743235743
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e2062d3d8c31b0dc2877dea9b6cc593ecf80c05df01cfdc0b32d8cb7aefe5ab2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+4.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.46377
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
1.4080766871274122
t0_value
1.4049
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.190333831589435
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.906364121297584
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05886999999999998
change_pct_from_t0
4.190333831589435
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.1980763196158177
change_in_volatility_units
1.906364121297584
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.46377
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
1.4080766871274122
t0_value
1.4049
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.190333831589435
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.906364121297584
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.05886999999999998
change_pct_from_t0
4.190333831589435
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.1980763196158177
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.906364121297584
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 48f5ad74dc30a55244f13cc46649c5ff5eed4a367ed7b488b88dc4041fd1543c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+15.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.62447
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
3.669692806479781
t0_value
1.4049
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
15.628870382233613
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.110249195062183
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.21957000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
15.628870382233613
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.1980763196158177
change_in_volatility_units
7.110249195062183
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.62447
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
3.669692806479781
t0_value
1.4049
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
15.628870382233613
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.110249195062183
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.21957000000000004
change_pct_from_t0
15.628870382233613
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.1980763196158177
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
7.110249195062183
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5d45d8e1ab8fc8cb96f6d80e6e0e98cb4d4787d10946e825fdf2c68131a045b1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+0.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.5205900000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.419542211191351
t0_value
0.5163099999999999
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.828959346129297
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.4826603125159126
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.0042800000000001726
change_pct_from_t0
0.828959346129297
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.7174798188984461
change_in_volatility_units
0.4826603125159126
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.5205900000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.419542211191351
t0_value
0.5163099999999999
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.828959346129297
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.4826603125159126
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.0042800000000001726
change_pct_from_t0
0.828959346129297
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.7174798188984461
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.4826603125159126
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 7e0a8351ab9c7a6c763a874aa9f416e1c46da7941c88d5e7464f84f97bc82654 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+1.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.52318
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.0825328940048692
t0_value
0.5163099999999999
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.3305959597916066
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7747374642486464
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006870000000000043
change_pct_from_t0
1.3305959597916066
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.7174798188984461
change_in_volatility_units
0.7747374642486464
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.52318
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
-0.0825328940048692
t0_value
0.5163099999999999
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.3305959597916066
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7747374642486464
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006870000000000043
change_pct_from_t0
1.3305959597916066
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.7174798188984461
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.7747374642486464
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 417410fbef0940afbe9fd30495f8f762ddec3cc61abc0929348930a4c692bdb0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, l-Ungerija) inbidel b’+14.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’8.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.58999
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
8.61074605627698
t0_value
0.5163099999999999
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
14.270496407197243
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.308974725740898
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07368000000000008
change_pct_from_t0
14.270496407197243
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.7174798188984461
change_in_volatility_units
8.308974725740898
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.58999
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
z_score
8.61074605627698
t0_value
0.5163099999999999
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
14.270496407197243
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_HU_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.308974725740898
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07368000000000008
change_pct_from_t0
14.270496407197243
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.7174798188984461
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
8.308974725740898
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1dfa1b82cdd5ef0e34e381ba2db47a128d8e1d24d077c4a37d4dfc8d08f5bf02 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Ungerija) b’+1.8 c/l (firxa -0.6–+4.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’-1.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -3.0 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.030359114447723618
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.012649999999999939
expected_eur_per_litre
0.01770911444772368
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.005717938463404307
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.0411361673588515
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.030359114447723618
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
-0.012649999999999939
expected_eur_per_litre
0.01770911444772368
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.005717938463404307
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.0411361673588515
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 041d852f98be0bc9570782e15e42d8941de038d336f506c30fd37862681b8eb5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, l-Ungerija) b’+3.1 c/l (firxa -4.5–+10.7); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+3.2 c/l, u jibqa’ +0.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.0010265908701955172
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.03219000000000005
expected_eur_per_litre
0.031163409129804535
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.044505657325029674
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.10683247558463847
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.0010265908701955172
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.03219000000000005
expected_eur_per_litre
0.031163409129804535
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.044505657325029674
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.10683247558463847
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0bf0bfb234fbf6b34c66ea349048ed3c3224c8e2963be19ebd37e7572aa7305d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Ungerija) b’+2.0 c/l (firxa -0.8–+4.7); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+5.2 c/l, u jibqa’ +3.2 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_DIESEL
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.03222934274143641
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.051999999999999935
expected_eur_per_litre
0.019770657258563522
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.007907219212726397
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.04744853372985369
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_DIESEL
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.03222934274143641
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.051999999999999935
expected_eur_per_litre
0.019770657258563522
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.007907219212726397
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.04744853372985369
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 80e9c9fa8d37cbdf90e4bfa180ebce36a156f623c6c35a090941ade7a53112c0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, l-Ungerija) b’+2.4 c/l (firxa -6.4–+11.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+14.6 c/l, u jibqa’ +12.2 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_DIESEL
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.12170758930316436
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.14588999999999996
expected_eur_per_litre
0.024182410696835608
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.06366689070125384
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.11203171209492549
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Hungary
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_HU_DIESEL
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
1
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.12170758930316436
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.14588999999999996
expected_eur_per_litre
0.024182410696835608
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.06366689070125384
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.11203171209492549
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8159007f78806ddcb210921fea0eabf69f6a21aafa8f9ee50bd2b844fb75f851 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-Ungerija, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatGħolja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5c0c549c4f1e04bcc93de4707279a03eab5171af91c74df20fb61d6da07be676 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-Ungerija, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%–5%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Hungary
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
value_max_pct
4.76190476190476
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
NO_OBSERVATION
country
Hungary
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
value_max_pct
4.76190476190476
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
RANGE_ONLY
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
null
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.range v1.2 · Marka tal-identità ac80d403d0053b17225174da2648e8794b42cc458fa11407f045f11ae19d9c14 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli turi tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (l-Ungerija, Ġunju 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): -13.6%.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Hungary
change_pct
-13.555651797314855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
value_tonnes
499000
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
577250
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Hungary
change_pct
-13.555651797314855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
value_tonnes
499000
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
577250
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Mudell event.supply.reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 89ed1d9cf9b85ee5ac5ad9dd078d1fd1ae7f441b0b38cab22b6b932c71e51819 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ġunju 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (l-Ungerija) kienu 11.6% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 90.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: l-UngerijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_HU
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
days_of_cover
90
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-0.4202942059441609
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
3317000
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
2971916.6666666665
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
11.611474076774249
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
11.611474076774249
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
11.6
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Hungary
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_HU
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
days_of_cover
90
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
-0.4202942059441609
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
3317000
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
2971916.6666666665
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
11.611474076774249
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 732890ff874ab2c8c1419ab82ef6ac30abb9ffc31edddcf7cb5ef06afe6f86fd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (l-Ungerija) madwar l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: l-UngerijaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Hungary
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
dependence_band
limited
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Hungary
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
HU
country_name
Hungary
country_slug
hungary
dependence_band
limited
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 22cfe87c39bc8c3130991b14db936232fbeb0936ace0c3098a2892b851d746c9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

L-Ungerija: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: l-Ungerija, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti

Inputs

Varjabbli

Limiti