Avvenimenti / Bidla fit-taxxa

Il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022

Dati: 01/06/2022 → 31/08/2022
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Intemm
Ambitu: Il-Ġermanja

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

Energiesteuersenkungsgesetz (Gesetz zur Aenderung des Energiesteuerrechts zur temporaeren Absenkung der Energiesteuer fuer Kraftstoffe) of 24 May 2022, BGBl. I 2022 p. 810. The Bundestag record of 19 May 2022 states the reduction ran from 1 June to 31 August 2022 and cut the energy-tax rate by 29.55 ct/litre on Benzin and by 14.04 ct/litre on Dieselkraftstoff. The same change is present in the primary tax series this project already holds: the tax rates taken from the European Commission Weekly Oil Bulletin duties and taxes file record German excise on Euro-super 95 petrol at 0.6545 EUR/litre before, 0.3590 EUR/litre effective 2022-06-01 and 0.6545 EUR/litre again effective 2022-08-31, and on diesel at 0.4704, then 0.3300, then 0.4704 EUR/litre on the same dates. The two records agree to the cent. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about how the change reached pump prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 25/09/2026 14:07 UTCReviżjoni 2

Dokumenti tas-sors (3)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Ir-Rumanija, Petrol (Euro-super 95). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 15; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 4.

Qari ppubblikat: 188; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 7; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 52. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	108.4	-13.840	-11.33%	-2.53
−14	2022-05-18	110.0	-12.160	-9.95%	-2.22
−7	2022-05-25	116.4	-5.790	-4.74%	-1.06
−3	2022-05-27	121.2	-1.010	-0.83%	-0.18
−1	2022-05-31	125.5	+3.330	+2.73%	+0.61
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	122.2	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	125.7	+3.480	+2.85%	+0.64
+7	2022-06-08	129.2	+7.000	+5.73%	+1.28
+14	2022-06-15	125.0	+2.760	+2.26%	+0.50
+30	2022-07-01	119.2	-2.990	-2.45%	-0.55
+60	2022-07-29	111.5	-10.690	-8.75%	-1.95
+90	2022-08-30	99.34	-22.860	-18.71%	-4.18

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.48%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 764). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	1,010,000	+200,000	+24.69%	+0.69
−14	2022-05-01	1,010,000	+200,000	+24.69%	+0.69
−7	2022-05-01	1,010,000	+200,000	+24.69%	+0.69
−3	2022-05-01	1,010,000	+200,000	+24.69%	+0.69
−1	2022-05-01	1,010,000	+200,000	+24.69%	+0.69
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	810,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	810,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	810,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	810,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	810,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	801,000	-9,000	-1.11%	-0.03
+60	2022-07-01	801,000	-9,000	-1.11%	-0.03
+90	2022-08-01	881,000	+71,000	+8.77%	+0.25

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 35.56%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.9495	-0.057	-5.69%	-3.31
−14	2022-05-16	0.9738	-0.033	-3.27%	-1.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.9866	-0.020	-2.00%	-1.17
−3	2022-05-23	0.9866	-0.020	-2.00%	-1.17
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.026	+0.019	+1.92%	+1.12
+14	2022-06-13	1.049	+0.043	+4.22%	+2.46
+30	2022-06-27	1.018	+0.011	+1.11%	+0.65
+60	2022-07-25	1.016	+0.009	+0.88%	+0.51
+90	2022-08-29	0.9675	-0.039	-3.90%	-2.27

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.72%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.20
−14	2022-05-18	1.052	-0.019	-1.76%	-4.23
−7	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.006	-0.52%	-1.25
−3	2022-05-27	1.072	+0.001	+0.09%	+0.22
−1	2022-05-31	1.071	+0.000	+0.01%	+0.02
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.071	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-02	1.069	-0.002	-0.19%	-0.45
+3	2022-06-03	1.073	+0.002	+0.17%	+0.40
+7	2022-06-08	1.074	+0.003	+0.25%	+0.60
+14	2022-06-15	1.043	-0.028	-2.62%	-6.28
+30	2022-07-01	1.043	-0.029	-2.68%	-6.42
+60	2022-07-29	1.020	-0.051	-4.80%	-11.50
+90	2022-08-30	1.003	-0.068	-6.33%	-15.16

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.42%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	10.35–10.79	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	10.35–10.79	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	10.35–10.79	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	10.35–10.79	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	10.35–10.79	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	10.34–10.78	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-07-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-01	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-01	0–2.186	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−14	2022-05-01	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-05-01	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-05-01	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-05-01	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	85.00	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	76.00	-9.000	-10.59%	-9.61
+60	2022-07-01	76.00	-9.000	-10.59%	-9.61
+90	2022-08-01	74.00	-11.000	-12.94%	-11.75

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.10%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6576	-0.070	-9.62%	-1.20
−14	2022-05-16	0.6754	-0.052	-7.17%	-0.90
−7	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−3	2022-05-23	0.6922	-0.035	-4.85%	-0.61
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7275	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.7496	+0.022	+3.04%	+0.38
+14	2022-06-13	0.7533	+0.026	+3.54%	+0.44
+30	2022-06-27	0.7214	-0.006	-0.84%	-0.11
+60	2022-07-25	0.6761	-0.051	-7.07%	-0.88
+90	2022-08-29	0.5990	-0.129	-17.67%	-2.21

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.00%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-01	2,342,000	-49,000	-2.05%	-0.35
−14	2022-05-01	2,342,000	-49,000	-2.05%	-0.35
−7	2022-05-01	2,342,000	-49,000	-2.05%	-0.35
−3	2022-05-01	2,342,000	-49,000	-2.05%	-0.35
−1	2022-05-01	2,342,000	-49,000	-2.05%	-0.35
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,391,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,391,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,391,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,391,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+14	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	2,391,000	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+30	2022-07-01	2,500,000	+109,000	+4.56%	+0.77
+60	2022-07-01	2,500,000	+109,000	+4.56%	+0.77
+90	2022-08-01	2,311,000	-80,000	-3.35%	-0.57

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.92%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 36). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	-0.0317	-0.032	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-05-16	-0.0026	-0.003	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-05-23	0.0010	+0.001	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-05-23	0.0010	+0.001	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-06-06	0.0010	+0.001	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-06-13	0.0187	+0.019	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-06-27	0.0557	+0.056	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-07-25	0.0133	+0.013	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-08-29	0.0441	+0.044	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	1.547	-0.106	-6.42%	-3.95
−14	2022-05-16	1.611	-0.043	-2.57%	-1.58
−7	2022-05-23	1.631	-0.023	-1.40%	-0.86
−3	2022-05-23	1.631	-0.023	-1.40%	-0.86
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.654	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.654	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.654	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.654	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.678	+0.024	+1.48%	+0.91
+14	2022-06-13	1.726	+0.073	+4.39%	+2.70
+30	2022-06-27	1.733	+0.080	+4.81%	+2.96
+60	2022-07-25	1.681	+0.027	+1.65%	+1.02
+90	2022-08-29	1.666	+0.013	+0.77%	+0.47

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.62%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.9178	-0.089	-8.83%	-3.46
−14	2022-05-16	0.9713	-0.035	-3.53%	-1.38
−7	2022-05-23	0.9876	-0.019	-1.91%	-0.75
−3	2022-05-23	0.9876	-0.019	-1.91%	-0.75
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.007	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	1.027	+0.020	+2.03%	+0.79
+14	2022-06-13	1.068	+0.061	+6.08%	+2.38
+30	2022-06-27	1.074	+0.067	+6.64%	+2.60
+60	2022-07-25	1.029	+0.022	+2.20%	+0.86
+90	2022-08-29	1.012	+0.005	+0.48%	+0.19

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.55%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-05-02	0.6296	-0.017	-2.67%	-2.48
−14	2022-05-16	0.6398	-0.007	-1.08%	-1.01
−7	2022-05-23	0.6429	-0.004	-0.61%	-0.56
−3	2022-05-23	0.6429	-0.004	-0.61%	-0.56
−1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6469	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6469	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6469	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-05-30l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.6469	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-06-06	0.6509	+0.004	+0.62%	+0.58
+14	2022-06-13	0.6583	+0.011	+1.77%	+1.65
+30	2022-06-27	0.6596	+0.013	+1.96%	+1.83
+60	2022-07-25	0.6520	+0.005	+0.79%	+0.74
+90	2022-08-29	0.6547	+0.008	+1.22%	+1.13

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.08%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	35.83	-21.818	-37.85%	-0.21
−14	2022-05-18	48.89	-8.756	-15.19%	-0.08
−7	2022-05-25	47.31	-10.338	-17.93%	-0.10
−3	2022-05-27	51.09	-6.550	-11.36%	-0.06
−1	2022-05-31	47.09	-10.554	-18.31%	-0.10
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	57.64	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	63.70	+6.054	+10.50%	+0.06
+7	2022-06-08	54.93	-2.716	-4.71%	-0.03
+14	2022-06-15	40.73	-16.914	-29.34%	-0.16
+30	2022-07-01	40.89	-16.750	-29.06%	-0.16
+60	2022-07-29	30.91	-26.732	-46.37%	-0.26
+90	2022-08-30	14.86	-42.786	-74.22%	-0.41

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 181.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-04-29	81.86	+38.872	+90.43%	+0.52
−14	2022-05-18	35.78	-7.202	-16.75%	-0.10
−7	2022-05-25	40.71	-2.274	-5.29%	-0.03
−3	2022-05-27	40.59	-2.392	-5.56%	-0.03
−1	2022-05-31	34.70	-8.286	-19.28%	-0.11
T0	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-06-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	42.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-06-03	46.69	+3.702	+8.61%	+0.05
+7	2022-06-08	42.16	-0.826	-1.92%	-0.01
+14	2022-06-15	56.44	+13.452	+31.29%	+0.18
+30	2022-07-01	39.51	-3.478	-8.09%	-0.05
+60	2022-07-29	31.37	-11.612	-27.01%	-0.15
+90	2022-08-30	49.63	+6.648	+15.47%	+0.09

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 175.17%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 747). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 01/06/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	76.00 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-10.59% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -9.61 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	119.2 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)-2.45% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.55 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	2,500,000 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-07-01)+4.56% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +0.77 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	1.074 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+6.64% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +2.60 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.733 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-06-27)+4.81% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +2.96 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (25/05/2022 – 01/07/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: ir-Rumanija, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/de-tankrabatt-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'de-tankrabatt-2022' and country 'romania'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+2.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.02718
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.3947434634749842
t0_value
1.00676
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.0282887679287893
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7947542554415096
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.020419999999999883
change_pct_from_t0
2.0282887679287893
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.552095511337671
change_in_volatility_units
0.7947542554415096
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.02718
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.3947434634749842
t0_value
1.00676
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
2.0282887679287893
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7947542554415096
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.020419999999999883
change_pct_from_t0
2.0282887679287893
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.552095511337671
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.7947542554415096
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 43c5fcc1100151e85fdb15ec3b7b5a7559665fd5a2315683b08c92158c12f5b3 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+6.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.07361
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
3.5826669254692214
t0_value
1.00676
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
6.640112837220375
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.6018277167612687
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06684999999999985
change_pct_from_t0
6.640112837220375
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.552095511337671
change_in_volatility_units
2.6018277167612687
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.07361
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
3.5826669254692214
t0_value
1.00676
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
6.640112837220375
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.6018277167612687
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06684999999999985
change_pct_from_t0
6.640112837220375
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.552095511337671
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.6018277167612687
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 42427c73388760751b2fa2d009cf2b1c93c6ed77133dd1a4afb9cf7a539d7750 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.0116100000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.996381018864816
t0_value
1.00676
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.4817434145178613
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.18876386576353382
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.004850000000000021
change_pct_from_t0
0.4817434145178613
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.552095511337671
change_in_volatility_units
0.18876386576353382
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.0116100000000001
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.996381018864816
t0_value
1.00676
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.4817434145178613
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.18876386576353382
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.004850000000000021
change_pct_from_t0
0.4817434145178613
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.552095511337671
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.18876386576353382
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2cfb6e739591643a807855d69cc276dfaaca252a49e0123e958c2f55f2638c12 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.6780599999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.402006935440997
t0_value
1.65361
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.478583220952937
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.9105345473678694
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02444999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
1.478583220952937
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.6238628454320114
change_in_volatility_units
0.9105345473678694
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.6780599999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.402006935440997
t0_value
1.65361
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.478583220952937
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.9105345473678694
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02444999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
1.478583220952937
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.6238628454320114
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.9105345473678694
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 616c2e39ea1fcc96b139e78a46d82931ae590e93ea8f41dfd21894362f081f09 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+4.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.0 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.73317
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
3.5869761360408563
t0_value
1.65361
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
4.811291658855478
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.9628682449320314
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07956000000000008
change_pct_from_t0
4.811291658855478
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.6238628454320114
change_in_volatility_units
2.9628682449320314
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.73317
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
3.5869761360408563
t0_value
1.65361
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
4.811291658855478
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.9628682449320314
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07956000000000008
change_pct_from_t0
4.811291658855478
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.6238628454320114
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.9628682449320314
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f536d7f0d3ad1f764a2b506bd3f861efe4d3dd39d60f2e1dedb205af0575382a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+0.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.66632
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.1495747377447145
t0_value
1.65361
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.7686213798900586
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.4733290019241589
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.012709999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
0.7686213798900586
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.6238628454320114
change_in_volatility_units
0.4733290019241589
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.66632
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.1495747377447145
t0_value
1.65361
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.7686213798900586
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.4733290019241589
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.012709999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
0.7686213798900586
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.6238628454320114
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.4733290019241589
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2556190bea0013c8ca5b85117dc938b821eaff3b662836321e4e6c42feddf858 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+0.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.6 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.6508799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.4383078857100013
t0_value
0.64685
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.623019247120641
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.579543505570312
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.004029999999999867
change_pct_from_t0
0.623019247120641
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.0750172180905484
change_in_volatility_units
0.579543505570312
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.6508799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.4383078857100013
t0_value
0.64685
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.623019247120641
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.579543505570312
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.004029999999999867
change_pct_from_t0
0.623019247120641
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.0750172180905484
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.579543505570312
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità cd8e1f35ea44ec7774b770d061a13ff865d2a547e7284f832698a5093d63a5c0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+2.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.65956
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
3.6067879482996665
t0_value
0.64685
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.964906856303625
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.8277910560295056
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.012709999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
1.964906856303625
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.0750172180905484
change_in_volatility_units
1.8277910560295056
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.65956
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
3.6067879482996665
t0_value
0.64685
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.964906856303625
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.8277910560295056
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.012709999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
1.964906856303625
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.0750172180905484
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.8277910560295056
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 254f59c0095989a8d4f7402950f39028a1bf76ba3b18e3dc612f0e3199b20af9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (petrol, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.6547099999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.9538929824517464
t0_value
0.64685
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.2151194249052897
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1303255468443487
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.007859999999999867
change_pct_from_t0
1.2151194249052897
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.0750172180905484
change_in_volatility_units
1.1303255468443487
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.6547099999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.9538929824517464
t0_value
0.64685
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
1.2151194249052897
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1303255468443487
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.007859999999999867
change_pct_from_t0
1.2151194249052897
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.0750172180905484
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.1303255468443487
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 264192f559c5a2c1e166103603f30e2b9a65761523d0c4b885ec2c9d91b8d069 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.14863
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.8057807797497853
t0_value
1.13006
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.6432755782878763
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6931436198363335
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.018569999999999975
change_pct_from_t0
1.6432755782878763
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.370757706282992
change_in_volatility_units
0.6931436198363335
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.14863
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.8057807797497853
t0_value
1.13006
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.6432755782878763
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.6931436198363335
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.018569999999999975
change_pct_from_t0
1.6432755782878763
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.370757706282992
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.6931436198363335
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 33514690bb4365eafec50b0b0365a2fded5b5c84840b0ac3e17206a6d6237f67 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.19426
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.544726957265486
t0_value
1.13006
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.681114277118032
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.3963285079963756
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06420000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
5.681114277118032
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.370757706282992
change_in_volatility_units
2.3963285079963756
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.19426
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.544726957265486
t0_value
1.13006
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
5.681114277118032
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.3963285079963756
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.06420000000000003
change_pct_from_t0
5.681114277118032
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
2.370757706282992
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.3963285079963756
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 728bcc799cce20b7610599ec917be5a28a5d62eca6ca8cee675a2859e76ee391 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+2.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.9 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.1531
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.878169327054084
t0_value
1.13006
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
2.038829796647961
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.8599907916547718
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02303999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
2.038829796647961
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.370757706282992
change_in_volatility_units
0.8599907916547718
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.1531
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.878169327054084
t0_value
1.13006
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
2.038829796647961
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.8599907916547718
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.02303999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
2.038829796647961
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
2.370757706282992
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.8599907916547718
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a8bce23bd5e6a8714f64718267ec0a5f5175db7ae482306bb82e8e47d839230a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.8 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.78453
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.805397700244268
t0_value
1.76229
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.261994336913904
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7724195758976995
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.022240000000000038
change_pct_from_t0
1.261994336913904
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.6338197221985535
change_in_volatility_units
0.7724195758976995
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.78453
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.805397700244268
t0_value
1.76229
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.261994336913904
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.7724195758976995
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.022240000000000038
change_pct_from_t0
1.261994336913904
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.6338197221985535
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.7724195758976995
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 42c2c085d0b11d0d3d3782e2229df56eb74a189d31acc8868ba5cb1725d1f320 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+4.3%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’2.7 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.8387
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.540747662064333
t0_value
1.76229
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.335835759154287
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.653803048306798
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07641000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
4.335835759154287
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.6338197221985535
change_in_volatility_units
2.653803048306798
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.8387
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.540747662064333
t0_value
1.76229
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
4.335835759154287
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
2.653803048306798
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.07641000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
4.335835759154287
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.6338197221985535
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
2.653803048306798
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 69513837c93d5bac0a657272c4a3531ced25672c9f40014ae702b3881d82a9d6 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.79607
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.9620515411045896
t0_value
1.76229
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.9168241322370407
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1732164241827499
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03378000000000014
change_pct_from_t0
1.9168241322370407
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.6338197221985535
change_in_volatility_units
1.1732164241827499
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
1.79607
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.9620515411045896
t0_value
1.76229
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.9168241322370407
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.1732164241827499
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.03378000000000014
change_pct_from_t0
1.9168241322370407
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.6338197221985535
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.1732164241827499
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 136a9a3c98e9c8ac33b31e9478287c9c10817a273cd8127ca26b8eb72eb47ee1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+0.6%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.6359
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.803115910414388
t0_value
0.63223
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5804849500972846
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5031301346141714
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.003670000000000062
change_pct_from_t0
0.5804849500972846
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.1537471325235433
change_in_volatility_units
0.5031301346141714
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.6359
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
1.803115910414388
t0_value
0.63223
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5804849500972846
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-06
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5031301346141714
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.003670000000000062
change_pct_from_t0
0.5804849500972846
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.1537471325235433
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.5031301346141714
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4eb8e2673adbaf620b455e4f6bb4dc998f6fc9802a1e0030c9c5c39bde862f7f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.7 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.64444
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.519711237661905
t0_value
0.63223
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.93125919364789
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.6739016195201515
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.012210000000000054
change_pct_from_t0
1.93125919364789
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.1537471325235433
change_in_volatility_units
1.6739016195201515
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.64444
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.519711237661905
t0_value
0.63223
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.93125919364789
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-06-27
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.6739016195201515
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.012210000000000054
change_pct_from_t0
1.93125919364789
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
4
normal_volatility_pct
1.1537471325235433
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.6739016195201515
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 99b28909cf85545ae8943e2184d0e551de12536f975424b1db4799912ebfe0e2 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz tal-komponent tat-taxxa (diżil, ir-Rumanija) inbidel b’+1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.64297
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.3963628616602857
t0_value
0.63223
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.6987488730367246
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.4723753803150275
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.010740000000000083
change_pct_from_t0
1.6987488730367246
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.1537471325235433
change_in_volatility_units
1.4723753803150275
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
0.64297
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
z_score
2.3963628616602857
t0_value
0.63223
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
1.6987488730367246
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
TAX_COMPONENT_RO_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-component
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-08-29
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.4723753803150275
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.010740000000000083
change_pct_from_t0
1.6987488730367246
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
1.1537471325235433
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.4723753803150275
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f31a74a44d2a7a3158c2c55370718f7149e37d35b5952a3d5d0bc937da6d9dc4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) b’+1.1 c/l (firxa -3.3–+5.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+6.7 c/l, u jibqa’ +5.6 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.05566293237488447
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.06684999999999985
expected_eur_per_litre
0.011187067625115382
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.032729133443512234
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.05510326869374289
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
0.05566293237488447
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.06684999999999985
expected_eur_per_litre
0.011187067625115382
proxy_volatility_units
-0.0631714707771465
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-5.850000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.032729133443512234
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.05510326869374289
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b89238d57c396a839f2ebc4813579239cf0cdf904f9f85a92b4cce09c5e5c904 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, ir-Rumanija) b’-3.9 c/l (firxa -16.0–+8.1); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+0.5 c/l, u jibqa’ +4.4 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.044120654312150835
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.004850000000000021
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.039270654312150814
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.15978413776082814
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.08124282913652686
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
0.044120654312150835
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.004850000000000021
expected_eur_per_litre
-0.039270654312150814
proxy_volatility_units
-0.3403268500876152
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-31.516000000000002
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.15978413776082814
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.08124282913652686
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
181.24455741814873
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3762f48396786c3d8ee72beddf8082f3a0d643e0b89cc9ebbd2a85b3266e8fe8 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) b’+6.6 c/l (firxa +4.7–+8.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+6.4 c/l, u jibqa’ -0.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’11.5 $/bbl.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.0014511197401677889
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.06420000000000003
expected_eur_per_litre
0.06565111974016782
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.046539023809961166
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.0847632156703751
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-06-27
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-27
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.0014511197401677889
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.06420000000000003
expected_eur_per_litre
0.06565111974016782
proxy_volatility_units
2.587160761067042
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
11.537999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.046539023809961166
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.0847632156703751
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d5647ea664bee824f144d8fbe3c56d531d3bbdc04b8ec5db9395a47dd2ed86ac · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, ir-Rumanija) b’+6.1 c/l (firxa +0.7–+11.4); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+2.3 c/l, u jibqa’ -3.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’19.3 $/bbl.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.037617748061325965
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
actual_eur_per_litre
0.02303999999999995
expected_eur_per_litre
0.060657748061325914
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.006890552848566284
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.11442494327408867
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Romania
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_RO_DIESEL
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-08-26
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-05-27
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-08-29
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.037617748061325965
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-05-30
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.02303999999999995
expected_eur_per_litre
0.060657748061325914
proxy_volatility_units
4.337945231721529
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
19.345999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2008-01-07
pass_through_window_label
FULL_SAMPLE
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.006890552848566284
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.11442494327408867
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
9.342848145796136
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 99de7ca59b1e948e10ef25cc4ece921d8a09785a2c61fb683377355e368e7000 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ir-Rumanija, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatBaxxa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 79e899f2395c4e0afa4bf21090a19489280951c030d8f4634693c9e52de15870 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ir-Rumanija, Ġunju 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatBaxxa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-06-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-06-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5f0b4dcc5fce7cf3bbf1e0ec498baf53bbc0403016f2ae1b4f69d3d6d155627d · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (ir-Rumanija, Ġunju 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +47.7%.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Romania
change_pct
47.69791824950616
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_tonnes
810000
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
548416.6666666666
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
country
Romania
change_pct
47.69791824950616
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
value_tonnes
810000
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
548416.6666666666
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f3314b092ea2400718a86cf44cee263757e84a3b7e70fa59d0aac66f6e5d40d9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Ġunju 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (ir-Rumanija) kienu 8.7% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 85.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_RO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
days_of_cover
85
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
2.0922288642186166
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
2391000
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
2198750
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
8.743604320636726
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
8.743604320636726
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
8.7
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-06
status
OBSERVED
country
Romania
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_RO
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
days_of_cover
85
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
2.0922288642186166
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-06-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
2391000
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
2198750
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
8.743604320636726
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3a01236ab4b509f4c0082e7deec599eabdf2c1efb58334fe9e2debb64e56e716 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (ir-Rumanija) madwar l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: ir-RumanijaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Romania
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
dependence_band
limited
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
country
Romania
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
RO
country_name
Romania
country_slug
romania
dependence_band
limited
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2f1581a2b8dd6b72cfac1d717fdba5a237d213c6854b18c5fad047391b7c6b01 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+5.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
129.2
status
OBSERVED
z_score
2.0172282715868546
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
5.7283142389525255
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-06-08
same_observation
false
volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
6.999999999999986
change_pct_from_t0
5.7283142389525255
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
1.2799598046880034
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità f87dd225bc59dba803e038025a29e47ed148997fb21d856c0cd78839753ee67a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-2.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
119.21
status
OBSERVED
z_score
0.8887326572425913
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-2.4468085106383053
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-07-01
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-2.990000000000009
change_pct_from_t0
-2.4468085106383053
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-0.5467256880024499
Mudell event.benchmark_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità fad3fa12c4cda01a6223521c8666f80ff0cc67ef8185a2d6e383ba814fecdcc1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’-18.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
value
99.34
status
OBSERVED
z_score
-1.355832693810513
t0_value
122.2
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
-18.707037643207855
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-08-30
same_observation
false
volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
-22.86
change_pct_from_t0
-18.707037643207855
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.4753860378832995
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
-4.179983019309688
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c93fc5aedb651c26598bd6d9310189a42a1c8df629f57a43bf0be16cf35bb23 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 5682d55cccd2b29a396302436312a88aeeb0ee29362398f48b45370bc339e780 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 9f428e998d4f8e3f0b62ce0e589b72e73c5860218140f2727aa93741661c7d36 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 56fb16ffc2601451cfda44b453655b8c4394e0f659ccd04a0f7a8a13e347bf80 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-06-01T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Germany: temporary energy-tax reduction on road fuels (Tankrabatt), 2022
event_slug
de-tankrabatt-2022
event_type
TAX_CHANGE
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 98f34b162486945bf201f66ee3c233374109d50156f5d4ec98817b088ac4af77 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Ir-Rumanija: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “il-Ġermanja: tnaqqis temporanju tat-taxxa fuq l-enerġija għall-karburanti tat-triq (Tankrabatt), 2022”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: ir-Rumanija, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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