L-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)

Dati: 24/02/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
Preċiżjoni tad-data: jum
Status: Għadu għaddej
Ambitu: L-Ukrajna

X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)

European Council, special meeting of 24 February 2022, document EUCO 18/22: "European Council conclusions on Russia's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine"; "The European Council condemns in the strongest possible terms the Russian Federation's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine." The conclusions are dated and headed 24 February 2022, which is the date recorded here. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.

L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali

Miġbur 23/09/2026 07:22 UTCReviżjoni 1

Dokumenti tas-sors (2)

PajjiżIl-Ġermanja Franza In-Netherlands Il-Polonja Il-Finlandja L-Estonja L-Awstrija Il-Belġju Il-Bulgarija Il-Kroazja Ċipru Iċ-Ċekja Id-Danimarka Il-Greċja L-Ungerija L-Irlanda L-Italja Il-Latvja Il-Litwanja Il-Lussemburgu Malta Il-Portugall Ir-Rumanija Is-Slovakkja Is-Slovenja Spanja L-Iżvezja

KarburantDiżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)Petrol (Euro-super 95)Iż-żewġ karburanti

Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.

It-tieqa tal-avveniment

Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.

Is-Slovakkja, Petrol (Euro-super 95). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 15; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 4.

Qari ppubblikat: 195; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 0; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 52. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.

Europe Brent spot FOB

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (Europe Brent spot FOB): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	89.49	-11.800	-11.65%	-2.69
−14	2022-02-10	96.37	-4.920	-4.86%	-1.12
−7	2022-02-17	95.28	-6.010	-5.93%	-1.37
−3	2022-02-21	98.95	-2.340	-2.31%	-0.53
−1	2022-02-23	99.29	-2.000	-1.97%	-0.46
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	101.3	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+3	2022-02-25	98.56	-2.730	-2.70%	-0.62
+7	2022-03-03	115.4	+14.070	+13.89%	+3.20
+14	2022-03-10	114.5	+13.250	+13.08%	+3.02
+30	2022-03-25	122.7	+21.380	+21.11%	+4.87
+60	2022-04-25	99.27	-2.020	-1.99%	-0.46
+90	2022-05-25	116.4	+15.120	+14.93%	+3.44

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 767). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

reported crude oil imports, all origins

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.

Tabella tat-tieqa (reported crude oil imports, all origins): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	472,869	+8,121	+1.75%	+0.08
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	464,748	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	405,759	-58,989	-12.69%	-0.62
+14	2022-03-01	405,759	-58,989	-12.69%	-0.62
+30	2022-03-01	405,759	-58,989	-12.69%	-0.62
+60	2022-04-01	542,484	+77,736	+16.73%	+0.81
+90	2022-05-01	499,899	+35,151	+7.56%	+0.37

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 20.58%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.7269	-0.028	-3.69%	-3.00
−14	2022-02-07	0.7410	-0.014	-1.81%	-1.47
−7	2022-02-14	0.7482	-0.007	-0.86%	-0.70
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.7653	+0.011	+1.41%	+1.15
+14	2022-03-07	0.8026	+0.048	+6.35%	+5.16
+30	2022-03-21	0.8418	+0.087	+11.54%	+9.38
+60	2022-04-25	0.8437	+0.089	+11.80%	+9.59
+90	2022-05-23	0.8810	+0.126	+16.74%	+13.60

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.23%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

Unità: USD għal kull EURIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatUffiċjali

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	1.127	+0.011	+0.94%	+2.37
−14	2022-02-10	1.144	+0.028	+2.47%	+6.23
−7	2022-02-17	1.137	+0.021	+1.85%	+4.67
−3	2022-02-21	1.134	+0.017	+1.57%	+3.95
−1	2022-02-23	1.134	+0.018	+1.62%	+4.09
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.116	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+3	2022-02-25	1.122	+0.005	+0.47%	+1.20
+7	2022-03-03	1.108	-0.009	-0.78%	-1.96
+14	2022-03-10	1.108	-0.008	-0.71%	-1.78
+30	2022-03-25	1.100	-0.016	-1.44%	-3.64
+60	2022-04-25	1.075	-0.042	-3.74%	-9.42
+90	2022-05-25	1.066	-0.051	-4.54%	-11.45

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatGħolja

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

Unità: % tat-tunnellati importatiIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatGħolja

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-01	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

Unità: kopertura (jiem)Ippubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ %
−30	2022-01-01	108.0	0.00%
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	108.0	0.00%
+7	2022-03-01	108.0	0.00%
+14	2022-03-01	108.0	0.00%
+30	2022-03-01	108.0	0.00%
+60	2022-04-01	108.0	0.00%
+90	2022-05-01	108.0	0.00%

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.38%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.5049	-0.049	-8.88%	-1.15
−14	2022-02-07	0.5307	-0.023	-4.22%	-0.55
−7	2022-02-14	0.5419	-0.012	-2.19%	-0.29
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.5541	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.6491	+0.095	+17.15%	+2.23
+14	2022-03-07	0.7014	+0.147	+26.58%	+3.45
+30	2022-03-21	0.7064	+0.152	+27.49%	+3.57
+60	2022-04-25	0.6165	+0.062	+11.26%	+1.46
+90	2022-05-23	0.6922	+0.138	+24.93%	+3.24

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 7.69%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

Unità: tIppubblikat: kull xaharIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-01	1,379,923	-14,641	-1.05%	-0.37
−14	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−7	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1,394,564	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-03-01	1,450,672	+56,108	+4.02%	+1.41
+14	2022-03-01	1,450,672	+56,108	+4.02%	+1.41
+30	2022-03-01	1,450,672	+56,108	+4.02%	+1.41
+60	2022-04-01	1,543,825	+149,261	+10.70%	+3.74
+90	2022-05-01	1,620,476	+225,912	+16.20%	+5.66

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.86%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	-0.0213	-0.021	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−14	2022-02-07	-0.0205	-0.020	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−7	2022-02-14	-0.0101	-0.010	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0	0.000	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+7	2022-02-28	-0.0048	-0.005	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+14	2022-03-07	-0.0346	-0.035	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+30	2022-03-21	0.0312	+0.031	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+60	2022-04-25	0.0276	+0.028	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat
+90	2022-05-23	0.0753	+0.075	mhux ippubblikat	mhux ippubblikat

Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	1.499	-0.059	-3.79%	-3.05
−14	2022-02-07	1.517	-0.041	-2.63%	-2.12
−7	2022-02-14	1.538	-0.020	-1.28%	-1.03
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.558	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.558	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.558	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.558	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	1.558	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	1.565	+0.007	+0.45%	+0.36
+14	2022-03-07	1.574	+0.016	+1.03%	+0.83
+30	2022-03-21	1.700	+0.142	+9.11%	+7.34
+60	2022-04-25	1.698	+0.140	+8.99%	+7.23
+90	2022-05-23	1.800	+0.242	+15.53%	+12.50

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.24%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatUffiċjali

Tabella tat-tieqa (Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.7055	-0.049	-6.51%	-2.41
−14	2022-02-07	0.7205	-0.034	-4.53%	-1.67
−7	2022-02-14	0.7380	-0.017	-2.21%	-0.82
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.7547	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.7605	+0.006	+0.77%	+0.29
+14	2022-03-07	0.7680	+0.013	+1.77%	+0.65
+30	2022-03-21	0.8730	+0.118	+15.68%	+5.80
+60	2022-04-25	0.8714	+0.117	+15.46%	+5.72
+90	2022-05-23	0.9564	+0.202	+26.72%	+9.89

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 2.70%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

Unità: € għal kull litruIppubblikat: kull ġimgħaIkkalkulatMedja

Tabella tat-tieqa (total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-24	0.7935	-0.010	-1.22%	-3.57
−14	2022-02-07	0.7965	-0.007	-0.85%	-2.48
−7	2022-02-14	0.8000	-0.003	-0.42%	-1.21
−3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8033	0.000	0.00%	0.00
−1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8033	0.000	0.00%	0.00
T0	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8033	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8033	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+3	2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	0.8033	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+7	2022-02-28	0.8045	+0.001	+0.14%	+0.42
+14	2022-03-07	0.8060	+0.003	+0.33%	+0.97
+30	2022-03-21	0.8270	+0.024	+2.95%	+8.59
+60	2022-04-25	0.8267	+0.023	+2.90%	+8.47
+90	2022-05-23	0.8437	+0.040	+5.02%	+14.65

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	15.43	-1.934	-11.14%	-0.06
−14	2022-02-10	17.95	+0.594	+3.42%	+0.02
−7	2022-02-17	18.67	+1.306	+7.52%	+0.04
−3	2022-02-18	19.03	+1.666	+9.60%	+0.05
−1	2022-02-23	17.39	+0.026	+0.15%	+0.00
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	17.36	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+3	2022-02-25	18.28	+0.924	+5.32%	+0.03
+7	2022-03-03	18.33	+0.966	+5.56%	+0.03
+14	2022-03-10	13.10	-4.262	-24.55%	-0.14
+30	2022-03-25	16.69	-0.674	-3.88%	-0.02
+60	2022-04-25	36.43	+19.072	+109.86%	+0.61
+90	2022-05-25	47.31	+29.946	+172.50%	+0.95

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 180.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Unità: $ għal kull barmilIppubblikat: kuljumIkkalkulatBaxxa

x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.

Tabella tat-tieqa (US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).): valur, bidla mid-data tal-avveniment u bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità f’kull punt tat-tieqa.
Punt tat-tieqa	Valur użat	Valur	Δ ass.	Δ %	Unitajiet ta’ volatilità
−30	2022-01-25	13.79	+0.796	+6.13%	+0.04
−14	2022-02-10	16.48	+3.492	+26.88%	+0.15
−7	2022-02-17	13.25	+0.256	+1.97%	+0.01
−3	2022-02-18	12.98	-0.014	-0.11%	-0.00
−1	2022-02-23	12.89	-0.100	-0.77%	-0.00
T0	2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0	12.99	0.000	0.00%	0.00
+1	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+3	2022-02-25	14.50	+1.512	+11.64%	+0.07
+7	2022-03-03	23.95	+10.962	+84.38%	+0.48
+14	2022-03-10	16.37	+3.382	+26.03%	+0.15
+30	2022-03-25	37.98	+24.988	+192.33%	+1.10
+60	2022-04-25	78.26	+65.272	+502.40%	+2.88
+90	2022-05-25	40.71	+27.720	+213.36%	+1.22

Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 174.63%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).

Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.

T0: 24/02/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.

L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.

Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.

Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.

Dimensjonijiet tal-esponiment għall-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, kull waħda bl-istatus tagħha u ċifra ppubblikata waħda.
Dimensjoni	Status	Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx
Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)
Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz.	Osservat	0 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)
Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz.	Osservat	108.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)0.00% mil-livell ta’ T0 = 0.00 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej.	Osservat	122.7 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-25)+21.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +4.87 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa.	Mhux disponibbli	Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott.	Mhux disponibbli	M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar.	Mhux disponibbli	In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista.	Osservat	1,450,672 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)+4.02% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +1.41 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol.	Mhux disponibbli	Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant.	Osservat	0.8730 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+15.68% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +5.80 unitajiet ta’ volatilità
Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq.	Osservat	1.700 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+9.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +7.34 unitajiet ta’ volatilità

L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.

Qsim tal-prezz (17/02/2022 – 26/03/2022) →

It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: is-Slovakkja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.

Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.

API 404 for /api/events/ru-invasion-ukraine-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'ru-invasion-ukraine-2022' and country 'slovakia'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.

Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+0.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.3 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.76052
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
5.331814378949862
t0_value
0.75468
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.7738379180579791
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.28630904670374796
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.005839999999999956
change_pct_from_t0
0.7738379180579791
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.702806379913978
change_in_volatility_units
0.28630904670374796
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.76052
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
5.331814378949862
t0_value
0.75468
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.7738379180579791
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.28630904670374796
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.005839999999999956
change_pct_from_t0
0.7738379180579791
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
2.702806379913978
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.28630904670374796
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 4b74cb73a428f64cef8f72e33db8c6282eaa5f9c295c2561b65c198e9125410b · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+15.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’5.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.87302
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
13.569386591633988
t0_value
0.75468
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
15.680818360099645
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.801680237486607
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.11834
change_pct_from_t0
15.680818360099645
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.702806379913978
change_in_volatility_units
5.801680237486607
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.87302
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
13.569386591633988
t0_value
0.75468
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
15.680818360099645
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
5.801680237486607
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.11834
change_pct_from_t0
15.680818360099645
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
2.702806379913978
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
5.801680237486607
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a2e90f5f6fa15ce64c11937704189301c442061c64f7c963603dc6bdee791ced · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+26.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’9.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.95635
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
19.671047858149258
t0_value
0.75468
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
26.722584406635928
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.88697696040159
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20167000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
26.722584406635928
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.702806379913978
change_in_volatility_units
9.88697696040159
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.95635
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
19.671047858149258
t0_value
0.75468
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
26.722584406635928
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.88697696040159
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.20167000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
26.722584406635928
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
2.702806379913978
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
9.88697696040159
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità eb540a075b96f70f31b861808560b52cf6b619bb62c6882510d0e0b16ae2b3d9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+0.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.4 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.565
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
5.331773878083518
t0_value
1.558
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.44929396662387
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.36159895137521303
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006999999999999895
change_pct_from_t0
0.44929396662387
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.2425201038751361
change_in_volatility_units
0.36159895137521303
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.565
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
5.331773878083518
t0_value
1.558
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
0.44929396662387
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.36159895137521303
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006999999999999895
change_pct_from_t0
0.44929396662387
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.2425201038751361
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.36159895137521303
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità bdfbc71d7ff7fd548ff78f8de793125b7f2209e58ec4561579dbcd57cd84017c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+9.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’7.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.7
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
13.569707766967925
t0_value
1.558
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
9.114249037227207
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.335293013611569
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.1419999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
9.114249037227207
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.2425201038751361
change_in_volatility_units
7.335293013611569
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.7
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
13.569707766967925
t0_value
1.558
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
9.114249037227207
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
7.335293013611569
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.1419999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
9.114249037227207
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.2425201038751361
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
7.335293013611569
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 8e85dc189f21c2ccbe07d364e0089bcd5ff06042f56276c5ef9ad0c5b1036c7c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+15.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’12.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.8
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
19.671881017993417
t0_value
1.558
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
15.532734274711167
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.500992318971837
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.242
change_pct_from_t0
15.532734274711167
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.2425201038751361
change_in_volatility_units
12.500992318971837
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.8
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
19.671881017993417
t0_value
1.558
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
change_pct
15.532734274711167
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
12.500992318971837
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.242
change_pct_from_t0
15.532734274711167
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.2425201038751361
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
12.500992318971837
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0098bba287a1810d70a528ae7da592b5ca233f9e08800858a6807d32fde07dd0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+0.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8281799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
6.36546586405787
t0_value
0.82152
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.8106923751095394
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.45487011349537176
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006659999999999888
change_pct_from_t0
0.8106923751095394
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.7822502535502105
change_in_volatility_units
0.45487011349537176
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.8281799999999999
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
6.36546586405787
t0_value
0.82152
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.8106923751095394
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.45487011349537176
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.006659999999999888
change_pct_from_t0
0.8106923751095394
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.7822502535502105
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.45487011349537176
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3cf4d64316e386b3826c12dab144534b2d072eca88060f6f0479f1b1597682f1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+14.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’8.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.94235
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
15.896707198499273
t0_value
0.82152
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
14.708102054727819
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.252545917964968
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.12082999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.708102054727819
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.7822502535502105
change_in_volatility_units
8.252545917964968
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
0.94235
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
15.896707198499273
t0_value
0.82152
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
14.708102054727819
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
8.252545917964968
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.12082999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.708102054727819
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.7822502535502105
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
8.252545917964968
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità a12dee29711ad6ea0c03ad7afe316d2a2e98c0d11d13a813c4392a9a96601406 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+32.4%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’18.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.08735
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
28.001725973081058
t0_value
0.82152
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
32.358311422728605
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
18.155874214786294
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.26583
change_pct_from_t0
32.358311422728605
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.7822502535502105
change_in_volatility_units
18.155874214786294
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.08735
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
28.001725973081058
t0_value
0.82152
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
32.358311422728605
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_PRETAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
pre-tax
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
18.155874214786294
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.26583
change_pct_from_t0
32.358311422728605
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.7822502535502105
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
18.155874214786294
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e7dd1b25d2c5ca039710312a4db6df9d5bcfe9c4b6a3ffcdf0b93766d1b007d4 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+0.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’0.5 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.471
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
6.366283398919062
t0_value
1.463
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5468215994531789
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5206808362684374
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.008000000000000007
change_pct_from_t0
0.5468215994531789
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.0502049650455438
change_in_volatility_units
0.5206808362684374
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.471
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
6.366283398919062
t0_value
1.463
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
0.5468215994531789
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-02-28
same_observation
false
volatility_units
0.5206808362684374
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.008000000000000007
change_pct_from_t0
0.5468215994531789
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
3
normal_volatility_pct
1.0502049650455438
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
0.5206808362684374
Mudell event.price_move.within_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 16523e701d99123b56ac3a1d8a789e59e3402a98c5b276ec1dd2b100b2a8d519 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+9.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’9.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.608
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
15.89831428036073
t0_value
1.463
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
9.911141490088859
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.437340157365421
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.14500000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
9.911141490088859
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.0502049650455438
change_in_volatility_units
9.437340157365421
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.608
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
15.89831428036073
t0_value
1.463
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
9.911141490088859
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-03-21
same_observation
false
volatility_units
9.437340157365421
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.14500000000000002
change_pct_from_t0
9.911141490088859
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
5
normal_volatility_pct
1.0502049650455438
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
9.437340157365421
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 1791d8356d4e4b0cf8606e330a64b4e882aee039fa7fe1c0b4574543caa93e20 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) inbidel b’+21.8%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’20.8 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.782
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
28.004689268469118
t0_value
1.463
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
21.804511278195484
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
20.762148346203922
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.31899999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.804511278195484
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.0502049650455438
change_in_volatility_units
20.762148346203922
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
unit
EUR/L
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
1.782
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
z_score
28.004689268469118
t0_value
1.463
fuel_type
DIESEL
change_pct
21.804511278195484
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
RETAIL_INCLTAX_SK_DIESEL
series_kind
tax-inclusive
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
statement_topic
event
variation_label
week-to-week
observation_date
2022-05-23
same_observation
false
volatility_units
20.762148346203922
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
change_abs_from_t0
0.31899999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.804511278195484
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
2
normal_volatility_pct
1.0502049650455438
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
20.762148346203922
Mudell event.price_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 6a3114c619816f4e00ce621514cb317e51f3caa93074db93202b4900a38e8cb0 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
115.36
status
OBSERVED
z_score
5.841150770454914
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
13.890808569454036
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
7
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-03
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.203825480890899
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
14.069999999999993
change_pct_from_t0
13.890808569454036
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.203825480890899
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 499e14f143cd15685ef1480ed3fa89cd45abe5f0647c7ec6a69249dfc87c1dd1 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+21.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
122.67
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.996054504576924
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
21.107710534109977
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
30
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-03-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
4.868357411616733
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
21.379999999999995
change_pct_from_t0
21.107710534109977
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
1
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
4.868357411616733
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 216049ee46b7aafc7c24ef4f74d592168c4ca36a76f9b7e30eb4f402126d0f04 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+14.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
volatility_definition
sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
$/BBL
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
value
116.41
status
OBSERVED
z_score
6.007039815711837
t0_value
101.29
benchmark
Brent crude
change_pct
14.927436074637171
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
offset_days
90
series_code
BRENT
statement_topic
event
variation_label
day-to-day
observation_date
2022-05-25
same_observation
false
volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
series_source_ids
["eia_brent_rbrte"]
change_abs_from_t0
15.11999999999999
change_pct_from_t0
14.927436074637171
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
0
normal_volatility_pct
4.335694516541323
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
change_in_volatility_units
3.4429169346887267
Mudell event.benchmark_move.outside_normal v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 3c4d928f0edacc86e86f81949df4a6221c6a157e987b0435ccf81af9f53e267c · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) b’+8.7 c/l (firxa +1.2–+16.2); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+11.8 c/l, u jibqa’ +3.1 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.03123453868217141
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.11834
expected_eur_per_litre
0.08710546131782859
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.011728365323113964
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.16248255731254282
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
0.03123453868217141
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.11834
expected_eur_per_litre
0.08710546131782859
proxy_volatility_units
-0.11680573781220037
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
-4.018000000000001
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.011728365323113964
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.16248255731254282
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 7ff661b3b2419283126540e9b789936c2eb160d2790de1af31c493319b6eab05 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, is-Slovakkja) b’+12.6 c/l (firxa -4.4–+29.7); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+20.2 c/l, u jibqa’ +7.5 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.07533688649767442
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.20167000000000002
expected_eur_per_litre
0.1263331135023256
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.04440181414363379
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.29706804114828433
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
petrol
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
EURO_SUPER_95
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_EURO_SUPER_95
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
GASOLINE
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
2
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
0.07533688649767442
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.20167000000000002
expected_eur_per_litre
0.1263331135023256
proxy_volatility_units
0.8092678270821386
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
27.837999999999997
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
-0.04440181414363379
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.29706804114828433
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
180.79993207863203
Mudell event.crude_only.computed v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d2c0f19f966c076e67547c26343d903ed2fa3e33c036c76b29810bd0768f36ca · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) b’+15.9 c/l (firxa +4.2–+27.6); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+12.1 c/l, u jibqa’ -3.8 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’22.2 $/bbl.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.03843515128898958
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.12082999999999999
expected_eur_per_litre
0.15926515128898958
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.04217863350515208
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.2763516690728267
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
4
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
4
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-03-21
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-03-21
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.03843515128898958
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.12082999999999999
expected_eur_per_litre
0.15926515128898958
proxy_volatility_units
12.233577860390142
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
22.231999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.04217863350515208
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.2763516690728267
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità b84b6f7c0a846c85a276ec0a932ce7f1b4d79ec069ac155d8a5d7ccc46cc29b9 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Fil-perjodu ta’ 13-il ġimgħa wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”), l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom kienu jċaqilqu l-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, is-Slovakkja) b’+27.5 c/l (firxa +3.4–+51.5); fil-fatt iċċaqlaq b’+26.6 c/l, u jibqa’ -0.9 c/l mhux spjegat miż-żejt mhux maħdum. Fl-istess perjodu, il-crack spread tal-Istati Uniti (diżil), indikatur tas-suq tal-prodotti tal-Atlantiku u mhux marġni Ewropew, kiber b’29.9 $/bbl.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatMedja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.008728724844361935
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
actual_eur_per_litre
0.26583
expected_eur_per_litre
0.27455872484436195
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.03448840009340771
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.514629049595316
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Limiti
source
docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
proxy_rule
the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
confidence_cap
MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
statement_weeks
[4,13]
unusual_move_volatility_units
2
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
fuel
diesel
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
weeks
13
status
COMPUTED
country
Slovakia
fuel_type
DIESEL
gap_label
NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
series_code
CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_SK_DIESEL
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
offset_weeks
13
proxy_product
DIESEL
proxy_to_date
2022-05-23
pass_through_k
3
proxy_from_date
2022-02-18
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-05-23
gap_eur_per_litre
-0.008728724844361935
series_source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","eia_brent_rbrte"]
anchor_period_start
2022-02-21
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
actual_eur_per_litre
0.26583
expected_eur_per_litre
0.27455872484436195
proxy_volatility_units
16.427727304969743
pass_through_sample_end
2026-09-14
proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
29.853999999999996
pass_through_sample_start
2023-09-25
pass_through_window_label
ROLLING_156W
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
expected_low_eur_per_litre
0.03448840009340771
expected_high_eur_per_litre
0.514629049595316
proxy_normal_volatility_pct
8.450955055544933
Mudell event.crude_only.computed_with_proxy v1.2 · Marka tal-identità eedbbaf84fcf63a76f75d81924103eb16368722fbac470989db7479f253d6f68 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Is-Slovakkja, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatGħolja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
crude
dimension
DIRECT_CRUDE
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità e9a041967ebfbc1a2e94e454b07ae55c42bea8e2e8dc8ee9690646f8deb819c5 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Is-Slovakkja, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet limitata (0%).
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatGħolja
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
band_applied_to
upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
dependence_limited_max_pct
10
dependence_moderate_max_pct
33
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
band
limited
unit
% of imported tonnes
period
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
commodity
refined product
dimension
DIRECT_PRODUCT
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_max_pct
0
value_min_pct
0
exposure_status
COMPUTED
statement_topic
hormuz
value_point_pct
0
observation_date
2022-02-01
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.dependence.point v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0f445f30c4e6beaf8737968c355e1a45ff35e6ec23332d5758027cf5fdaaea9a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Noli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["freight rates"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 06b89c2e9e647323c15398c394cf050a39c9a42ef3b469967cce5fff091ed96a · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refined-product benchmark"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità eacf068451f42ad71340259d5f692acb03bf66b7a7d6f730ade5a819ff7d1005 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Prezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["wholesale prices"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0a8ec24923eb853f8772aa729f8ec775267350a63bc1d8e64f27facfb62978a7 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Marġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
source
CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
true
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
channels
["refining margin"]
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
reason_code
NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
statement_topic
event
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.channel.unavailable v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 92e561b810be016411f6a7bbc96381cc8ebec1f6df6e0ae2fd7fc342f4dc1c9f · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
L-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (is-Slovakkja, Frar 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +1.8%.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Slovakia
change_pct
1.8255833634137297
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_tonnes
464748
baseline_months
12
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
baseline_mean_tonnes
456415.75
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
baseline_not_published_months
0
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
min_baseline_months
6
baseline_months_used
12
supply_reduction_pct
-10
supply_baseline_months
12
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
country
Slovakia
change_pct
1.8255833634137297
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
value_tonnes
464748
baseline_months
12
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
crude_imports_rule
crude_imports_total-1.1
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
baseline_mean_tonnes
456415.75
baseline_window_months
12
value_not_published_code
null
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
baseline_not_published_months
0
Mudell event.supply.no_reduction v1.2 · Marka tal-identità d72fb523cb35ef039883565ff3f574af2dd5b1c717ed96671ce57d0c3a87ea69 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Frar 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (is-Slovakkja) kienu 6.9% ogħla meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12), jiem ta’ kopertura: 108.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaIkkalkulatUffiċjali
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_SK
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
days_of_cover
108
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
1.061001229778763
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
1394564
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
1305153.75
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
6.850553047868881
trailing_12m_observations
12
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
band_applied_to
the rounded figure printed in the sentence
days_of_cover_basis
as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
trailing_window_months
12
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
6.850553047868881
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
6.9
inventory_material_deviation_pct
5
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
unit
tonnes
month
2022-02
status
OBSERVED
country
Slovakia
direction
above
siec_code
O4000
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
holder_type
STK_CL
series_code
INVENTORY_SK
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
days_of_cover
108
metric_status
COMPUTED
mom_change_pct
1.061001229778763
statement_topic
event
observation_date
2022-02-01
series_source_ids
["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
total_stock_tonnes
1394564
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
days_of_cover_basis
as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
methodology_version
1.0
observation_gap_days
23
trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
1305153.75
level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
6.850553047868881
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
trailing_12m_observations
12
Mudell event.inventory_level.above v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 2a22ac57351c4f647e58392a010e1fe9ec237d4cb6510eefe66728c4125411cd · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
Sommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (is-Slovakkja) madwar l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet limitata (0–0%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: is-SlovakkjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufa
Għaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Slovakia
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
dependence_band
limited
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
source
v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
channels_total
8
channels_available
4
verdict_partial_min_channels
3
verdict_assessable_min_channels
8
Inputs
t0
2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
event
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
country
Slovakia
event_name
Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
event_slug
ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
event_type
WAR
source_ids
["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
country_iso2
SK
country_name
Slovakia
country_slug
slovakia
dependence_band
limited
statement_topic
event
dependence_range
0–0%
channels_available
["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
supply_template_id
event.supply.no_reduction
calculation_version
event_statements-1.0
methodology_version
1.0
channels_unavailable
["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
study_calculation_version
event_study-1.0
Mudell event.verdict.partial v1.2 · Marka tal-identità 0416e0e62437403550b62fd1279c33d16264af9829aed408c5505454387b2d40 · kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC

X’ma jurix dan

Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.

Is-Slovakkja: provvista, raffineriji u prezzijiet fil-pompa →

Kif jinqraw it-tikketti

UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.

Europe Brent spot FOB

reported crude oil imports, all origins

crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since

rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE

esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1

esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2

esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma

crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)

stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom

not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi

Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi

total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes

US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).

Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja

nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati

marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa

prezz bl-ingrossa / rack

L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?

X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data

Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: is-Slovakkja, petrol (Euro-super 95)

X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza

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