Avvenimenti / Gwerra
L-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)
- Dati
- 24/02/2022 → l-ebda data tat-tmiem irreġistrata
- Preċiżjoni tad-data
- jum
- Status
- Għadu għaddej
- Ambitu
- L-Ukrajna
X’qalu s-sorsi (bl-Ingliż)
European Council, special meeting of 24 February 2022, document EUCO 18/22: "European Council conclusions on Russia's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine"; "The European Council condemns in the strongest possible terms the Russian Federation's unprovoked and unjustified military aggression against Ukraine." The conclusions are dated and headed 24 February 2022, which is the date recorded here. This row is a timeline marker only; it makes no statement about prices.
L-AIE, l-EIA, il-Kummissjoni Ewropea, il-Kunsill Ewropew u leġiżlaturi nazzjonali (iċċitati għal kull ringiela)Uffiċjali
Minn fejn ġejja d-data
UffiċjaliUffiċjali- Identifikatur tas-sett tad-data
- Fuel Origin: kronoloġija tal-avvenimenti, magħżula u mħejjija minna (data/reference/events.csv)events.csvreference_events_v1
- Perjodu
- mhux irreġistrat
- Miġbur
- 03/10/2026 19:34 UTC
- Tip
- Uffiċjali
- Trasformazzjoni
- xejn – maħżun eżatt kif ippubblikat
- Liċenzja
- Għal kull ringiela: kull ringiela tista’ tiġi traċċata lura għad-dokument tal-aġenzija jew leġiżlattiv imsemmi f’source_urls.
- Rekord ta’ avveniment jiddeskrivi x’ġara, mhux x’kien fl-oriġini tiegħu (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §5).
- Punti tat-tieqa b’valur osservat: 7,001 minn 10,179; il-bqija huma toqob irreġistrati, mhux żeri.
- Kanali mingħajr sors li jista’ jintuża: NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE, NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE, NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK, NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES, NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES.
Jekk tagħżel karburant, jinżammu s-serje ta’ dak il-karburant u l-kanali komuni għall-karburanti kollha – il-prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, ir-rata tal-kambju, l-importazzjonijiet taż-żejt mhux maħdum u l-esponiment għal Hormuz. Jitneħħew biss is-serje tal-karburant l-ieħor.
It-tieqa tal-avveniment
Kemm kienet tiswa kull serje fil-jiem madwar id-data tal-avveniment (minn -30 sa 90), kemm dan hu ’l bogħod mil-livell tal-istess serje fid-data tal-avveniment, u kemm hu kbir dak iċ-ċaqliq meta mqabbel mal-varjazzjoni normali tas-serje stess.
Spanja, Diżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi). Serje li jistgħu jitpinġew: 14; serje li ma jistgħu jidhru bl-ebda mod, murija hawn taħt bħala pannelli vojta b’tikketta: 6.
Qari ppubblikat: 156; punti tat-tieqa mingħajr xejn ippubblikat fi żmien perjodu wieħed: 26; punti tat-tieqa fuq serje li ma nistgħu naraw xejn minnhom: 78. Kollha jidhru f’din il-paġna.
Europe Brent spot FOB
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-25 | 89.49 | -11.800 | -11.65% | -2.69 |
| −14 | 2022-02-10 | 96.37 | -4.920 | -4.86% | -1.12 |
| −7 | 2022-02-17 | 95.28 | -6.010 | -5.93% | -1.37 |
| −3 | 2022-02-21 | 98.95 | -2.340 | -2.31% | -0.53 |
| −1 | 2022-02-23 | 99.29 | -2.000 | -1.97% | -0.46 |
| T0 | 2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 101.3 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-25 | 98.56 | -2.730 | -2.70% | -0.62 |
| +3 | 2022-02-25 | 98.56 | -2.730 | -2.70% | -0.62 |
| +7 | 2022-03-03 | 115.4 | +14.070 | +13.89% | +3.20 |
| +14 | 2022-03-10 | 114.5 | +13.250 | +13.08% | +3.02 |
| +30 | 2022-03-25 | 122.7 | +21.380 | +21.11% | +4.87 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 99.27 | -2.020 | -1.99% | -0.46 |
| +90 | 2022-05-25 | 116.4 | +15.120 | +14.93% | +3.44 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 4.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 767). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
reported crude oil imports, all origins
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-01 | 5,179,004 | +278,389 | +5.68% | +0.52 |
| −14 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −7 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −3 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 4,900,615 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-03-01 | 5,089,471 | +188,856 | +3.85% | +0.35 |
| +14 | 2022-03-01 | 5,089,471 | +188,856 | +3.85% | +0.35 |
| +30 | 2022-03-01 | 5,089,471 | +188,856 | +3.85% | +0.35 |
| +60 | 2022-04-01 | 5,380,109 | +479,494 | +9.78% | +0.90 |
| +90 | 2022-05-01 | 6,001,144 | +1,100,529 | +22.46% | +2.07 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 10.86%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
rata ta’ referenza tal-kambju tal-euro tal-BĊE
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-25 | 1.127 | +0.011 | +0.94% | +2.37 |
| −14 | 2022-02-10 | 1.144 | +0.028 | +2.47% | +6.23 |
| −7 | 2022-02-17 | 1.137 | +0.021 | +1.85% | +4.67 |
| −3 | 2022-02-21 | 1.134 | +0.017 | +1.57% | +3.95 |
| −1 | 2022-02-23 | 1.134 | +0.018 | +1.62% | +4.09 |
| T0 | 2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.116 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-25 | 1.122 | +0.005 | +0.47% | +1.20 |
| +3 | 2022-02-25 | 1.122 | +0.005 | +0.47% | +1.20 |
| +7 | 2022-03-03 | 1.108 | -0.009 | -0.78% | -1.96 |
| +14 | 2022-03-10 | 1.108 | -0.008 | -0.71% | -1.78 |
| +30 | 2022-03-25 | 1.100 | -0.016 | -1.44% | -3.64 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 1.075 | -0.042 | -3.74% | -9.42 |
| +90 | 2022-05-25 | 1.066 | -0.051 | -4.54% | -11.45 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.40%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 770). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum għal Hormuz D1
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-01 | 5.941–11.99 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2022-02-01 | 5.386–12.59 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2022-03-01 | 6.728–12.93 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2022-03-01 | 6.728–12.93 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2022-03-01 | 6.728–12.93 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2022-04-01 | 4.918–11.97 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2022-05-01 | 11.97–17.46 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
esponiment dirett tal-prodotti raffinati għal Hormuz D2
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab. Il-faxxa mdella hija l-firxa ammissibbli. Ma jitpinġa l-ebda punt tan-nofs: ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-01 | 0–8.117 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −14 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −7 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −3 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| −1 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| T0 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +1 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +3 | 2022-02-01 | 2.971–14.72 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +7 | 2022-03-01 | 0–11.30 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +14 | 2022-03-01 | 0–11.30 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +30 | 2022-03-01 | 0–11.30 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +60 | 2022-04-01 | 0–10.85 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
| +90 | 2022-05-01 | 0–19.54 | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat | mhux ippubblikat |
Għal din is-serje ma hija ppubblikata l-ebda volatilità normali: l-ebda bidla ma tingħata f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità. Dan huwa input nieqes, mhux żero.
esponiment tal-istokkijiet D7: jiem ta’ kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati, miżmuma kif inhuma
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-01 | 110.0 | -2.000 | -1.79% | -0.31 |
| −14 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −7 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −3 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 112.0 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-03-01 | 109.0 | -3.000 | -2.68% | -0.46 |
| +14 | 2022-03-01 | 109.0 | -3.000 | -2.68% | -0.46 |
| +30 | 2022-03-01 | 109.0 | -3.000 | -2.68% | -0.46 |
| +60 | 2022-04-01 | 105.0 | -7.000 | -6.25% | -1.08 |
| +90 | 2022-05-01 | 110.0 | -2.000 | -1.79% | -0.31 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 5.81%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
crude cost per litre: Brent in EUR/L averaged over the bulletin week (refinery yield not modelled)
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-24 | 0.5049 | -0.049 | -8.88% | -1.15 |
| −14 | 2022-02-07 | 0.5307 | -0.023 | -4.22% | -0.55 |
| −7 | 2022-02-14 | 0.5419 | -0.012 | -2.19% | -0.29 |
| −3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.5541 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.5541 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.5541 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.5541 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.5541 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-02-28 | 0.6491 | +0.095 | +17.15% | +2.23 |
| +14 | 2022-03-07 | 0.7014 | +0.147 | +26.58% | +3.45 |
| +30 | 2022-03-21 | 0.7064 | +0.152 | +27.49% | +3.57 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 0.6165 | +0.062 | +11.26% | +1.46 |
| +90 | 2022-05-23 | 0.6922 | +0.138 | +24.93% | +3.24 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 7.69%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
stokkijiet totali nazzjonali taż-żejt (Eurostat, detenturi kummerċjali), bil-jiem ta’ kopertura ppubblikati maġenbhom
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-01 | 14,794,471 | -275,153 | -1.83% | -0.48 |
| −14 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −7 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −3 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-01l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 15,069,624 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-03-01 | 14,551,468 | -518,156 | -3.44% | -0.91 |
| +14 | 2022-03-01 | 14,551,468 | -518,156 | -3.44% | -0.91 |
| +30 | 2022-03-01 | 14,551,468 | -518,156 | -3.44% | -0.91 |
| +60 | 2022-04-01 | 14,376,199 | -693,425 | -4.60% | -1.22 |
| +90 | 2022-05-01 | 14,887,270 | -182,354 | -1.21% | -0.32 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 3.77%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn xahar għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 35). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin bit-taxxi
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-24 | 1.404 | -0.076 | -5.11% | -5.26 |
| −14 | 2022-02-07 | 1.444 | -0.035 | -2.37% | -2.44 |
| −7 | 2022-02-14 | 1.463 | -0.017 | -1.13% | -1.17 |
| −3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.479 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.479 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.479 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.479 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 1.479 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-02-28 | 1.497 | +0.017 | +1.17% | +1.20 |
| +14 | 2022-03-07 | 1.581 | +0.102 | +6.86% | +7.05 |
| +30 | 2022-03-21 | 1.798 | +0.318 | +21.50% | +22.09 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 1.847 | +0.368 | +24.87% | +25.55 |
| +90 | 2022-05-23 | 1.867 | +0.388 | +26.19% | +26.91 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.97%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Prezz tal-Weekly Oil Bulletin mingħajr taxxi
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-24 | 0.7812 | -0.063 | -7.41% | -4.59 |
| −14 | 2022-02-07 | 0.8147 | -0.029 | -3.44% | -2.13 |
| −7 | 2022-02-14 | 0.8298 | -0.014 | -1.65% | -1.02 |
| −3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.8437 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.8437 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.8437 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.8437 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.8437 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-02-28 | 0.8580 | +0.014 | +1.69% | +1.05 |
| +14 | 2022-03-07 | 0.9276 | +0.084 | +9.94% | +6.16 |
| +30 | 2022-03-21 | 1.107 | +0.263 | +31.16% | +19.31 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 1.148 | +0.304 | +36.04% | +22.34 |
| +90 | 2022-05-23 | 1.164 | +0.320 | +37.96% | +23.53 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 1.61%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
total tax per litre: price with taxes minus price without taxes
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa. Mill-inqas valur wieħed użat ġie ppubblikat barra mit-tieqa (−30 sa +90); l-assi huwa estiż biex juri fejn fil-fatt jinsab.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-24 | 0.6226 | -0.013 | -2.07% | -6.06 |
| −14 | 2022-02-07 | 0.6297 | -0.006 | -0.96% | -2.81 |
| −7 | 2022-02-14 | 0.6329 | -0.003 | -0.46% | -1.34 |
| −3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.6358 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.6358 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.6358 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.6358 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +3 | 2022-02-21l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 0.6358 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +7 | 2022-02-28 | 0.6388 | +0.003 | +0.47% | +1.38 |
| +14 | 2022-03-07 | 0.6534 | +0.018 | +2.77% | +8.13 |
| +30 | 2022-03-21 | 0.6910 | +0.055 | +8.69% | +25.48 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 0.6996 | +0.064 | +10.04% | +29.46 |
| +90 | 2022-05-23 | 0.7030 | +0.067 | +10.58% | +31.04 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 0.34%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn ġimgħa għal oħra) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 148). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US diesel spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-25 | 22.61 | +1.846 | +8.89% | +1.05 |
| −14 | 2022-02-10 | 25.09 | +4.332 | +20.87% | +2.47 |
| −7 | 2022-02-17 | 23.41 | +2.650 | +12.76% | +1.51 |
| −3 | 2022-02-18 | 21.50 | +0.742 | +3.57% | +0.42 |
| −1 | 2022-02-23 | 20.03 | -0.730 | -3.52% | -0.42 |
| T0 | 2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 20.76 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-25 | 22.06 | +1.302 | +6.27% | +0.74 |
| +3 | 2022-02-25 | 22.06 | +1.302 | +6.27% | +0.74 |
| +7 | 2022-03-03 | 37.39 | +16.632 | +80.11% | +9.48 |
| +14 | 2022-03-10 | 30.44 | +9.682 | +46.63% | +5.52 |
| +30 | 2022-03-25 | 55.41 | +34.648 | +166.88% | +19.75 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 80.15 | +59.392 | +286.06% | +33.85 |
| +90 | 2022-05-25 | 54.28 | +33.516 | +161.43% | +19.10 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 8.45%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US gasoline spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-25 | 15.43 | -1.934 | -11.14% | -0.06 |
| −14 | 2022-02-10 | 17.95 | +0.594 | +3.42% | +0.02 |
| −7 | 2022-02-17 | 18.67 | +1.306 | +7.52% | +0.04 |
| −3 | 2022-02-18 | 19.03 | +1.666 | +9.60% | +0.05 |
| −1 | 2022-02-23 | 17.39 | +0.026 | +0.15% | +0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 17.36 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-25 | 18.28 | +0.924 | +5.32% | +0.03 |
| +3 | 2022-02-25 | 18.28 | +0.924 | +5.32% | +0.03 |
| +7 | 2022-03-03 | 18.33 | +0.966 | +5.56% | +0.03 |
| +14 | 2022-03-10 | 13.10 | -4.262 | -24.55% | -0.14 |
| +30 | 2022-03-25 | 16.69 | -0.674 | -3.88% | -0.02 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 36.43 | +19.072 | +109.86% | +0.61 |
| +90 | 2022-05-25 | 47.31 | +29.946 | +172.50% | +0.95 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 180.80%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
US proxy - not a European price: US jet spot minus Brent spot, USD per barrel. A proxy for the Atlantic-basin product market, NOT a measure of European refining margins (§H).
x: jiem mid-data tal-avveniment. Kull marka tinsab fid-data li fiha ċ-ċifra ġiet ippubblikata: hekk ir-regola tal-aħħar valur magħruf tagħti valur lil kull punt tat-tieqa.
| Punt tat-tieqa | Valur użat | Valur | Δ ass. | Δ % | Unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −30 | 2022-01-25 | 13.79 | +0.796 | +6.13% | +0.04 |
| −14 | 2022-02-10 | 16.48 | +3.492 | +26.88% | +0.15 |
| −7 | 2022-02-17 | 13.25 | +0.256 | +1.97% | +0.01 |
| −3 | 2022-02-18 | 12.98 | -0.014 | -0.11% | -0.00 |
| −1 | 2022-02-23 | 12.89 | -0.100 | -0.77% | -0.00 |
| T0 | 2022-02-24l-istess valur ippubblikat bħal T0 | 12.99 | 0.000 | 0.00% | 0.00 |
| +1 | 2022-02-25 | 14.50 | +1.512 | +11.64% | +0.07 |
| +3 | 2022-02-25 | 14.50 | +1.512 | +11.64% | +0.07 |
| +7 | 2022-03-03 | 23.95 | +10.962 | +84.38% | +0.48 |
| +14 | 2022-03-10 | 16.37 | +3.382 | +26.03% | +0.15 |
| +30 | 2022-03-25 | 37.98 | +24.988 | +192.33% | +1.10 |
| +60 | 2022-04-25 | 78.26 | +65.272 | +502.40% | +2.88 |
| +90 | 2022-05-25 | 40.71 | +27.720 | +213.36% | +1.22 |
Unità ta’ volatilità għal din is-serje hija 174.63%: id-devjazzjoni standard tal-bidliet perċentwali tagħha stess (minn jum għal ieħor) matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel l-avveniment (bidliet: 751). Mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza.
Mhux disponibbli: imblukkat mil-liċenzja
Jeżisti sors, iżda l-liċenzja tiegħu ma tippermettilniex nippubblikawh mill-ġdid. Dawn il-kanali mhumiex neqsin mid-dinja, iżda biss minn din il-paġna.
nol tat-tankers “dirty” mill-Golf Għarbi lejn il-Majjistral tal-Ewropa
In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED).
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
prezz ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati
Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
marġni tar-raffinar / crack spread tal-Majjistral tal-Ewropa
M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
prezz bl-ingrossa / rack
Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED).
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
Mhux disponibbli: raġuni mhux ikklassifikata
L-API ta kodiċi ta’ raġuni li din il-paġna ma tagħrafx. Is-sentenza tiegħu tintwera hawn taħt kif inhi.
crude-only expected pre-tax price: the T0 bulletin-week price plus what the stored pass-through curves say crude alone would have done since
La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
not explained by crude: actual pre-tax change since T0 minus the crude-only expected change. Never attributed
La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant: m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa.
Punti tat-tieqa milquta: 13.
T0: 24/02/2022. Tieqa ta’ referenza: jiem -90 sa -31. Punti tat-tieqa kkalkulati: -30, -14, -7, -3, -1, 0, 1, 3, 7, 14, 30, 60, 90. Metodu: 1.0, kalkolu: event_study-1.0, ikkalkulat: 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC.
L-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: huwa tassew ir-raġuni?
Il-mistoqsija tinqasam f’dimensjonijiet li jitkejlu separatament u qatt ma jingħaddu f’numru wieħed. Kull ringiela tgħid jekk nistgħux naraw dik id-dimensjoni, u tagħti ċifra ppubblikata waħda fejn nistgħu.
Mit-tmien kanali ta’ trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet li jirrapporta dan is-sit, kanali b’data f’dan il-kalkolu: 4 Ikkalkulat – għadd tar-ringieli ta’ hawn taħt, mhux kejl.
Metodoloġija §11.1 tippubblika l-limiti li jużaw is-sentenzi ta’ hawn taħt: it-tmien kanali kollha preżenti għall-paragun sħiħ, mill-inqas tlieta biex l-istqarrija tkun tista’ tiġi ttestjata hawn, u 2.0 unitajiet ta’ volatilità biex ċaqliq jiġi deskritt bħala barra mill-varjazzjoni normali ta’ serje. Dawn huma għażliet ta’ kliem ippubblikati, mhux testijiet statistiċi.
| Dimensjoni | Status | Ċifra ppubblikata, jew għaliex m’hemmx |
|---|---|---|
| Esponiment dirett taż-żejt mhux maħdum (D1)Sehem miż-żejt mhux maħdum importat li r-rotta tiegħu teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz. | Firxa biss | 6.728–12.93 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs |
| Esponiment dirett tal-prodotti (D2)Sehem mill-prodotti raffinati importati li r-rotta tagħhom teħtieġ l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz. | Firxa biss | 0–11.30 % tat-tunnellati importati punt tat-tieqa +30 d (2022-03) · l-ebda punt tan-nofs |
| Kopertura tal-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza (D7)Il-jiem ta’ kopertura li jammontaw għalihom il-ħażniet ta’ emerġenza ppubblikati. Riżerva kontra interruzzjoni tal-provvista, mhux sehem mill-importazzjonijiet, u mhux kanal tal-prezz. | Osservat | 109.0 kopertura (jiem) punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)-2.68% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.46 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdumIl-prezz kwotat taż-żejt mhux maħdum li fuqu jiġu pprezzati t-tagħbijiet Ewropej. | Osservat | 122.7 $ għal kull barmil punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-25)+21.11% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +4.87 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinatiIl-prezz kwotat tal-prodotti li fuqu jipprezzaw ir-raffineriji u l-bejjiegħa bl-ingrossa. | Mhux disponibbli | Il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom. |
| Marġni tar-raffinarKemm qala’ r-raffinar ta’ barmil f’dan il-prodott. | Mhux disponibbli | M’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid. |
| NoliKemm swiet il-ġarr tal-merkanzija bil-baħar. | Mhux disponibbli | In-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers (ringiela 17: BLOCKED). |
| StokkijietL-istokkijiet miżmuma, li jassorbu jew ikabbru bidla fil-provvista. | Osservat | 14,551,468 t punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-01)-3.44% mil-livell ta’ T0 = -0.91 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezzijiet bl-ingrossaIl-prezz bejn il-bieb tar-raffinerija u l-pompa tal-petrol. | Mhux disponibbli | Is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni (ringiela 16: BLOCKED). |
| Prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxiIl-prezz fil-pompa mingħajr id-dazju tas-sisa, il-VAT u taxxi oħra fuq il-karburant. | Osservat | 1.107 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+31.16% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +19.31 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
| Prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxiDak li fil-fatt ħallas sewwieq. | Osservat | 1.798 € għal kull litru punt tat-tieqa +30 d (ippubblikat: 2022-03-21)+21.50% mil-livell ta’ T0 = +22.09 unitajiet ta’ volatilità |
L-esponiment fiżiku (l-Istrett ta’ Hormuz) u l-esponiment tal-prezz huma mistoqsijiet differenti. Pajjiż kważi mingħajr esponiment fiżiku dirett xorta jista’ jara l-prezz fil-pompa tiegħu jiċċaqlaq: iż-żejt mhux maħdum jiġi pprezzat fuq livell globali – u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
X’għamel il-prezz fil-pompa madwar din id-data
Il-paġna tal-qsim tal-prezz tista’ tiġi ffissata fuq il-ġimgħat madwar id-data tal-avveniment, biex iċ-ċaqliq fil-pompa jinqasam fit-taxxa, fl-ispiża tal-input u fil-parti li l-ispiża tal-input ma tkoprix.
Qsim tal-prezz (17/02/2022 – 26/03/2022) →
It-tieqa hija madwar id-data ppubblikata tal-avveniment (jiem qabel: 7; jiem wara: 30). Hija tieqa biex wieħed iħares, mhux dikjarazzjoni li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ dak li fiha.
Attwali kontra ż-żejt mhux maħdum biss: Spanja, diżil (żejt tal-gass għall-vetturi)
X’għamel il-prezz mingħajr taxxi minn erba’ ġimgħat qabel sa tlettax-il ġimgħa wara l-ġimgħa tal-avveniment, ħdejn dak li kien jagħmel li kieku segwa biss l-ispiża tal-input taż-żejt mhux maħdum bil-pass li tkejjel l-istima maħżuna tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet. Id-differenza mdella mhix spjegata miż-żejt mhux maħdum; mhix attribwita lill-avveniment jew lil xi ħaġa oħra.
Il-paragun maż-żejt mhux maħdum biss ma setax jinqara.
API 404 for /api/events/ru-invasion-ukraine-2022/crude-only: No stored crude-only run for 'ru-invasion-ukraine-2022' and country 'spain'. Runs are stored for the pilot countries; available_countries lists them.
X’jappoġġaw in-numri, sentenza b’sentenza
Kull sentenza ġejja minn mudell fiss, magħżul skont limiti ppubblikati. Iftaħ “Għaliex din is-sentenza” biex tara n-numri li għażluha. L-ebda parti minn dan it-test mhi miktuba minn mudell lingwistiku, u l-ebda parti minnu ma tattribwixxi kawża.
Fil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’+1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.0 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 0.85693
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 7.260543670851004
- t0_value
- 0.8427300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.6849999406690017
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.0144839851750576
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.01419999999999988
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.6849999406690017
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.6609428687809609
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.0144839851750576
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 0.85693
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 7.260543670851004
- t0_value
- 0.8427300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.6849999406690017
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.0144839851750576
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.01419999999999988
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.6849999406690017
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.6609428687809609
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.0144839851750576
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàf53fae4e087e6fec6664b839cf8bf629e5099a737e75f5166760389a386628d3· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’+21.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’13.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.026
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.099914205911332
- t0_value
- 0.8427300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 21.747178811719046
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 13.0932732368334
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.18326999999999993
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.747178811719046
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.6609428687809609
- change_in_volatility_units
- 13.0932732368334
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.026
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.099914205911332
- t0_value
- 0.8427300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 21.747178811719046
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 13.0932732368334
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.18326999999999993
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.747178811719046
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.6609428687809609
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 13.0932732368334
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàecf95650f2c6440e7b84c6b3bc45d2393e5ffb29c0afd50f7ef6735b90f30e95· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’+34.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’20.6 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.13091
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 28.066900441394736
- t0_value
- 0.8427300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 34.1960058381688
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 20.58830949632046
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.28818
- change_pct_from_t0
- 34.1960058381688
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.6609428687809609
- change_in_volatility_units
- 20.58830949632046
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.13091
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 28.066900441394736
- t0_value
- 0.8427300000000001
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 34.1960058381688
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 20.58830949632046
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.28818
- change_pct_from_t0
- 34.1960058381688
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.6609428687809609
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 20.58830949632046
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità3bb8d96222f68dc33035402aae4c63edfcd3e3417bb3f2b6c88d0151d77c0bb5· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’+1.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.60884
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 7.261790807741374
- t0_value
- 1.59166
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.0793762486963279
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.1999904695769086
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.017179999999999973
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.0793762486963279
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.8994873509927901
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.1999904695769086
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.60884
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 7.261790807741374
- t0_value
- 1.59166
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 1.0793762486963279
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.1999904695769086
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.017179999999999973
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.0793762486963279
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.8994873509927901
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.1999904695769086
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità074a173774c9ad3443a3dcfadad86cefd31d9980265497b219e1afc48047ed08· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’+13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’15.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.8134100000000002
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.103080046101173
- t0_value
- 1.59166
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 13.93199552668284
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 15.48881761517346
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.2217500000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- 13.93199552668284
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.8994873509927901
- change_in_volatility_units
- 15.48881761517346
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.8134100000000002
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.103080046101173
- t0_value
- 1.59166
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 13.93199552668284
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 15.48881761517346
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.2217500000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- 13.93199552668284
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.8994873509927901
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 15.48881761517346
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità0d15bf6716ae2dd28335d82c8e1db9cd9b756268773cb8767089b6b3e8938836· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (petrol, Spanja) inbidel b’+21.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’24.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.9403599999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 28.07199860116678
- t0_value
- 1.59166
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 21.90794516416821
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 24.35603473466056
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.3486999999999998
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.90794516416821
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.8994873509927901
- change_in_volatility_units
- 24.35603473466056
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.9403599999999999
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 28.07199860116678
- t0_value
- 1.59166
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- change_pct
- 21.90794516416821
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 24.35603473466056
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.3486999999999998
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.90794516416821
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.8994873509927901
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 24.35603473466056
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità71610f0199fe6272dcd2ae7c3b8a45c93d4f32a8e0ac34991509120dd61e7df5· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’+1.7%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.1 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 0.85802
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 6.306628116912202
- t0_value
- 0.84372
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 1.6948750770397738
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.0504130667255565
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.01429999999999998
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.6948750770397738
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.613531981588151
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.0504130667255565
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 0.85802
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 6.306628116912202
- t0_value
- 0.84372
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 1.6948750770397738
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.0504130667255565
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.01429999999999998
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.6948750770397738
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.613531981588151
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.0504130667255565
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità7e47a73ddf500f0a9e0a1031575ab72f8249bdc298011fd3548cbf3075f959ed· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’+31.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’19.3 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.10664
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.61767325029919
- t0_value
- 0.84372
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 31.161996870999864
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 19.312909335907953
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.26292000000000004
- change_pct_from_t0
- 31.161996870999864
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.613531981588151
- change_in_volatility_units
- 19.312909335907953
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.10664
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.61767325029919
- t0_value
- 0.84372
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 31.161996870999864
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 19.312909335907953
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.26292000000000004
- change_pct_from_t0
- 31.161996870999864
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.613531981588151
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 19.312909335907953
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàbd5f55bd26c070cd934c027f1b0d71986255291a1803dc17593208af1c585685· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’+38.0%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’23.5 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.164
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 23.919425116002174
- t0_value
- 0.84372
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 37.96046081638457
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 23.526314476284025
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.3202799999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 37.96046081638457
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.613531981588151
- change_in_volatility_units
- 23.526314476284025
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.164
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 23.919425116002174
- t0_value
- 0.84372
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 37.96046081638457
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_PRETAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- pre-tax
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 23.526314476284025
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.3202799999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 37.96046081638457
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 1.613531981588151
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 23.526314476284025
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàcab89ffc475e2bd32050fbb560a1a92f4bd99598b3406cfbf22a289ebd93ae26· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’+1.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’1.2 — ġewwa dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.49679
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 6.305860058908368
- t0_value
- 1.47949
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 1.1693218609115366
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.2014545432065753
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.017300000000000093
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.1693218609115366
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.9732551826644398
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.2014545432065753
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.49679
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 6.305860058908368
- t0_value
- 1.47949
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 1.1693218609115366
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-02-28
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 1.2014545432065753
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.017300000000000093
- change_pct_from_t0
- 1.1693218609115366
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 3
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.9732551826644398
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 1.2014545432065753
Mudell
event.price_move.within_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàdce8db1fccd7fc5cfe307bec851809bef8a4ebf37ad36ba76714c78541c4efdd· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’+21.5%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’22.1 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.79763
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.616235649162153
- t0_value
- 1.47949
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 21.50335588614996
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 22.094262911892365
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.3181400000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.50335588614996
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.9732551826644398
- change_in_volatility_units
- 22.094262911892365
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.79763
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 20.616235649162153
- t0_value
- 1.47949
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 21.50335588614996
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-03-21
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 22.094262911892365
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.3181400000000001
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.50335588614996
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 5
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.9732551826644398
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 22.094262911892365
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità306a1856eac3b1011c9d37c89fdb37121722b89c9b71f048509ac5c25eb34ea9· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz bit-taxxi inklużi (diżil, Spanja) inbidel b’+26.2%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn ġimgħa għal oħra matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’26.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.86703
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 23.91745911001713
- t0_value
- 1.47949
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 26.194161501598522
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 26.913970732616978
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.38754
- change_pct_from_t0
- 26.194161501598522
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.9732551826644398
- change_in_volatility_units
- 26.913970732616978
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (week-to-week)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- unit
- EUR/L
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 1.86703
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- z_score
- 23.91745911001713
- t0_value
- 1.47949
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- change_pct
- 26.194161501598522
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- RETAIL_INCLTAX_ES_DIESEL
- series_kind
- tax-inclusive
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- week-to-week
- observation_date
- 2022-05-23
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 26.913970732616978
- series_source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 0.38754
- change_pct_from_t0
- 26.194161501598522
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 2
- normal_volatility_pct
- 0.9732551826644398
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 26.913970732616978
Mudell
event.price_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità7f95552b5cf62823bff605e059d22043b7c305efcab1ee5f79acd039f2fb7886· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCX’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (petrol, Spanja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
pajjiż: SpanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Spain
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- proxy_product
- null
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- petrol
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Spain
- fuel_type
- EURO_SUPER_95
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_EURO_SUPER_95
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- proxy_product
- null
- statement_topic
- event
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Mudell
event.crude_only.unknownv1.2 · Marka tal-identità037461dba5dc3443f22bb72d46996e5077b3cb8e28423449f857d2ffa7980e1c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCX’kienu jagħmlu l-ispejjeż taż-żejt mhux maħdum waħedhom lill-prezz mingħajr taxxi (diżil, Spanja) fil-perjodu ta’ 4 ġimgħat wara l-punt ta’ referenza (l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”) huwa MHUX MAGĦRUF: La l-aktar tieqa riċenti ta’ tliet snin tat-trażmissjoni tal-prezzijiet u lanqas il-kampjun kollu m’għandhom stima IKKALKULATA għal dan il-pajjiż u karburant (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §4.5): m’hemm l-ebda reazzjoni mkejla għaż-żejt mhux maħdum x’tiġi proġettata. Ma jintuża l-ebda sostitut bħal trażmissjoni sħiħa (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.2).
pajjiż: SpanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Spain
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- proxy_product
- null
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Limiti
- source
- docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.7; horizons are a v1 choice of this module
- proxy_rule
- the proxy sentence is added only when the US crack spread proxy moved by at least UNUSUAL_MOVE_VOLATILITY_UNITS of its normal day-to-day variation over the same weeks
- confidence_cap
- MEDIUM (docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §7.5)
- statement_weeks
- [4,13]
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- fuel
- diesel
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- weeks
- 4
- status
- UNKNOWN
- country
- Spain
- fuel_type
- DIESEL
- gap_label
- NOT_EXPLAINED_BY_CRUDE
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_COMPUTED_PASS_THROUGH_ESTIMATE
- series_code
- CRUDE_ONLY_EXPECTED_ES_DIESEL
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- proxy_product
- null
- statement_topic
- event
- gap_eur_per_litre
- null
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- actual_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_eur_per_litre
- null
- proxy_volatility_units
- null
- proxy_change_usd_per_bbl
- null
- pass_through_window_label
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- expected_low_eur_per_litre
- null
- expected_high_eur_per_litre
- null
Mudell
event.crude_only.unknownv1.2 · Marka tal-identitàeaf1397cb40349627d002a669090c2cdc3d47b1631bafc3da4e90a58f871f2bc· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCSpanja, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (5%–13%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-02
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Spain
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- value_max_pct
- 12.5903377433241
- value_min_pct
- 5.38610527454207
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-02
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Spain
- commodity
- crude
- dimension
- DIRECT_CRUDE
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- value_max_pct
- 12.5903377433241
- value_min_pct
- 5.38610527454207
- exposure_status
- RANGE_ONLY
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.dependence.rangev1.2 · Marka tal-identità91d482b3f719ea1ff816cc3c5ca76612f529c42d4b41fd5fb562e1940344f982· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCSpanja, Frar 2022: id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (prodott raffinat) kienet moderata (3%–15%). Ma tiġi ppubblikata l-ebda stima ta’ punt waħdu: il-pajjiżi sħab ikkonċernati jesportaw kemm minn ġewwa kif ukoll minn barra l-Golf Persjan, u l-qsim għal kull perjodu mhux pubbliku.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatMedjaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-02
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Spain
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- value_max_pct
- 14.7162972753563
- value_min_pct
- 2.97077865578417
- exposure_status
- PARTIAL
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md §9 publishes no bands
- band_applied_to
- upper bound of the range (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md §3.2: a range has no meaningful midpoint)
- dependence_limited_max_pct
- 10
- dependence_moderate_max_pct
- 33
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- band
- moderate
- unit
- % of imported tonnes
- period
- 2022-02
- status
- NO_OBSERVATION
- country
- Spain
- commodity
- refined product
- dimension
- DIRECT_PRODUCT
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- value_max_pct
- 14.7162972753563
- value_min_pct
- 2.97077865578417
- exposure_status
- PARTIAL
- statement_topic
- hormuz
- value_point_pct
- null
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.dependence.rangev1.2 · Marka tal-identità8308856ad779d8d2c13c6ad658399581e3b8890fe15014993b883d92e16333e1· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCL-evidenza disponibbli ma turix tnaqqis fiżiku fil-provvista: l-importazzjonijiet irrappurtati taż-żejt mhux maħdum (Spanja, Frar 2022) meta mqabbla mal-medja tax-xhur ta’ qabel (12): +3.4%.
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-02
- country
- Spain
- change_pct
- 3.3970349100187764
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- value_tonnes
- 4900615
- baseline_months
- 12
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 4739608.833333333
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no cut-off
- min_baseline_months
- 6
- baseline_months_used
- 12
- supply_reduction_pct
- -10
- supply_baseline_months
- 12
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-02
- country
- Spain
- change_pct
- 3.3970349100187764
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- value_tonnes
- 4900615
- baseline_months
- 12
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm"]
- crude_imports_rule
- crude_imports_total-1.1
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- baseline_mean_tonnes
- 4739608.833333333
- baseline_window_months
- 12
- value_not_published_code
- null
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- baseline_not_published_months
- 0
Mudell
event.supply.no_reductionv1.2 · Marka tal-identità1be842cb097251474c67ab218d5465a21b73640883e49c172ad4d3e188cc7bc3· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFrar 2022: l-istokkijiet taż-żejt (Spanja) kienu 3.0% aktar baxxi meta mqabbla mal-medja mobbli tagħhom (xhur: 12) — ġewwa l-faxxa ta’ 5% fuq kull naħa li dan is-sit jaqra bħala konformi magħha, jiem ta’ kopertura: 112.0 (kif ippubblikati).
pajjiż: SpanjaIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- direction
- below
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_ES
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- days_of_cover
- 112
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- 1.8598366916938092
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 15069624
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- observation_gap_days
- 23
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 15537209
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- -3.009452984767084
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/METHODOLOGY.md publishes no band
- band_applied_to
- the rounded figure printed in the sentence
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published (Eurostat nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); never stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- trailing_window_months
- 12
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_raw
- -3.009452984767084
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct_shown
- -3
- inventory_material_deviation_pct
- 5
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- tonnes
- month
- 2022-02
- status
- OBSERVED
- country
- Spain
- direction
- below
- siec_code
- O4000
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- holder_type
- STK_CL
- series_code
- INVENTORY_ES
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- days_of_cover
- 112
- metric_status
- COMPUTED
- mom_change_pct
- 1.8598366916938092
- statement_topic
- event
- observation_date
- 2022-02-01
- series_source_ids
- ["eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm"]
- total_stock_tonnes
- 15069624
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- days_of_cover_basis
- as published by Eurostat (nrg_stk_oem, STK_EUE_DIR); not stocks divided by consumption (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md D7)
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 23
- trailing_12m_mean_tonnes
- 15537209
- level_vs_trailing_12m_pct
- -3.009452984767084
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- trailing_12m_observations
- 12
Mudell
event.inventory_level.in_linev1.2 · Marka tal-identità02058155fb5349ca83a666d0bf07a9cdbf1badf901c3ac9ebbba1126c554b139· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCSommarju ta’ x’jista’ jiġi vverifikat hawn
Parti biss mill-katina tista’ tiġi vverifikata għal dan il-pajjiż (Spanja) madwar l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”: serje disponibbli: 4 minn 8 (prezz ta’ referenza taż-żejt mhux maħdum, stokkijiet, prezz fil-pompa mingħajr taxxi u prezz fil-pompa bit-taxxi); mhux disponibbli: prezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati, marġni tar-raffinar, noli u prezzijiet bl-ingrossa. Kull dikjarazzjoni bbażata fuq ir-rabtiet neqsin ma tistax tiġi ttestjata hawn. Id-dipendenza fiżika diretta marbuta ma’ Hormuz (żejt mhux maħdum) kienet moderata (5–13%) matul il-perjodu kopert. Din il-paġna tiddeskrivi x’għamlet kull serje madwar id-data tal-avveniment. Mhijiex sejba dwar kawża: l-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet fl-istess tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
pajjiż: SpanjaMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- country
- Spain
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- dependence_band
- moderate
- dependence_range
- 5–13%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.no_reduction
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; the channel list is docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.3
- channels_total
- 8
- channels_available
- 4
- verdict_partial_min_channels
- 3
- verdict_assessable_min_channels
- 8
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- country
- Spain
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- country_iso2
- ES
- country_name
- Spain
- country_slug
- spain
- dependence_band
- moderate
- statement_topic
- event
- dependence_range
- 5–13%
- channels_available
- ["crude benchmark","inventories","pre-tax pump price","pump price with tax"]
- supply_template_id
- event.supply.no_reduction
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- channels_unavailable
- ["refined-product benchmark","refining margin","freight rates","wholesale prices"]
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.verdict.partialv1.2 · Marka tal-identità511dc49ad3be8bf31f605b0391ecc1921f646885fdb751183059d2be25246eb8· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 7 jiem wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+13.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.2 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 115.36
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 5.841150770454914
- t0_value
- 101.29
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 13.890808569454036
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-03-03
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.203825480890899
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 14.069999999999993
- change_pct_from_t0
- 13.890808569454036
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.335694516541323
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.203825480890899
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 115.36
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 5.841150770454914
- t0_value
- 101.29
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 13.890808569454036
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 7
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-03-03
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.203825480890899
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 14.069999999999993
- change_pct_from_t0
- 13.890808569454036
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.335694516541323
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.203825480890899
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità499e14f143cd15685ef1480ed3fa89cd45abe5f0647c7ec6a69249dfc87c1dd1· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 30 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+21.1%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’4.9 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 122.67
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 6.996054504576924
- t0_value
- 101.29
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 21.107710534109977
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-03-25
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 4.868357411616733
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 21.379999999999995
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.107710534109977
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.335694516541323
- change_in_volatility_units
- 4.868357411616733
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 122.67
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 6.996054504576924
- t0_value
- 101.29
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 21.107710534109977
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 30
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-03-25
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 4.868357411616733
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 21.379999999999995
- change_pct_from_t0
- 21.107710534109977
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 1
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.335694516541323
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 4.868357411616733
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità216049ee46b7aafc7c24ef4f74d592168c4ca36a76f9b7e30eb4f402126d0f04· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCFil-perjodu ta’ 90 jum wara l-avveniment “l-invażjoni Russa tal-Ukrajna (24 ta’ Frar 2022)”, il-prezz ta’ referenza (żejt mhux maħdum Brent) inbidel b’+14.9%, jiġifieri l-varjazzjoni normali tiegħu minn jum għal ieħor matul it-tliet snin ta’ qabel immultiplikata b’3.4 — barra minn dik il-firxa.
dwar l-avveniment kolluIkkalkulatUffiċjaliGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 116.41
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 6.007039815711837
- t0_value
- 101.29
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 14.927436074637171
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-05-25
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.4429169346887267
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 15.11999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 14.927436074637171
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.335694516541323
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.4429169346887267
Limiti
- source
- v1 choice of this module; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.2 requires the comparison but publishes no cut-off
- volatility_definition
- sample sd of period-over-period % changes over the 3 years before T0, at the series' own frequency (day-to-day)
- unusual_move_volatility_units
- 2
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- unit
- $/BBL
- event
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- value
- 116.41
- status
- OBSERVED
- z_score
- 6.007039815711837
- t0_value
- 101.29
- benchmark
- Brent crude
- change_pct
- 14.927436074637171
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- offset_days
- 90
- series_code
- BRENT
- statement_topic
- event
- variation_label
- day-to-day
- observation_date
- 2022-05-25
- same_observation
- false
- volatility_units
- 3.4429169346887267
- series_source_ids
- ["eia_brent_rbrte"]
- change_abs_from_t0
- 15.11999999999999
- change_pct_from_t0
- 14.927436074637171
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- observation_gap_days
- 0
- normal_volatility_pct
- 4.335694516541323
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
- change_in_volatility_units
- 3.4429169346887267
Mudell
event.benchmark_move.outside_normalv1.2 · Marka tal-identità3c4d928f0edacc86e86f81949df4a6221c6a157e987b0435ccf81af9f53e267c· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCNoli – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: in-noli tat-tankers huma soġġetti għal liċenzji li jipprojbixxu espressament il-wiri pubbliku, it-trażmissjoni lil oħrajn u d-data derivata, kif ivverifikat kelma b’kelma, u l-ebda istituzzjoni miftuħa ma tippubblika nol tat-tankers.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["freight rates"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_FREIGHT_SOURCE
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità06b89c2e9e647323c15398c394cf050a39c9a42ef3b469967cce5fff091ed96a· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCPrezz ta’ referenza tal-prodotti raffinati – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti raffinati (Platts / Argus) huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni. Il-crack spreads tal-Istati Uniti mhumiex indikatur validu għall-UE u ma jitqegħdux minflokhom.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refined-product benchmark"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_PRODUCT_BENCHMARK
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identitàeacf068451f42ad71340259d5f692acb03bf66b7a7d6f730ade5a819ff7d1005· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCPrezzijiet bl-ingrossa – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: is-serje tal-prezzijiet bl-ingrossa / rack huma proprjetarji, mingħajr dritt ta’ ridistribuzzjoni.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["wholesale prices"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_LICENSED_WHOLESALE_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità0a8ec24923eb853f8772aa729f8ec775267350a63bc1d8e64f27facfb62978a7· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTCMarġni tar-raffinar – reazzjoni: l-evalwazzjoni mhix possibbli. Raġuni: m’għandna l-ebda serje ppubblikata tal-marġni tar-raffinar, u biex nikkalkulaw marġni aħna stess ikollna bżonn il-prezzijiet ta’ referenza tal-UE għall-prodotti, soġġetti għal liċenzja, li ma jistgħux jiġu ppubblikati mill-ġdid.
dwar l-avveniment kolluMhux magħrufMhux magħrufaGħaliex din is-sentenza (bl-Ingliż)
Varjabbli
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
Limiti
- source
- CLAUDE.md §1; docs/PRICE_MODEL.md §2.1 (a series with no licensed source is visible as a gap)
- any_missing_channel_is_disclosed
- true
Inputs
- t0
- 2022-02-24T00:00:00+00:00
- channels
- ["refining margin"]
- event_name
- Russian invasion of Ukraine (24 February 2022)
- event_slug
- ru-invasion-ukraine-2022
- event_type
- WAR
- source_ids
- ["ec_weekly_oil_bulletin","ecb_exr_reference_rates","eia_brent_rbrte","eia_us_product_spot","eurostat_nrg_stk_oem","eurostat_nrg_stk_oilm","eurostat_nrg_ti_oilm","reference_hormuz_v1"]
- reason_code
- NO_REFINERY_MARGIN_SERIES
- statement_topic
- event
- calculation_version
- event_statements-1.0
- methodology_version
- 1.0
- study_calculation_version
- event_study-1.0
Mudell
event.channel.unavailablev1.2 · Marka tal-identità92e561b810be016411f6a7bbc96381cc8ebec1f6df6e0ae2fd7fc342f4dc1c9f· kalkolu event_statements-1.0 · ikkalkulat 03/10/2026 17:47 UTC
X’ma jurix dan
- Ma jurix li l-avveniment kien fl-oriġini ta’ xi ħaġa. L-ebda disinn kawżali mhu ppubblikat għal dan is-sit, u serje li ċċaqilqet f’din it-tieqa setgħet iċċaqilqet għal raġunijiet oħra.
- Bidla f’unitajiet ta’ volatilità mhijiex test tas-sinifikanza, u lanqas punteġġ z ma hu. Ikejlu affarijiet differenti u mhumiex interkambjabbli.
- Il-kanali mingħajr sors b’liċenzja għall-użu jew diġà mtella’ jintwerew bħala pannelli vojta, mhux bħala linji ċatti. “Ma nistgħux naraw dan” ma jfissirx “dan ma ċċaqlaqx”.
- Xejn ma jiġi interpolat. Fejn diversi punti tat-tieqa jaqgħu fuq ċifra ppubblikata waħda, dak hu li stampa l-pubblikatur, u l-bidla meta mqabbla mad-data tal-avveniment hija żero: huwa l-istess numru.
Kif jinqraw it-tikketti
- UffiċjaliIrrappurtat direttament minn awtorità uffiċjali.
- IvverifikatIrrappurtat minn parti terza u vverifikat minna ma’ rekord primarju.
- IkkalkulatIkkalkulat minna minn inputs irrappurtati. Il-metodu huwa ppubblikat fil-paġna tal-metodoloġija.
- Inferit · kunfidenza għoljaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn mill-inqas żewġ rekords fiżiċi indipendenti.
- Inferit · kunfidenza medjaMhux irrappurtat. Inferit minn evidenza indiretta qawwija, mingħajr konferma espliċita.
- Inferit · kunfidenza baxxaMhux irrappurtat. Plawżibbli biss minn data dwar l-infrastruttura jew il-movimenti. Taqrahx bħala fatt.
- Mhux magħrufL-ebda evidenza pubblika difendibbli ma tistabbilixxi dan. Ma nagħmlux suppożizzjonijiet, u dan mhuwiex kejl ta’ żero.