Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In May 2025, Belgium's road diesel supply was 1,469 kt: 59% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (27%) and Saudi Arabia (5%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Norway (19%), the United States (15%) and Kazakhstan (14%), and 15% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

France → Belgium

Road diesel supplied (May 2025)

100 tonnes

<1% of Belgium's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Other crude originsless than 0.1 kt (est. 27%)
  • United Statesless than 0.1 kt (est. 20%)
  • Libyaless than 0.1 kt (est. 16%)

and 4 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Belgium's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Belgium (own refineries)Belgium: road diesel supply873,70059.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsBelgium: road diesel supply395,70026.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Saudi ArabiaBelgium: road diesel supply80,1005.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
United Arab EmiratesBelgium: road diesel supply70,5004.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SingaporeBelgium: road diesel supply41,1002.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanyBelgium: road diesel supply8,2000.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
NorwayBelgium (own refineries)203,18423.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium (own refineries)175,17420.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium (own refineries)144,69716.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium (own refineries)142,24116.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia80,100100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesNetherlands78,25919.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands75,25019.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
United Arab Emirates: no crude dataUnited Arab Emirates70,500100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsNetherlands67,31817.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium (own refineries)63,8957.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
CanadaBelgium (own refineries)62,8377.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands60,18115.2%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands44,81811.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium (own refineries)42,6594.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Singapore: no crude dataSingapore41,100100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United KingdomBelgium (own refineries)31,3253.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
CanadaNetherlands26,0976.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Netherlands: crude origin not reportedNetherlands23,7446.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaNetherlands11,1242.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
LibyaNetherlands8,9102.3%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium (own refineries)7,6880.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Other crude originsGermany1,36916.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany1,35216.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany1,18814.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany1,17614.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany1,00812.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany88310.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany6668.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaGermany2993.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
CanadaGermany2583.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFrance2727.2%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance2020.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance1615.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance1414.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance1414.2%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFrance66.2%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-03 to 2025-05. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance21.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance00.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-05 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Belgium’s supply of road diesel in 2025-05, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-05 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-03 to 2025-05.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (80,100 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • United Arab Emirates: no crude data (70,500 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Singapore: no crude data (41,100 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Netherlands: crude origin not reported (23,744 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (8,354 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (2 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Belgium: country page