Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In June 2024, Belgium's road diesel supply was 1,310 kt: 65% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the Netherlands (34%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the United States (20%), Norway (15%) and Kazakhstan (14%), and 13% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Singapore → Belgium

Road diesel supplied (Jun 2024)

1.5 thousand tonnes

<1% of Belgium's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Smaller flows: no crude data1.5 kt (100%)

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Belgium's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Belgium (own refineries)Belgium: road diesel supply853,20065.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
NetherlandsBelgium: road diesel supply449,10034.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanyBelgium: road diesel supply4,5000.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SingaporeBelgium: road diesel supply1,5000.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Other crude originsBelgium (own refineries)164,51619.3%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium (own refineries)151,31417.7%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium (own refineries)125,96414.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium (own refineries)119,30814.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Belgium: crude origin not reportedBelgium (own refineries)117,79013.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
United StatesNetherlands103,86823.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands69,97215.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaBelgium (own refineries)60,0287.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands54,08312.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomNetherlands47,92210.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands43,4939.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium (own refineries)42,3815.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Netherlands: crude origin not reportedNetherlands40,2099.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqNetherlands39,9688.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomBelgium (own refineries)38,0904.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium (own refineries)30,5863.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Belgium split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands28,7296.4%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands20,8564.6%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Belgium split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium (own refineries)3,2240.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: no crude dataSingapore1,500100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUnited Kingdom1,300100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NorwayGermany91420.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany78317.4%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany77917.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany63514.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United KingdomGermany3638.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany3577.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqGermany2866.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany1563.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany1172.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Belgium split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany1092.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsFrance3231.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance1919.4%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance1312.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance1110.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFrance87.9%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance65.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaFrance44.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance33.3%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance33.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
United KingdomFrance11.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Belgium split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-04 to 2024-06. Confidence: medium.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-06 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Belgium’s supply of road diesel in 2024-06, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2024-06 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-04 to 2024-06.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Belgium: crude origin not reported (117,790 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Netherlands: crude origin not reported (40,209 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (3,336 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (2,800 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (361 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Belgium: country page