Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In October 2025, France's road diesel supply was 2,597 kt: 50% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the United States (19%) and Saudi Arabia (19%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the United States (11%), Kazakhstan (9%) and Norway (6%), and 44% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Smaller flows: no crude data → France

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Oct 2025)

41.0 thousand tonnes

2% of France's road diesel supply

Unknown

Last shipped from

  • Other suppliers25 kt (61%)
  • Malaysia16 kt (39%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

The numbers as a table
Reported: where France's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
France (own refineries)France: road diesel supply1,297,00049.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
United StatesFrance: road diesel supply491,00018.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Saudi ArabiaFrance: road diesel supply489,00018.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SpainFrance: road diesel supply94,0003.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsFrance: road diesel supply44,0001.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
BelgiumFrance: road diesel supply43,0001.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
IndiaFrance: road diesel supply32,0001.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
KuwaitFrance: road diesel supply26,0001.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Other suppliersFrance: road diesel supply25,0001.0%Summed by usSum of the smaller suppliers' published imports.
GermanyFrance: road diesel supply20,0000.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Imports, origin not reportedFrance: road diesel supply20,0000.8%Summed by usPublisher's import total minus the named partners.
MalaysiaFrance: road diesel supply16,0000.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
United States: no crude dataUnited States491,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia489,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesFrance (own refineries)251,55419.4%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance (own refineries)220,72517.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFrance (own refineries)217,75416.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance (own refineries)142,98411.0%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayFrance (own refineries)136,22410.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaFrance (own refineries)98,1237.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance (own refineries)97,0987.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance (own refineries)94,3337.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to France split by France's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSpain46,82849.8%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
France: crude not from importsFrance (own refineries)36,2582.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
India: no crude dataIndia32,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait26,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers25,000300.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Origin not reported: crude unknownImports, origin not reported20,000100.0%UnknownThe statistics did not say which country these imports came from.
Smaller flows: no crude dataMalaysia16,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesSpain14,82415.8%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium14,44733.6%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsNetherlands11,43526.0%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to France split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSpain10,05610.7%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayBelgium9,97223.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayNetherlands9,62521.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to France split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesNetherlands9,20120.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to France split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium7,80218.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
IraqSpain6,4906.9%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands6,19014.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to France split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSpain5,2175.5%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium5,05911.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
AlgeriaSpain5,0005.3%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsGermany4,19121.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanSpain3,8734.1%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium3,5248.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaGermany2,82714.1%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany2,77113.9%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany2,76713.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesGermany2,70713.5%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaNetherlands2,5735.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to France split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands2,5535.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqNetherlands2,4225.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to France split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance (own refineries)1,9460.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany1,6448.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaBelgium1,5233.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NorwaySpain1,1751.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to France split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
IraqGermany1,1585.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaGermany1,0095.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSpain5390.6%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium5041.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
AlgeriaGermany4652.3%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to France split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany4622.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
IraqBelgium920.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium770.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to France split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-10 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: France’s supply of road diesel in 2025-10, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Month: 2025-10 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-08 to 2025-10.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United States: no crude data (491,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (489,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (41,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • France: crude not from imports (36,258 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • India: no crude data (32,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (26,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Origin not reported: crude unknown (20,000 t): The statistics did not say which country these imports came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (9,668 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (1,504 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Imports, origin not reported (20,000 t): The statistics did not say which country these imports came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

France: country page