Flows
How oil reaches each country
Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.
In November 2025, Greece's road diesel supply was 708 kt: 96% from its own refineries; tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Iraq (41%), Kazakhstan (21%) and Libya (15%), and 6% cannot be traced.
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Crude origin (estimate)
- Colour = where it went:
- Greece (own refineries)
- United Kingdom
- Egypt
Last shipped from
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Nov 2025)
18.6 thousand tonnes
est. 3% of Greece's road diesel supply
less than 0.1 kt reported19 kt estimated
Inferred · medium
Last shipped from
- Greece (own refineries)19 kt (est. 100%)
Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm
- Reported (solid)
- Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
- Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
- Cannot be traced (hatched)
The numbers as a table
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece (own refineries) | Greece: road diesel supply | 678,172 | 95.7% | ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output) |
| United Kingdom | Greece: road diesel supply | 19,940 | 2.8% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| Egypt | Greece: road diesel supply | 10,276 | 1.5% | ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis) |
| From | To | Tonnes | Share | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | Greece (own refineries) | 293,235 | 43.2% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Kazakhstan | Greece (own refineries) | 147,193 | 21.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Libya | Greece (own refineries) | 108,865 | 16.1% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Saudi Arabia | Greece (own refineries) | 42,822 | 6.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Azerbaijan | Greece (own refineries) | 37,075 | 5.5% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| United Kingdom: no crude data | United Kingdom | 19,940 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
| Egypt | Greece (own refineries) | 18,582 | 2.7% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Norway | Greece (own refineries) | 15,802 | 2.3% | EstimatedEstimate: Greece's road diesel to Greece split by Greece's crude-import mix over 2025-09 to 2025-11. Confidence: medium. |
| Greece: crude origin not reported | Greece (own refineries) | 14,598 | 2.2% | UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from. |
| Egypt: no crude data | Egypt | 10,276 | 100.0% | UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on. |
Source & method
EurostatInferred · medium
Provenance
Inferred · mediumMedium- Publisher
- Eurostat
- Dataset id
- Imports of oil and petroleum products by partner country, monthly data (refined products)nrg_ti_oilmeurostat_nrg_ti_oilm_products
- Period
- 2025-11 (month)
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-23 12:11 UTC
- Type
- Inferred · medium
- Transformation
- none applied - stored exactly as published
- Licence
- Commission Decision 2011/833/EU - reuse authorised provided the source is acknowledged
- Supplier -> country links are published figures (OFFICIAL; the unattributed remainder and any 'Other suppliers' sum are CALCULATED).
- Crude -> supplier links are an estimate (INFERRED) from each supplier's crude-import mix; the published crude imports behind each one are in links[].evidence.
- Untraceable volumes are explicit UNKNOWN nodes with their cause. They are never spread over the traced origins.
Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Greece’s supply of road diesel in 2025-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.
Month: 2025-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-09 to 2025-11.
Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason
- United Kingdom: no crude data (19,940 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Greece: crude origin not reported (14,598 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
- Egypt: no crude data (10,276 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
- Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
- Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
- The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
- Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.