Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In July 2023, Hungary's road diesel supply was 476 kt: 45% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Slovakia (18%), Kazakhstan (12%) and Austria (9%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from the Russia (44%) and Kazakhstan (7%), and 31% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Norway → Hungary

Crude behind this road diesel, an estimate (Jul 2023)

5.8 thousand tonnes

est. 1% of Hungary's road diesel supply

less than 0.1 kt reported5.8 kt estimated

Inferred · medium

Last shipped from

  • Germany5.8 kt (est. 100%)

Source: Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Hungary's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Hungary (own refineries)Hungary: road diesel supply212,00044.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
SlovakiaHungary: road diesel supply84,00017.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
KazakhstanHungary: road diesel supply57,00012.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
AustriaHungary: road diesel supply44,0009.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
GermanyHungary: road diesel supply29,0006.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SloveniaHungary: road diesel supply26,0005.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Saudi ArabiaHungary: road diesel supply14,0002.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
CzechiaHungary: road diesel supply10,0002.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
RussiaHungary (own refineries)144,68468.2%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Hungary split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
RussiaSlovakia60,48172.0%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Hungary split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Kazakhstan: no crude dataKazakhstan57,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Hungary: crude not from importsHungary (own refineries)39,26818.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Slovenia: no refinerySlovenia26,000100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
HungarySlovakia23,46727.9%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Hungary split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanHungary (own refineries)18,9338.9%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Hungary split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia14,000100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsGermany12,38742.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Hungary split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanAustria11,74826.7%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Hungary split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
CroatiaHungary (own refineries)9,1164.3%EstimatedEstimate: Hungary's road diesel to Hungary split by Hungary's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsAustria8,82620.1%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Hungary split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaAustria7,54417.1%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Hungary split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaAustria7,49517.0%EstimatedEstimate: Austria's road diesel to Hungary split by Austria's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Austria: crude origin not reportedAustria7,01515.9%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
RussiaCzechia6,29162.9%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Hungary split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
NorwayGermany5,80020.0%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Hungary split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
LibyaGermany3,97613.7%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Hungary split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanGermany3,65712.6%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Hungary split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsCzechia3,20432.0%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Hungary split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaGermany1,5025.2%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Hungary split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsAustria1,3723.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedGermany9313.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsGermany5291.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
KazakhstanCzechia3283.3%EstimatedEstimate: Czechia's road diesel to Hungary split by Czechia's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
RussiaGermany2190.8%EstimatedEstimate: Germany's road diesel to Hungary split by Germany's crude-import mix over 2023-05 to 2023-07. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsCzechia1771.8%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.

One flow with a share under 0.1% is not listed here. It is still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2023-07 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Hungary’s supply of road diesel in 2023-07, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2023-07 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2023-05 to 2023-07.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Kazakhstan: no crude data (57,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Hungary: crude not from imports (39,268 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Slovenia: no refinery (26,000 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (14,000 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Austria: crude origin not reported (7,015 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (2,130 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (931 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Hungary: country page