Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In November 2024, Italy's road diesel supply was 2,553 kt: 78% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from the United Arab Emirates (8%) and Saudi Arabia (7%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Azerbaijan (13%), Libya (12%) and Kazakhstan (11%), and 25% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Belgium → Italy

Road diesel supplied (Nov 2024)

10.0 thousand tonnes

<1% of Italy's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Other crude origins5.3 kt (est. 53%)
  • United States1.5 kt (est. 15%)
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported1.1 kt (11%)

and 5 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Italy's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Italy (own refineries)Italy: road diesel supply1,998,47978.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
United Arab EmiratesItaly: road diesel supply205,6598.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Saudi ArabiaItaly: road diesel supply173,5166.8%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
EgyptItaly: road diesel supply60,5472.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
MaltaItaly: road diesel supply38,7231.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
SpainItaly: road diesel supply32,9381.3%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
KuwaitItaly: road diesel supply18,4780.7%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
FranceItaly: road diesel supply14,0170.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
BelgiumItaly: road diesel supply10,0200.4%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Other crude originsItaly (own refineries)336,28516.8%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly (own refineries)324,98816.3%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaItaly (own refineries)303,76315.2%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly (own refineries)266,70013.3%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
United Arab Emirates: no crude dataUnited Arab Emirates205,659100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesItaly (own refineries)178,6468.9%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia173,516100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
IraqItaly (own refineries)157,6547.9%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaItaly (own refineries)145,0587.3%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaItaly (own refineries)138,8766.9%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly (own refineries)126,6616.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Egypt: no crude dataEgypt60,547100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Malta: no refineryMalta38,723100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedItaly (own refineries)19,8481.0%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: no crude dataKuwait18,478100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsSpain17,61653.5%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium5,26352.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesSpain4,95015.0%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsFrance3,89627.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesFrance3,54025.3%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaSpain2,4827.5%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaSpain1,7915.4%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanSpain1,7855.4%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaFrance1,70112.1%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium1,53915.4%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanFrance1,3719.8%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqFrance1,3509.6%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaSpain1,2203.7%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedSpain1,1463.5%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium1,12511.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqSpain1,0413.2%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium8908.9%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaFrance7705.5%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSlovakia62885.4%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedFrance6204.4%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsSpain5441.7%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Saudi ArabiaFrance5233.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium5115.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanSpain3631.1%EstimatedEstimate: Spain's road diesel to Italy split by Spain's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaBelgium3203.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
LibyaBelgium2983.0%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsFrance1501.1%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
AzerbaijanFrance960.7%EstimatedEstimate: France's road diesel to Italy split by France's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanSlovakia8010.8%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium740.7%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Other crude originsOther suppliers5078.2%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataOther suppliers49100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesOther suppliers2942.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaSlovakia273.7%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanOther suppliers1523.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
IraqOther suppliers1216.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers1014.1%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
LibyaOther suppliers57.8%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaOther suppliers35.1%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers35.5%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
Saudi ArabiaOther suppliers33.8%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanOther suppliers12.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2024-09 to 2024-11. Confidence: medium.

2 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2024-11 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Italy’s supply of road diesel in 2024-11, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2024-11 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2024-09 to 2024-11.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • United Arab Emirates: no crude data (205,659 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (173,516 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Italy: crude not from imports (126,661 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Egypt: no crude data (60,547 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Malta: no refinery (38,723 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (22,748 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (18,527 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (772 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Italy: country page