Fuel Origin

Flows

How oil reaches each country

Where the EU’s crude oil and fuel come from, as each member state reports its imports; every band’s width is proportional to tonnes.

In October 2025, Italy's road diesel supply was 2,254 kt: 81% from its own refineries, with imports mainly from Saudi Arabia (11%); tracing one step back, the crude behind it is estimated to come mainly from Libya (20%), Azerbaijan (12%) and the United States (11%), and 23% cannot be traced.

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  • Reported (solid)
  • Our arithmetic on reported figures (dotted)
  • Estimated crude behind the fuel (dashed)
  • Cannot be traced (hatched)

Netherlands → Italy

Road diesel supplied (Oct 2025)

43.8 thousand tonnes

2% of Italy's road diesel supply

Official

Crude behind it (estimate)

  • Other crude origins20 kt (est. 47%)
  • United States9.2 kt (est. 21%)
  • Kazakhstan6.2 kt (est. 14%)

and 4 more in the table above

Source: Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis); Fuel Origin fuel-chain look-through (docs/HORMUZ_METHOD.md section 8), built on Eurostat nrg_ti_oilm and nrg_cb_oilm

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The numbers as a table
Reported: where Italy's road diesel came from
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
Italy (own refineries)Italy: road diesel supply1,816,02280.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_cb_oilm (refinery output)
Saudi ArabiaItaly: road diesel supply251,27211.1%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
OmanItaly: road diesel supply67,0303.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
NetherlandsItaly: road diesel supply43,8491.9%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
KuwaitItaly: road diesel supply34,9141.5%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
EgyptItaly: road diesel supply22,0821.0%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
MaltaItaly: road diesel supply12,9510.6%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
United KingdomItaly: road diesel supply4,4820.2%ReportedEurostat nrg_ti_oilm (imports by partner country, energy basis)
Estimate: the crude oil behind each supplier's fuel
FromToTonnesShareHow we know
LibyaItaly (own refineries)444,30824.5%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanItaly (own refineries)273,02915.0%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsItaly (own refineries)260,65214.4%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Saudi Arabia: no crude dataSaudi Arabia251,272100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
United StatesItaly (own refineries)239,19213.2%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanItaly (own refineries)162,9739.0%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Italy: crude not from importsItaly (own refineries)133,9357.4%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
NigeriaItaly (own refineries)123,5876.8%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaItaly (own refineries)122,1906.7%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Oman: no crude dataOman67,030100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
IraqItaly (own refineries)56,1563.1%EstimatedEstimate: Italy's road diesel to Italy split by Italy's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Kuwait: no crude dataKuwait34,914100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Smaller flows: no crude dataEgypt22,082100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
Other crude originsNetherlands20,49146.7%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no refineryMalta12,951100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
United StatesNetherlands9,17020.9%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanNetherlands6,16914.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no crude dataUnited Kingdom4,482100.0%UnknownWe hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
NigeriaNetherlands2,5645.8%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedNetherlands2,5445.8%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqNetherlands2,4145.5%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsSlovakia83181.1%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaNetherlands4971.1%EstimatedEstimate: Netherlands's road diesel to Italy split by Netherlands's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsBelgium18356.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanSlovakia12712.4%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: no refineryOther suppliers107100.0%UnknownThe supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
Saudi ArabiaSlovakia676.5%EstimatedEstimate: Slovakia's road diesel to Italy split by Slovakia's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
KazakhstanBelgium5818.1%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesBelgium3811.8%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedBelgium268.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
NigeriaBelgium113.5%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Other crude originsOther suppliers934.4%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
LibyaOther suppliers414.1%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsBelgium41.2%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
KazakhstanOther suppliers413.9%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
United StatesOther suppliers413.5%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude origin not reportedOther suppliers28.2%UnknownThe supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
IraqOther suppliers25.8%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
NigeriaOther suppliers15.0%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
IraqBelgium10.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Smaller flows: crude not from importsOther suppliers12.3%UnknownThe refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
LibyaBelgium10.2%EstimatedEstimate: Belgium's road diesel to Italy split by Belgium's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
AzerbaijanOther suppliers12.1%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.
Saudi ArabiaOther suppliers00.6%EstimatedEstimate: Other suppliers's road diesel to Italy split by Other suppliers's crude-import mix over 2025-08 to 2025-10. Confidence: medium.

3 flows with a share under 0.1% are not listed here. They are still counted in every total and drawn in the diagram, and the CSV under Source & method lists every flow.

Source & method
Source
EurostatInferred · medium
Period 2025-10 (month)Updated 2026-09-26 13:30 UTCConfidenceMediumMethodologyDownload CSV

Left: the crude oil behind the fuel (an estimate). Middle: the country’s own refineries and the countries the fuel was last shipped from, which may be a trading hub rather than where it was refined; the estimate treats each as the refiner. Right: Italy’s supply of road diesel in 2025-10, in tonnes of fuel. Only the middle-to-right flows are reported figures.

Countries without a crude refinery can appear under "Last shipped from": the importing country's statistics record where the fuel arrived from. It was refined elsewhere and either sold on or passed through that country's terminals; the statistics do not say which, or where it was refined.

Month: 2025-10 (requested). Crude mixes are pooled over 2025-08 to 2025-10.

Fuel that cannot be traced, and the reason

  • Saudi Arabia: no crude data (251,272 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Italy: crude not from imports (133,935 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Oman: no crude data (67,030 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Kuwait: no crude data (34,914 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: no crude data (26,564 t): We hold no crude import statistics for the supplying country, and we do not assume what its refineries run on.
  • Smaller flows: no refinery (13,058 t): The supplying country has no crude oil refinery (a cited confirmed zero), so the fuel was made elsewhere and passed through. We look back one step only.
  • Smaller flows: crude origin not reported (2,573 t): The supplying country's statistics did not say where part of its crude came from.
  • Smaller flows: crude not from imports (4 t): The refineries used more crude than the country imported (its own production or stocks). That part is not traced rather than being filled with the import mix.
  • Only the supplier -> country links are reported figures. The crude -> supplier links are an estimate: each supplier's fuel is split by that supplier's own crude-import mix over the latest three months.
  • Exports are assumed to be drawn from every source in proportion to its share of supply.
  • The chain looks back one country only. Imports are counted under the country the fuel was last shipped from; where that country has refineries, fuel that only passed through it is traced as if it had been refined there.
  • Widths are tonnes of this fuel, not tonnes of crude oil: a refinery makes several products from each tonne of crude.

Italy: country page